Hurricane Ike targets Subsim (Texas)

Platapus · 09-09-08, 03:50 PM

Well, based on current events, I have to say that I don't like Ike.

Onkel Neal · 09-09-08, 10:42 PM

Dang it, now the models have Ike sliding north again.

As of 2300 hours Sept 9, the general landfall appears to be north of Corpus.

sonar732 · 09-10-08, 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neal Stevens

Dang it, now the models have Ike sliding north again.

As of 2300 hours Sept 9, the general landfall appears to be north of Corpus.

I can't believe that I forgot the Holy Grail of Hurricane tracking...

National Hurricane Center

Anyway...Neil, it looks like the experts are floating towards the GFDL model which is the blue line in the graphic I posted.

On a side note...it has a 957mb pressure reading, which equates to a CAT-3 hurricane...but the surface winds are 90mph which is CAT-1. Once the surface winds catch up to the pressure...it's going to get nasty. I suspect when it gets well into the Gulf and feeds on the warm loop currents it will get the highest reading.

Stealth Hunter · 09-10-08, 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sonar732

On a side note...it has a 957mb pressure reading, which equates to a CAT-3 hurricane...but the surface winds are 90mph which is CAT-1. Once the surface winds catch up to the pressure...it's going to get nasty. I suspect when it gets well into the Gulf and feeds on the warm loop currents it will get the highest reading.

Well that's just wonderful.

Haven't seen anything on the news about evacuations, not that I'm planning on leaving (I haven't for the past 5 years when hurricanes have hit).

geetrue · 09-10-08, 01:59 PM

Looks like saturday morning early am around corpus christi way:

vois2 · 09-10-08, 10:38 PM

It looks like this thing will make landfall within spitting distance of Galveston on either side ... and yet am I correct in my understanding that Galveston Island is *NOT* being evacated?

I don't know where Neal is exactly but he's probably closer in to Houston proper.

I'm no emergency modeler but I am thinking ... low-lying coastal island ... Cat 4 washing up very nearby ... not good for the dogs and the cats and the toddlers living on that island.

Well, hopefully the residents won't shoot firearms at the rescue helicopters landing on the island after the storm passes.

sonar732 · 09-11-08, 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vois2

It looks like this thing will make landfall within spitting distance of Galveston on either side ... and yet am I correct in my understanding that Galveston Island is *NOT* being evacated?

I don't know where Neal is exactly but he's probably closer in to Houston proper.

I'm no emergency modeler but I am thinking ... low-lying coastal island ... Cat 4 washing up very nearby ... not good for the dogs and the cats and the toddlers living on that island.

Well, hopefully the residents won't shoot firearms at the rescue helicopters landing on the island after the storm passes.

They are under mandatory evacuations now.

vois2 · 09-12-08, 10:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vois2

On 09-10-2008, 10:38 PM , vois2 wrote

It looks like this thing will make landfall within spitting distance of Galveston on either side ... and yet am I correct in my understanding that Galveston Island is *NOT* being evacated?

I don't know where Neal is exactly but he's probably closer in to Houston proper.

I'm no emergency modeler but I am thinking ... low-lying coastal island ... Cat 4 washing up very nearby ... not good for the dogs and the cats and the toddlers living on that island.

Well, hopefully the residents won't shoot firearms at the rescue helicopters landing on the island after the storm passes.

I wrote that 48 hrs ago when almost all the models had Ike coming in at Freeport. Mr. Ike decided to head in much closer and onto Galveston Island - not that Freeport would have been much better for the island itself considering the location of Galveston Island relative to (what was once predicted as) a Freeport landing. I haven't followed the news in the last couple of days but I do hope every living soul is off of Galveston Island.

Onkel Neal · 09-10-08, 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geetrue

Looks like saturday morning early am around corpus christi way:

That's not Corpus, that's Freeport!

Stealth Hunter · 09-10-08, 11:24 PM

Well, by that map I'm still buggered (follow the red line on the first one).

Stealth Hunter · 09-10-08, 12:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Platapus

Well, based on current events, I have to say that I don't like Ike.

Eisenhower is not amused...

09-09-08, 03:50 PM	#1
Platapus Fleet Admiral Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 19,388 Downloads: 63 Uploads: 0	Well, based on current events, I have to say that I don't like Ike. __________________ abusus non tollit usum - A right should NOT be withheld from people on the basis that some tend to abuse that right.

09-09-08, 10:42 PM	#2
Onkel Neal Born to Run Silent Join Date: Jan 1997 Location: Cougar Trap, Texas Posts: 21,385 Downloads: 541 Uploads: 224	Dang it, now the models have Ike sliding north again. As of 2300 hours Sept 9, the general landfall appears to be north of Corpus. __________________ SUBSIM - 26 Years on the Web

09-10-08, 01:59 PM	#5
geetrue Cold War Boomer Join Date: Jan 2002 Location: Walla Walla Posts: 2,837 Downloads: 5 Uploads: 0	Looks like saturday morning early am around corpus christi way: __________________

09-10-08, 10:38 PM	#6
vois2 Engineer Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Southwestern Ohio Posts: 213 Downloads: 0 Uploads: 0	And Galveston is not being evacuated??? It looks like this thing will make landfall within spitting distance of Galveston on either side ... and yet am I correct in my understanding that Galveston Island is NOT being evacated? I don't know where Neal is exactly but he's probably closer in to Houston proper. I'm no emergency modeler but I am thinking ... low-lying coastal island ... Cat 4 washing up very nearby ... not good for the dogs and the cats and the toddlers living on that island. Well, hopefully the residents won't shoot firearms at the rescue helicopters landing on the island after the storm passes. __________________ I donate to Subsim because it is one of the best communities on the Interwebs. Stick around a couple of years, and you will see. You're never far from a friend here. Sunk at location vois22 [at] gmail . com

09-10-08, 11:24 PM	#10
Stealth Hunter Silent Hunter Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Y'ha-Nthlei Posts: 4,262 Downloads: 19 Uploads: 0	Well, by that map I'm still buggered (follow the red line on the first one).