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Old 09-25-11, 11:27 AM   #31
Betonov
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Plus, winning a war is not only destroying an enemy. If you deny the enemy to project that power over you, you already have a diplomatic advantage, a leverage at negotiations. A submarine can't project power, but can prevent you enemy to do so over you.
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Old 09-25-11, 01:12 PM   #32
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If nukes start flying a submarine anywhere in the vicinity will be dead as well, so this is a moot point.

The question isn't who would win in a scrap-up, as that's very much an open question based on individual crew skills and environmental factors.

The real point I'm making, is that you can't win a war with submarines alone. They are not power projectors. A CV battlegroup allows one to put real pressure on the enemy and allows one to actually dismantle their war making capability. Submarines at best can lob a few cruise missiles and maybe insert a specops team.
Unfortunately, it is unlikely you can win a war only with subs. However, if a submarine can sneak into a CVBG, and get off a couple missles and takes the CV (or CVs), guess what happens.
You lose an ungodly expensive boat with ungodly expensive equipment onboard along with ~2000 valuable seamen. That, and the whole point of the battlegroup is lost, thereby making that force now incapable of its most likely important mission.


And,a tac nuke isnt as ranged as a regular thermonuclear bomb, obviously, and therefore a submarine about a mile and a half away under 1000 feet of water could easily survive a tac nuke.

Not to mention how it could launch its payload against your docks, shipyards, and the civilian populace. can you win a war with only subs? its possible. A CVBG to help protect your landing ships from ASM missiles and aircraft would be great. but a war solely at sea can be won by submarines
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Old 09-25-11, 01:31 PM   #33
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And,a tac nuke isnt as ranged as a regular thermonuclear bomb, obviously, and therefore a submarine about a mile and a half away under 1000 feet of water could easily survive a tac nuke.
More likely over 4 miles from the target since a nuclear torpedo could be expected to have a kill radius of about that.
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Old 09-25-11, 02:30 PM   #34
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Unfortunately, it is unlikely you can win a war only with subs. However, if a submarine can sneak into a CVBG, and get off a couple missles and takes the CV (or CVs), guess what happens.
You lose an ungodly expensive boat with ungodly expensive equipment onboard along with ~2000 valuable seamen. That, and the whole point of the battlegroup is lost, thereby making that force now incapable of its most likely important mission.


And,a tac nuke isnt as ranged as a regular thermonuclear bomb, obviously, and therefore a submarine about a mile and a half away under 1000 feet of water could easily survive a tac nuke.

Not to mention how it could launch its payload against your docks, shipyards, and the civilian populace. can you win a war with only subs? its possible. A CVBG to help protect your landing ships from ASM missiles and aircraft would be great. but a war solely at sea can be won by submarines
Exactly the point I was originally trying to make.
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Old 09-25-11, 02:47 PM   #35
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Exactly the point I was originally trying to make.
Simply put, submarines are not as invincible as the movies/games make them out to be. :>

Without their stealth, they don't have much left to play on. They can't take a hit and they can't run if they get spotted.
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Old 09-25-11, 02:53 PM   #36
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Simply put, submarines are not as invincible as the movies/games make them out to be. :>

Without their stealth, they don't have much left to play on. They can't take a hit and they can't run if they get spotted.
They're rarely without their stealth and they seem to be getting to damn close range with it.

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Old 09-25-11, 03:05 PM   #37
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They're rarely without their stealth and they seem to be getting to damn close range with it.

The sad state of affairs in terms of ASW on surface ships these days is mostly a crew problem, not an equipment or superiority of submarines problem.
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Old 09-25-11, 03:17 PM   #38
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The sad state of affairs in terms of ASW on surface ships these days is mostly a crew problem, not an equipment or superiority of submarines problem.
why do you say that?
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Old 09-25-11, 03:31 PM   #39
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They're rarely without their stealth and they seem to be getting to damn close range with it.

The second poster to affirm my point
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Old 09-25-11, 03:43 PM   #40
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The sad state of affairs in terms of ASW on surface ships these days is mostly a crew problem, not an equipment or superiority of submarines problem.
That problem ain't limited to one navy then:


As far as actual combat records go submarines have a decent record since WWII 3 Ships sunk in 8 attacks with only two losses in combat (one an maybe an operational casualty). Most of the failures were from technical problems cause by 3rd world crews.
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Old 09-25-11, 03:46 PM   #41
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why do you say that?
In a word, training. The surface navy has let their ASW skills decay significantly after the Cold War ended. Ask any bubblehead sonarman what he thinks of a skimmer sonarman, and you're not likely to get an answer that's fit to print.

A good book to read on the subject is "Lessons not learned: the U.S. Navy's status quo culture."

For submariners, sonar is life. For surface folks, it's just another thing to worry about.

The unfortunate reality is that surface sonarmen spend most of their time doing anything but sonar, as they're usually the first to get grabbed for odd jobs around the ship. Combine this with a mentality that ASW just isn't important, and you rarely have time to train or willingness to train.

IMO, what the Navy needs to do is rotate surface sonarmen through tours on submarines, and vice-versa to get the skimmers caught up on the finer points of sonar technique. At least then they'll be in a position to *find* the submarines, to say nothing of being able to go and kill them.
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Old 09-25-11, 03:47 PM   #42
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Unless your enemy is dependent on overseas trade (US, China, Japan) or has national goals off shore (Falklands, Taiwan). Then a submarine can put them in to ruin or deny them their end goals.
...or they could use aircraft, unless I have missed sub with area air defence capability - without telling everyone where it is.

In case of Taiwan air route maybe a bit challenging.
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Old 09-25-11, 03:51 PM   #43
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That problem ain't limited to one navy then:


.
Take into consideration that this snapshot was taken in peace time when guards are relatively relaxed.
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Old 09-25-11, 04:03 PM   #44
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...or they could use aircraft, unless I have missed sub with area air defence capability - without telling everyone where it is.

+

=

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Old 09-25-11, 04:11 PM   #45
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Take into consideration that this snapshot was taken in peace time when guards are relatively relaxed.
This one better then?
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