Iran/US conflict

Skybird · 01-08-20, 07:39 AM

Bild Zeitung claims to have sources for that US defences took out all missiles fired at the US consulate in Erbil. Thats why there were no damages and losses.

Iraq says it received warnings from Iran short time ahead of the incoming attack. No word on whether the Iraqis handed the warning on to the Americans as well.

Iran rejects to hand over the blackbox of the Ukrainian 737. "Aviation Herald" reports that the Ukrainean embassy immediately released a message that it was no terror or missile strike - and that the message was deleted just short time later and replaced with a general travel warning for Iran. Iranian authorities spoke of a technical accident already a few minutes after the plane crashed. Thats what I call a competent research team! - Its very well possible, but not certain, that the primary message the Iranians wanted to send was not the strike on the US bases in Iraq, but what has happened to this civilian airliner. However, there is one contra to this theory: most people aboard were Iranians, says IRNA. But their count of victims gives three people more aboard than the official passenger list by CAO.

However, I think this will be all escalation for the moment. Iran saved its face, seems to have wanted to avoid a serious high-death-toll retaliation which woukld have forced the US retaliate in return again, and that Trump waits and takes long time before adressing the public with more thna a Tweet may be an indication that the WH does not consider further escalation as well. Iranian propaganda commandoes are rolling through the street and annoucne a smashing victory. The people at home feel proud. Objective achieved.

I bet 2:1 that this is it for the moment. What the future brigns, is somethign different. In the end, Iran may be a tougher nut than Iran was in 2003, but it cannot afford a full blown war with the Us at this point of time, and is in serious economic stress already. If Soleimani would not have been a likely candidate for the succession as head of state (maybe the real reason why the Americnas took him out: you do not want such a smart and efficient man to become leader of an enemy nation) , they maybe would not have reacted at all. Now a bitter fight for the vacant position of heir of the throne will unleash.

01-08-20, 07:39 AM	#11
Skybird Soaring Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: the mental asylum named Germany Posts: 42,781 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	Bild Zeitung claims to have sources for that US defences took out all missiles fired at the US consulate in Erbil. Thats why there were no damages and losses. Iraq says it received warnings from Iran short time ahead of the incoming attack. No word on whether the Iraqis handed the warning on to the Americans as well. Iran rejects to hand over the blackbox of the Ukrainian 737. "Aviation Herald" reports that the Ukrainean embassy immediately released a message that it was no terror or missile strike - and that the message was deleted just short time later and replaced with a general travel warning for Iran. Iranian authorities spoke of a technical accident already a few minutes after the plane crashed. Thats what I call a competent research team! - Its very well possible, but not certain, that the primary message the Iranians wanted to send was not the strike on the US bases in Iraq, but what has happened to this civilian airliner. However, there is one contra to this theory: most people aboard were Iranians, says IRNA. But their count of victims gives three people more aboard than the official passenger list by CAO. However, I think this will be all escalation for the moment. Iran saved its face, seems to have wanted to avoid a serious high-death-toll retaliation which woukld have forced the US retaliate in return again, and that Trump waits and takes long time before adressing the public with more thna a Tweet may be an indication that the WH does not consider further escalation as well. Iranian propaganda commandoes are rolling through the street and annoucne a smashing victory. The people at home feel proud. Objective achieved. I bet 2:1 that this is it for the moment. What the future brigns, is somethign different. In the end, Iran may be a tougher nut than Iran was in 2003, but it cannot afford a full blown war with the Us at this point of time, and is in serious economic stress already. If Soleimani would not have been a likely candidate for the succession as head of state (maybe the real reason why the Americnas took him out: you do not want such a smart and efficient man to become leader of an enemy nation) , they maybe would not have reacted at all. Now a bitter fight for the vacant position of heir of the throne will unleash. __________________ If you feel nuts, consult an expert. Last edited by Skybird; 01-08-20 at 08:07 AM.