Here we go again-Ukraine once again pt2

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

The problem is that both side is very stubborn in their demands to sign any ceasefire/peace agreement.

If all these expert is correct, Ukraine shall only hold their positions as good as they can-'cause Russia is on the road to economical collapse, very soon.

Markus

Ukraine holding their position resulted in that every Ukrainian has lost one or several relatives so any ceasefire/peace agreement Zelenskyy can sell to the Ukraine population they understand for Putin he can sell it as a victory he has no population to convince he dictates his only worry is his inner circle they can do a Khrushchev Brezhnev on him.

[mapuc]

Originally Posted by Dargo

Ukraine holding their position resulted in that every Ukrainian has lost one or several relatives so any ceasefire/peace agreement Zelenskyy can sell to the Ukraine population they understand for Putin he can sell it as a victory he has no population to convince he dictates his only worry is his inner circle they can do a Khrushchev Brezhnev on him.

Watch the second video about Russian Oligarch
https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/sho...postcount=4990

Sooner or later he has to mobilize young men from Moscow and St. Petersborg. If he keeps on losing so many men per day in Ukraine.

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Watch the second video about Russian Oligarch
https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/sho...postcount=4990

Sooner or later he has to mobilize young men from Moscow and St. Petersborg. If he keeps on losing so many men per day in Ukraine.

Markus

Only thing is Russian Oligarchs (Putin gave them their riches so he can take it all back) are not in the inner circle so have no power, only the FSB rules Russia. And if he wanted to do a mobilisation of Moscow and St. Petersburg he would already done it, but he saw how his first mobilisation worked out hundreds of thousands from Moscow and St. Petersburg fled Russia he needs those high skilled and educated. Same as the so called "corruption" purge in the military, it is the FSB destroying the power of the army to make sure they top dog.

[Jimbuna]

[Jimbuna]

Putin gathers allies to show West's pressure isn’t working

Imagine you're Vladimir Putin.

The West has dubbed you a pariah for invading Ukraine. Sanctions are aiming to cut off your country's economy from global markets.

And there's an arrest warrant out for you from the International Criminal Court.

How can you show the pressure is not working? Try hosting a summit.

This week in the city of Kazan President Putin will greet more than 20 heads of state at the Brics summit of emerging economies. Among the leaders invited are China’s Xi Jinping, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.

The Kremlin has called it one of the "largest-scale foreign policy events ever" in Russia.

"The clear message is that attempts to isolate Russia have failed," thinks Chris Weafer, founding partner of consultancy firm Macro-Advisory.

"It's a big part of the messaging from the Kremlin that Russia is withstanding sanctions. We know there are severe cracks beneath the surface. But at a geopolitical level Russia has all these friends and they’re all going to be Russia's partners."

So, who are Russia's friends?

Brics stands for Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. The grouping, often referred to as a counterweight to the Western-led world, has expanded to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates.

Saudi Arabia, too, has been invited to join.

The Brics nations account for 45% of the global population. Added together, members' economies are worth more than $28.5tn (£22tn). That's around 28% of the global economy.

Russian officials have indicated that another 30 countries want to join Brics or seek closer ties with the club. Some of these nations will take part in the summit. In Kazan this week expect a lot of talk about Brics representing the "global majority".

But apart from providing Vladimir Putin his moment on the geopolitical stage, what is the event likely to achieve?

Keen to ease the pressure from Western sanctions, the Kremlin leader will hope to convince Brics members to adopt an alternative to the dollar for global payments.

"A lot of the problems Russia's economy is facing are linked to cross-border trade and payments. And a lot of that is linked to the US dollar," says Mr Weafer.

"The US Treasury has enormous power and influence over global trade simply because the US dollar is the main currency for settling that. Russia's main interest is in breaking the dominance of the US dollar. It wants Brics countries to create an alternative trade mechanism and cross-border settlement system that does not involve the dollar, the euro or any of the G7 currencies, so that sanctions won't matter so much."

But critics point to differences within Brics. "Likeminded" is not a word you would use to describe the current membership.

"In some ways it’s a good job for the West that China and India can never agree about anything. Because if those two were really serious, Brics would have enormous influence," notes Jim O'Neill, former Chief Economist of Goldman Sachs.

"China and India are doing their best to avoid wanting to attack each other a lot of the time. Trying to get them to really co-operate on economic things is a never-ending challenge."

It was Mr O’Neill who, at the turn of the century, dreamt up the acronym "Bric" for four emerging economies he believed should be "brought into the centre of global policy making".

But the four letters would take on a life of their own, after the corresponding nations formed their own Bric group - later Brics, when South Africa joined. They would attempt to challenge the dominance of the G7: the world's seven largest "advanced" economies (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the US).

It's not just India and China who have their differences. There is tension between two of the newest Brics members, Egypt and Ethiopia. And, despite talk of detente, Iran and Saudi Arabia have long been regional rivals.

"The idea that they’re all going to fundamentally agree on something of great substance is bonkers really," believes Mr O’Neill.

And while Russia, fuelled by anti-Western sentiment, talks about creating a "new world order", other Brics members, like India, are keen to retain good political and economic relations with the West.

In Kazan, Vladimir Putin's task will be to skim over the differences and paint a picture of unity, while showing the Russian public – and the international community – that his country is far from isolated.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly3ylwg4eqo

[Jimbuna]

US not seeking war with Russia, but will defend every inch of NATO territory - Austin

The US does not want to initiate a war with Russia. However, it will fulfill its obligations to other NATO countries, stated Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin during a meeting with Ukrainian students.

He assured that US President Joe Biden has chosen the path of mutual responsibility and collective security. Therefore, the US has decided to share the responsibility of ensuring that Ukraine remains sovereign and free.

According to Austin, the US does not seek war with Russia. Even if Putin creates threats of nuclear war, the US will continue to treat it with the responsibility that the world rightly expects from a nuclear power, Austin emphasized.

He assured that the US will defend every inch of NATO territory and will provide Ukraine with the necessary assistance to fight for its survival and security.

Threats from Russia

Russia has repeatedly threatened Western countries for their support of Ukraine in the war.

Recently, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine, outlining new conditions under which Russia might use nuclear weapons.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...9814a7ba&ei=28

[mapuc]

Markus

[Dargo]

South Korea May Send Military Personnel to Ukraine Amid Suspected North Korean Deployments

South Korea may soon deploy military intelligence personnel in Ukraine to monitor North Korean troops claimed to be fighting for Russia, the Yonhap news agency reported Tuesday, citing an anonymous government source. Seoul's spy agency said Friday that Pyongyang sent a “large-scale” troop deployment to fight in Moscow’s war against Ukraine, claiming that 1,500 North Korean special forces were already undergoing training in Russia's Far East before they were expected to be sent to the front lines. A North Korean representative at the United Nations later dismissed the South’s claims as a “groundless rumor.” Russia has not confirmed the troop deployment but defended its military cooperation with Pyongyang as “not directed against the interests of South Korea’s security” after Seoul summoned the Russian ambassador there. “There is a possibility that personnel will be sent to Ukraine to monitor the tactics and combat capabilities of North Korean special forces dispatched in support of Russia,” Yonhap quoted a government source in Seoul as saying. The personnel would reportedly be recruited from the South Korean military’s intelligence units to analyze North Korean battlefield tactics and help interrogate any North Korean troops captured in Ukraine.

Authorities in Seoul are also considering whether to include defensive and, eventually, lethal weapons supplies to its current logistics and humanitarian aid to Ukraine, according to Yonhap’s source. South Korea “strongly condemned” Pyongyang on Tuesday, urging its troops to be immediately withdrawn and warning of “phased countermeasures” in coordination with the international community. The South Korean Defense Ministry said earlier that Moscow may be providing financial assistance or advanced technologies to North Korea in exchange for troop support. Washington and its allies have already voiced concern about North Korea supplying weapons to Russia, which invaded Ukraine in February 2022. U.S. Ambassador to the UN Robert Wood said South Korea’s reports of North Korean plans to send soldiers to Ukraine would mark a “dangerous and highly concerning” step in Russian-North Korean military ties. Yonhap also reported Tuesday that a pro-war Telegram account posted a photo showing the Russian and North Korean flags waving side by side on a Ukrainian battlefield. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/...-yonhap-a86767

[mapuc]

Who would have imagine this SK fighting NK in another country.
That is if SK sends troops to Ukraine.

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Who would have imagine this SK fighting NK in another country.
That is if SK sends troops to Ukraine.

Markus

Important thing is they now gone send more weapons and munition on top they already via proxy sending. South Korea will send intelligence units with their equipment, this will give Ukraine more intel, they already share more intel with Nato.

[mapuc]

Originally Posted by Dargo

Important thing is they now gone send more weapons and munition on top they already via proxy sending. South Korea will send intelligence units with their equipment, this will give Ukraine more intel, they already share more intel with Nato.

Ah ok I was thinking in the terms of combat soldiers.

What will NATO do now that NK have sent troops to Ukraine ? And more is to come.

I'm convinced NK will have around 50-60.000 soldiers in Ukraine within the next 6-8 month.

Markus

[mapuc]

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Ah ok I was thinking in the terms of combat soldiers.

What will NATO do now that NK have sent troops to Ukraine ? And more is to come.

I'm convinced NK will have around 50-60.000 soldiers in Ukraine within the next 6-8 month.

Markus

Nato I do not see sending combat units those North Korea 10,000 do not make a dent, they will be about 9 days of the Russian losses.

[mapuc]

Originally Posted by Dargo

Nato I do not see sending combat units those North Korea 10,000 do not make a dent, they will be about 9 days of the Russian losses.

According to this video-NATO have not a 100 % proof North Korea is fighting in Ukraine.



Markus

[August]

Originally Posted by mapuc

According to this video-NATO have not a 100 % proof North Korea is fighting in Ukraine.



Markus

And you won't until the Ukrainians actually capture some of them.