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SUBSIM: The Web's #1 resource for all submarine & naval simulations since 1997 |
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#1 |
The Old Man
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#2 | |
Ocean Warrior
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![]() Quote:
You see, one uses "totals" to create "averages". And the word "monthly" would appear to be the base for the averages, more specifically, the 22 month period. Even though, to be fair the equation is missing some information - or perhaps is comparing a monthy rate to an annual rate. Got it? Good. |
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#3 | ||
The Old Man
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#4 |
Silent Hunter
![]() Join Date: Jul 2007
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2,112 deaths/ 22 months = 96 deaths per month
96 deaths per month / 160,000 average monthly troop level = 60 in 100,000 probability of death in a one month period Have no idea where the DC number came from, but the Iraq number is correct |
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#5 | |
Ocean Warrior
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Here's the math: 2112 Deaths in 22 months. Average Soldier Population is 160,000 2112 / 1.6 = 1320 per 100,000 1320 / 22 = 60 Deaths per 100,000 per month. Do you get it now? We're right back to that magical word, "monthly". |
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#6 |
Wayfaring Stranger
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Or more simply about 1 in 1700.
BTW historically speaking that is the "best" rate than our nation has ever experienced in a war, ever. IIRC From the Revolution to WW2 the US kia rate averaged about 1 in 15. In Vietnam it was about 1 in 1500.
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#7 |
Sea Lord
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I see why fatty thought the way he did, because that was my initial (albeit tired) thought as well.
It raises another point, which is that the west appears to have become a little overly sensitive to soldiers dying in combat. funnily enough, thats an occupational hazard that soldiers accept when they enlist, but the media and a proportion of the public think this is unacceptable. *shrug* |
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#8 | |
Ocean Warrior
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I did understand where fatty was coming from too, btw. But he was a tad too insistant upon his being correct after his error was pointed out... Oh well, all in good fun... |
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#9 | |
Navy Seal
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Though it has to be said that IMHO the army itself is to blaim in this; they promote themselves as a great opportunity to start a career and get an education. Kids around here (I don't call 'm kids because of their age) don't join out of patriotism or because they want to fight for something good, it's because they see a career opportunity. The fact that you get sent on mission out of country is cleverly left out of the promotional material... "You want to work on apache's, or even fly them? Want to ride in a tank? Want exictement and an education? Join the army!" I call those guys kids because they actually fall for the propaganda without realizing they could die while in service. ![]()
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Contritium praecedit superbia. |
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#10 | |
Navy Seal
![]() Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Banana Republic of Germany
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Putting Germ back into Germany. ![]() |
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#11 | |
Maverick Modder
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(you joke, yes?)
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Freedom of speech - priceless. For everything else there's Mastercard. |
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#12 |
Wayfaring Stranger
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As far as I know there has been no declared end to the Iraq war.
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