Here we go again-Ukraine once again pt2

[Skybird]

Lets hope it works as he intends.


[Focus] According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyi, he has appointed two new deputies to the Commander-in-Chief of the military - bypassing several high-ranking generals in the process. "Deputy Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi will be Colonel Vadim Sukharevskyi - his area is autonomous systems and the development of the use of drones for our soldiers - and Colonel Andriy Lebedenko - his area is innovations and the technological component of the army and combat systems," said Zelenskyi in his daily video address on Saturday. In doing so, he placed two officers of lower rank in front of a number of generals as their superiors.

Zelensky justified the appointments with the need to promote new technologies in the military. This would serve to reduce losses at the front, said the 46-year-old. Selensky had already announced a large-scale reorganization at the top of the army after replacing the commander-in-chief. In fact, he also replaced three deputy chiefs of staff on Saturday. In Volodymyr Horbatyuk, Olexiy Shevchenko and Mykhailo Drapato, however, he appointed three experienced brigadier generals.

[Dargo]

Syrskyi in, Zaluzhnyi out. What our army sources expect from Ukraine’s army reshuffle

Ukraine’s new commander-in-chief faces a critical frontline situation, institutional problems, and trust issues On 8 February, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy made the announcement that seemed inevitable: he sacked Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, replacing him with General Oleksandr Syrskyi. Rumors about a brewing conflict between Ukraine’s top leaders were swirling for months, escalating on 29 January in a botched-up attempt to fire the highly popular Zaluzhnyi. Then, multiple sources reported that Land Forces Commander Syrskyi and spy chief Kyrylo Budanov were tapped to replace Zaluzhnyi yet refused.

Eventually, Zelenskyy chose Syrskyi and now announced that “a new management team is taking over the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.” What did Zaluzhnyi achieve, what did he not manage to do, and can Syrskyi break the stalemate at the front? Euromaidan Press talked to three Ukrainian officers, a sergeant, a seasoned army volunteer and sieved through the latest Ukrainian analyses to understand what’s next... https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/02/...le/?swcfwerwer

[Jimbuna]

It wouldn't surprise me if Zaluzhnyi challenges Zelenskyy politically soon.

[mapuc]

Should there be an election this year or has Zelenskyy postpone it, due to the war ?

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Should there be an election this year or has Zelenskyy postpone it, due to the war ?

Markus

Only the people of Ukraine can request that. Ukraine’s constitution holds that the country may not hold parliamentary elections until martial law, in effect since February 24, 2022, is lifted, and for six months thereafter. Several laws would need to be changed in order for presidential elections to be held, which raises its own problems. Even if a legal solution could be found, security, financial, and organizational obstacles to holding free, fair, and representative elections are far more serious. Zelenskyy is not opposed to holding elections but insists they must be held in accordance with the highest standards of democratic elections possible and should not detract from the country’s national defence efforts. Many Ukrainian civic organizations promoting free and fair elections agree on the need to held elections only when the right conditions are present to ensure the integrity of the process and results. https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-po...ection-dilemma

[Skybird]

In Kharkiv, the parts of missiles fired by the Russian military at the Ukrainian city were piled up. This photo was taken in December 2022.

[mapuc]

On Sunday, the Democratic-led Senate voted 67-27 to clear the latest procedural hurdle and moved the foreign aid measure towards an ultimate vote on passage in the coming days.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/...us-senate-vote

Hope it will give Ukraine some needed help.

Markus

[mapuc]

No doubt Ukraine has some supply issues



Markus

[Jimbuna]

[August]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Should there be an election this year or has Zelenskyy postpone it, due to the war ?

Markus

Their parliament decides that, not Zelenski. I believe every six months they have to vote to extend the election moratorium.

[Jimbuna]

[mapuc]

Markus

[Jimbuna]

Russia has limited defence industry, but still able to maintain army readiness - ISW

Russia currently has a limited defense industrial base for the production of weapons and an insufficient number of serial lines for tank production. However, this does not prevent the aggressor from producing a sufficient amount of equipment at the current pace to support its military efforts in the medium and long term, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Ukrainian military observer Kostiantyn Mashovets noted that the Russian defense-industrial base is not as productive as the Kremlin portrays it, but it remains capable of sustaining the combat potential of the Russian army.

According to the Security Council, Russia's defense industry reached its production peak in September 2023, exceeding the average monthly production volume in 2022 by 38.9%, and steadily declined in the following months.
Mashovets stated that the Russian defense industry is trying to compensate for the shortage of medium- and high-skilled labor, as well as the inability to obtain necessary industrial production equipment, spare parts, and service support to maintain the pace and volume of arms production.

According to the observer, Chinese companies are less willing to provide equipment and spare parts to Russia. Western companies are unwilling to service or supply parts for these machines due to sanctions. However, the aggressor acquired many industrial production systems from Western countries before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Military analyst Oleksandr Kovalenko noted that the reported production volumes of tanks in recent years by Russia mostly consist of refurbished and modernized machines taken from storage, rather than new samples of armaments.

According to the expert, the main Russian tank manufacturer, Uralvagonzavod, under ideal conditions, can produce approximately 60-70 T-90 tanks per year. This means that the enterprise produces from three to six new tanks of this model monthly.

Tank producers Uralvagonzavod, Omsktransmash, and the 103rd Armored Tank Repair Plant in Chita (Zabaykalsky Krai) are primarily focused on refurbishing, repairing, and modernizing existing tanks. Meanwhile, Uralvagonzavod is currently the only producer of new tanks.

Additionally, Kovalenko pointed out that Russia only modernizes T-54/55 and T-62 tanks, which could potentially become the main combat vehicles of its army in the future.

"Russian manufacturers very rarely modernize T-72 and T-80 tanks. Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitri Medvedev previously stated that Russian forces received 1,600 tanks in 2023, and Kovalenko attributed this number primarily to restored and modernized rather than serially produced tanks," the ISW report stated.

Experts at the Institute also note that Russia is capable of modernizing and deploying tanks withdrawn from storage, giving its forces an advantage on the battlefield in terms of quantity.

Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets pointed out that some new tanks, such as the T-14 Armata, are poorly manufactured. Instead, Russia actively repairs old tanks, like the T-72, which are more reliable.

Furthermore, Russia consistently seeks to adapt to the limitations imposed by Western sanctions and will continue to try to circumvent them.

"Russia’s DIB may struggle in the near term and increasing sanctions evasion measures and partnerships with states including China and North Korea may help compensate for existing DIB shortcomings in the medium to long term," the ISW report states.

Earlier it was reported that the Russian defense-industrial complex could produce at least 100 main battle tanks per month.

According to the latest data from the Ukrainian Air Force, Russia still possesses around 900 precision long-range missiles.

The General Staff of the Ministry of Defense reported that Russian forces have not used Kalibr cruise missiles to strike Ukraine since mid-September 2023, likely to conserve missile reserves.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/othe...7855c010&ei=23

[Dargo]

I Kant stop laughing

The governor of western Russia's Kaliningrad region blamed the 18th-century German enlightenment philosopher Immanuel Kant for the outbreak of war in Ukraine. “He is directly related to the military conflict in Ukraine,” Anton Alikhanov, who governs the western exclave of Kaliningrad, said Friday at a local political science forum.... https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/...ine-war-a84046

[Dargo]

Ukraine has plans to produce thousands of long-range attack drones in 2024 capable of hitting targets deep in Russia, said Digital Transformation Minister Mykhailo Fedorov in an interview with Reuters published on Feb. 12. Ukraine has intensified its efforts to ramp up domestic production of attack drones, a critical tool on the battlefield, aiming to manufacture 1 million drones this year. Multiple drone strikes have been reported on oil depots and refineries in Russia in January, including Bryansk, Oryol, and Leningrad oblasts... https://kyivindependent.com/fedorov-...rones-in-2024/

Ukraine’s Pokrova Spoofing System Tells Shaheds To Get Lost

Valerii Zaluzhnyi, then Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, revealed the existence of the system last November in a paper laying out his plans to break out the current military impasse. “…the capabilities to counter high-precision enemy weapons (guided missiles, UAVs) are increasing due to the deployment of a nationwide ‘Pokrova’ electronic warfare system with the possibility of replacing the satellite radio navigation field ('spoofing'), suppression of satellite radio navigation. along the entire line of contact and in most of the territory of Ukraine,” Zaluzhnyi wrote.

Pokrova is the Ukrainian name for the Feast Of Protection of the Mother of God, which celebrates an occasion in the 10th century when an apparition of the Virgin Mary is said to have spread her veil over a church in Constantinople during a siege, causing the besiegers to withdraw. Its namesake similarly throws a protective veil over Ukraine.

Jamming overwhelms navigation systems (GPS and others such as the Russian GLONASS) with noise. Spoofing causes them to give an incorrect location by generating a fake signal, and most of the known examples come from Russia. Drivers close to the Kremlin find their satnav tells them that they are at the airport, and ships in the Black Sea may appear to be miles inland. Putin appears to be surrounded by a bubble of spoofing, likely as protection against drone attacks. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidha...s-to-get-lost/