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Fact?
There has been a monthly average of 160,000 troops in the Iraq theatre of operations during the last 22 months and a total of 2,112 deaths. That gives a firearm death rate of 60 per 100,000 soldiers.
The firearm death rate in Washington D.C. is 80.6 per 100,000 persons for the same period. That means that you are about 25% more likely to be shot and killed in the U.S. Capital than you are in Iraq. Conclusion: Maybe its time the U.S. pull out of Washington? |
You just want to get it back, you sneaky bugga!:arrgh!:
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Personally, I think we should just pick DC up and move it about 200 miles due East of its current location. That would be about the right spot for it.:woot:
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Fiction!
How does 2,112/160,000 become 60/100,000? It's actually 1,320 deaths per 100,000. |
I'm too drunk to understand that thing, but I vote yay!
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You did see the phrase "monthly average", right? Math is great. |
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You did see the phrase "a total of," right? Reading comprehension is even better. |
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You see, one uses "totals" to create "averages". And the word "monthly" would appear to be the base for the averages, more specifically, the 22 month period. Even though, to be fair the equation is missing some information - or perhaps is comparing a monthy rate to an annual rate. Got it? Good. |
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2,112 deaths/ 22 months = 96 deaths per month
96 deaths per month / 160,000 average monthly troop level = 60 in 100,000 probability of death in a one month period Have no idea where the DC number came from, but the Iraq number is correct |
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Here's the math: 2112 Deaths in 22 months. Average Soldier Population is 160,000 2112 / 1.6 = 1320 per 100,000 1320 / 22 = 60 Deaths per 100,000 per month. Do you get it now? We're right back to that magical word, "monthly". |
Or more simply about 1 in 1700.
BTW historically speaking that is the "best" rate than our nation has ever experienced in a war, ever. IIRC From the Revolution to WW2 the US kia rate averaged about 1 in 15. In Vietnam it was about 1 in 1500. |
I see why fatty thought the way he did, because that was my initial (albeit tired) thought as well.
It raises another point, which is that the west appears to have become a little overly sensitive to soldiers dying in combat. funnily enough, thats an occupational hazard that soldiers accept when they enlist, but the media and a proportion of the public think this is unacceptable. *shrug* |
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