SUBSIM Radio Room Forums



SUBSIM: The Web's #1 resource for all submarine & naval simulations since 1997

Go Back   SUBSIM Radio Room Forums > General > General Topics
Forget password? Reset here

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 04-17-09, 04:28 PM   #1
fatty
The Old Man
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,448
Downloads: 10
Uploads: 0
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aramike View Post
*Sigh*

You did see the phrase "monthly average", right?

Math is great.
*Sigh*

You did see the phrase "a total of," right?

Reading comprehension is even better.
fatty is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-09, 04:34 PM   #2
Aramike
Ocean Warrior

Best of SUBSIM
Chairman
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Milwaukee, WI
Posts: 3,207
Downloads: 59
Uploads: 0
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fatty View Post
*Sigh*

You did see the phrase "a total of," right?

Reading comprehension is even better.
Well, you should really learn to comprehend what YOU are reading then. Everyone else seems to be able to get the math...

You see, one uses "totals" to create "averages". And the word "monthly" would appear to be the base for the averages, more specifically, the 22 month period. Even though, to be fair the equation is missing some information - or perhaps is comparing a monthy rate to an annual rate.

Got it?

Good.
Aramike is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-09, 05:05 PM   #3
fatty
The Old Man
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,448
Downloads: 10
Uploads: 0
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aramike View Post
Well, you should really learn to comprehend what YOU are reading then. Everyone else seems to be able to get the math...

You see, one uses "totals" to create "averages". And the word "monthly" would appear to be the base for the averages, more specifically, the 22 month period. Even though, to be fair the equation is missing some information - or perhaps is comparing a monthy rate to an annual rate.

Got it?

Good.
So of course there were 2,112 coalition deaths every month in Iraq, for a total of 46,464 deaths in the 22 month span, which then magically equates to 60 deaths per 100,000 people. That makes perfect sense, thank you for your clarification.

Quote:
Because the first number is a total and the 2nd number is an average.
Yes of course you are right August. There are 2,112 deaths through the 160,000-strong in Iraq in the 22 month span. The problem, as Aramike notes, is you derive averages from totals. 2112/160000 just doesn't turn into 60/100000 no matter how you cut it. The more accurate average is 1320/100000 as I posted above. And even still that's not counting insurgent or civilian deaths, in the same way that the DC statistic is counting all firearm-related deaths and not just those of security personnel.
fatty is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-09, 05:11 PM   #4
Digital_Trucker
Silent Hunter
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: The Peach State
Posts: 4,171
Downloads: 141
Uploads: 10
Default

2,112 deaths/ 22 months = 96 deaths per month
96 deaths per month / 160,000 average monthly troop level = 60 in 100,000 probability of death in a one month period

Have no idea where the DC number came from, but the Iraq number is correct
__________________

RSM-GIEP-Killflags-LV Tribute-Playable Elco __Peace be with you, Dave.

Digital_Trucker is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-09, 05:58 PM   #5
Aramike
Ocean Warrior

Best of SUBSIM
Chairman
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Milwaukee, WI
Posts: 3,207
Downloads: 59
Uploads: 0
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fatty View Post
So of course there were 2,112 coalition deaths every month in Iraq, for a total of 46,464 deaths in the 22 month span, which then magically equates to 60 deaths per 100,000 people. That makes perfect sense, thank you for your clarification.



Yes of course you are right August. There are 2,112 deaths through the 160,000-strong in Iraq in the 22 month span. The problem, as Aramike notes, is you derive averages from totals. 2112/160000 just doesn't turn into 60/100000 no matter how you cut it. The more accurate average is 1320/100000 as I posted above. And even still that's not counting insurgent or civilian deaths, in the same way that the DC statistic is counting all firearm-related deaths and not just those of security personnel.
*Sighs again*

Here's the math:

2112 Deaths in 22 months.
Average Soldier Population is 160,000
2112 / 1.6 = 1320 per 100,000
1320 / 22 = 60 Deaths per 100,000 per month.

Do you get it now? We're right back to that magical word, "monthly".
Aramike is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-09, 11:09 PM   #6
August
Wayfaring Stranger
 
August's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 23,199
Downloads: 0
Uploads: 0


Default

Or more simply about 1 in 1700.

BTW historically speaking that is the "best" rate than our nation has ever experienced in a war, ever.

IIRC From the Revolution to WW2 the US kia rate averaged about 1 in 15. In Vietnam it was about 1 in 1500.
__________________


Flanked by life and the funeral pyre. Putting on a show for you to see.
August is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-09, 02:32 AM   #7
baggygreen
Sea Lord
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Canberra, ACT, Down Under (really On Top)
Posts: 1,880
Downloads: 7
Uploads: 0
Default

I see why fatty thought the way he did, because that was my initial (albeit tired) thought as well.

It raises another point, which is that the west appears to have become a little overly sensitive to soldiers dying in combat. funnily enough, thats an occupational hazard that soldiers accept when they enlist, but the media and a proportion of the public think this is unacceptable. *shrug*
baggygreen is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-09, 02:50 AM   #8
Aramike
Ocean Warrior

Best of SUBSIM
Chairman
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Milwaukee, WI
Posts: 3,207
Downloads: 59
Uploads: 0
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by baggygreen View Post
I see why fatty thought the way he did, because that was my initial (albeit tired) thought as well.

It raises another point, which is that the west appears to have become a little overly sensitive to soldiers dying in combat. funnily enough, thats an occupational hazard that soldiers accept when they enlist, but the media and a proportion of the public think this is unacceptable. *shrug*
Very true. That is a sad part of the "game" unfortunately.

I did understand where fatty was coming from too, btw. But he was a tad too insistant upon his being correct after his error was pointed out...

Oh well, all in good fun...
Aramike is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-09, 02:33 PM   #9
Arclight
Navy Seal
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Land of windmills, tulips, wooden shoes and cheese. Lots of cheese.
Posts: 8,467
Downloads: 53
Uploads: 10
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by baggygreen View Post
I see why fatty thought the way he did, because that was my initial (albeit tired) thought as well.

It raises another point, which is that the west appears to have become a little overly sensitive to soldiers dying in combat. funnily enough, thats an occupational hazard that soldiers accept when they enlist, but the media and a proportion of the public think this is unacceptable. *shrug*
Yep, same thing here in Holland when 1 guy bites the bullet. Big national drama. What the h**l did they expect?! A frickin picknick?!

Though it has to be said that IMHO the army itself is to blaim in this; they promote themselves as a great opportunity to start a career and get an education. Kids around here (I don't call 'm kids because of their age) don't join out of patriotism or because they want to fight for something good, it's because they see a career opportunity. The fact that you get sent on mission out of country is cleverly left out of the promotional material...

"You want to work on apache's, or even fly them? Want to ride in a tank? Want exictement and an education? Join the army!"

I call those guys kids because they actually fall for the propaganda without realizing they could die while in service.
__________________

Contritium praecedit superbia.
Arclight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-09, 06:53 PM   #10
Schroeder
Navy Seal
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Banana Republic of Germany
Posts: 6,170
Downloads: 62
Uploads: 0
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by August View Post
BTW historically speaking that is the "best" rate than our nation has ever experienced in a war, ever.
I thought the war ended a few years ago. It actually is a rate for occupying/peacekeeping, isn't it?
__________________
Putting Germ back into Germany.
Schroeder is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-09, 07:11 PM   #11
onelifecrisis
Maverick Modder
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: England
Posts: 3,895
Downloads: 65
Uploads: 3
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Schroeder View Post
I thought the war ended a few years ago. It actually is a rate for occupying/peacekeeping, isn't it?
LOL

(you joke, yes?)
__________________
Freedom of speech - priceless. For everything else there's Mastercard.
onelifecrisis is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-09, 08:17 PM   #12
August
Wayfaring Stranger
 
August's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 23,199
Downloads: 0
Uploads: 0


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Schroeder View Post
I thought the war ended a few years ago. It actually is a rate for occupying/peacekeeping, isn't it?
As far as I know there has been no declared end to the Iraq war.
__________________


Flanked by life and the funeral pyre. Putting on a show for you to see.
August is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:56 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 1995- 2025 Subsim®
"Subsim" is a registered trademark, all rights reserved.