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#31 |
Lucky Jack
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The stroking of the pointy end of the Boeing in this thread is astounding.
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#32 | |
Ocean Warrior
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Don't mistake my kindness for weakness. I'm kind to everyone, but when someone is unkind to me, weak is not what you are going to remember about me. Al Capone |
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#33 |
Lucky Jack
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An enlightening video from Mentour Pilot (he has now deleted the video from his channel because he doesn't want to speculate) that shows them trying a similar situation in a simulator.
https://vimeo.com/329558134 At the end their stab trim is at 2.5 units (0= full AND, 10= full ANU) and it is extremely hard to manually trim it back. The Ethiopian plane had about 2.3 units of stab trim for most of the trouble period before going close to 0 (full AND) at the end. Last edited by Dowly; 04-11-19 at 05:52 AM. |
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#34 | |
Navy Seal
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* Boeing was absolutely clear and complete in its communication with Ethiopian Airlines, alerting them that the trim overrun situation in the Lion Air crash was definitely a trim overrun situation and probably an error involving MCAS and a jammed angle of attack sensor. Boeing required the addition of a page to the Aircraft Operations Manual an requested that the 737 Operations Manager of Ethiopian Airlines brief all pilots on the possibility, emphasizing that this is merely a variation of the trim overrun memory procedure in place for the past 52 years. * The pilot followed the memory procedure for switching the elevator trim cutout switches to "cutout," which kept MCAS from executing any more actual trim changes to the airplane. The data flight recorders confirmed that the cutout switches were in the correct position, by recording MCAS commands to enter down trim that could not be applied because the electric trim switches were turned off. *The flight recorder shows that the pilots neglected to fly the airplane by reducing throttle (airspeed steadily increased to 500 knots, twice the Vmo for the 737 Max at under 10,000 feet. No competent pilot would have allowed the plane to exceed even 300 knots. Because of neglect of rudimentary flying skills, this plane exceeded 500 knots. Indeed, overspeed alarms at high volume were sounding throughout the entire last half of this 10 minute flight. The throttles were never touched. * Trim controls were unable to be manually adjusted due to the extreme overspeed condition of the plane, putting extreme aerodynamic loads on the elevator trim screw and manual trim system. The plane was literally in danger of coming apart before it even hit the ground. * Unable to trim the plane, but clearly in control of altitude, according to the altitude plot, the pilot decided the proper thing to do was to "put the terrorist back in control of the aircraft" (my words). Ironically, he could actually have done this safely and I'll detail how. First, fly the friggin' airplane. First thing you learn in flight school before you crawl into that Cessna 172 is "Aviate, navigate, communicate" in that order. First keep the plane in the air, then figure out where you are with a now stable airplane, then communicate with crew and ground to decide what to do next. These guys forgot to fly the plane. First thing they should have done, since they were in generally level flight is to divide jobs. Pilot works the controls and only does that. Co-pilot throws switches, debugs the problems and communicates. This isn't my idea. It's 100 year old established and time tested emergency procedure, known to every flight crew on the planet. Pilot should instantly have seen that his speed was threatening to tear the aircraft apart, then asked the co-pilot to reduce throttles to level cruise levels. After several seconds the plane would be flying level at less than 250 knots, unloading the trim system and allowing the copilot to easily trim the elevator. But suppose the trim couldn't be done manually. As the altitude plot clearly shows, the pilot had altitude control! At no point since the cutout switches were engaged had MCAS made the tiniest change to elevator trim and the pilot was climbing using yoke pressure alone! They no longer had an MCAS emergency. They had a gross overspeed emergency and never realized or reacted to it with appropriate actions. * Leaving the gross overspeed condition to become deadly, the pilot engaged the cutout switches, turning MCAS back on. He did this to be able to try the electric trim switch on the yoke. And it WORKED. He actually was able to trim the plane all the way neutral. He then had five seconds of controlled level flight before MCAS reengaged, and on the basis of the jammed angle of attack sensor moved the trim all the way to full down, crashing the plane. Although turning the cutout switches back on was totally against Boeing and Ethiopian Airlines procedures, airline captains are like old time ship captains. They are free to elect to ignore procedure in order to save the airplane. Ironically, this could have worked in a strictly controlled manner. First, the pilot, confining his job to flying the plane manually only would have to lay out the entire plan to his co-pilot. "Here's what we're going to do. I am going to tell you to switch the elevator trim cutout switches to "on" so I can use the electric trim switch. When you do I'll trim the plane neutral. As soon as I release the switch I'll tell you to move both elevator trim cutout switches to "cutout." You only have five seconds to do that before MCAS takes over again and if it does it will give us full down trim. Repeat that back to me." When they both demonstrate full comprehension, the pilot would give the command to reengage the elevator trim cutout switches. He would use the electric trim on his yoke (which turns MCAS temporarily off) to trim to neutral. Immediately he would order "cutout" and the co-pilot would have 5 seconds to throw both switches, an eternity when your life's on the line. It would be against procedure, but it would have worked. I asked Juan if that would work and his reply was "Yes, only if very carefully coordinated." However that extreme measure wasn't necessary. The pilot had altitude control. All he had to do was reduce throttle, trim straight and level with throttle, assess his altitude and if he needed more, establish throttle settings and attitude for climb to a safe altitude. He then could have again trimmed straight and level throttle and attitude. At that point the elevator would be entirely unloaded, flying at proper airspeed and the co-pilot could have easily manually trimmed to neutral. This incident, which should have been only a momentary annoyance, was allowed by bad piloting skills, and an unfortunate succession of faulty pilot decisions, to become a life-ending disaster. That's the very definition of pilot error. Of course if anyone wants to persuade people, providing better facts and better reasoning based on actual aviation experience that I'm wrong, all my statements are falsifiable. But merely proclaiming them to be "The stroking of the pointy end of the Boeing" is just an exercise in informing people that you are unable to dispute what I say.
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Sub Skipper's Bag of Tricks, Slightly Subnuclear Mk 14 & Cutie, Slightly Subnuclear Deck Gun, EZPlot 2.0, TMOPlot, TMOKeys, SH4CMS Last edited by Rockin Robbins; 04-13-19 at 12:07 PM. |
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#35 |
Dipped Squirrel Operative
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Well as far as i read the trimming automatics came on after being put to off position, this video does not mention one word of this.
Not speaking about how you want to build a plane using less fuel while changing aerodynamics and trying to patch this with software. https://leehamnews.com/2018/11/14/bo...to-the-pilots/ "It’s probably this counterintuitive characteristic, which goes against what has been trained many times in the simulator for unwanted autopilot trim or manual trim runaway, which has confused the pilots of JT610. They learned that holding against the trim stopped the nose down, and then they could take action, like counter-trimming or outright CUTOUT the trim servo. But it didn’t. After a 10 second trim to a 2.5° nose down stabilizer position, the trimming started again despite the Pilots pulling against it. The faulty high AOA signal was still present." "How should they know that pulling on the Yoke didn’t stop the trim? It was described nowhere; neither in the aircraft’s manual, the AFM, nor in the Pilot’s manual, the FCOM. This has created strong reactions from airlines with the 737 MAX on the flight line and their Pilots. They have learned the NG and the MAX flies the same. They fly them interchangeably during the week. They do fly the same as long as no fault appears. Then there are differences, and the Pilots should have been informed about the differences." Not mentioning that if one of two sensors fail let the electronics decide which one to trust and not alarming the pilot. Despite some omissions he also clearly states that this runaway trim was not able to overcome manually with the trim wheels due to the load on the elevators. But you do not take away thrust in a starting condition at a high angle of attack, when your plane's nose goes up and down without being able to control it, and they had two minutes to check it all. Not enough altitude. They were two pilots, not one of them seems to have realized the speed. I can only imagine howit is with a runaway stabilizer, warnings blaring and then adding another one with overspeed. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/ar...runawa-453443/ " ... in the case of the Lion Air Boeing 737 MAX crash, “now the airplane is pitching down and actually moving the control wheel will not stop that system. If the pilot uses the trim system on the yoke, the [MCAS] system will stop" but "if the airplane isn’t in the proper attitude it will reactivate, ...” Two minutes sounds like much time and mybe for a fighter pilot it is, but.. Maybe it was a 'pilot error', or an unlucky combination of changed 737's properties and the pilot(s) (both of them!) knowledge, but in any case it is not a good idea to use several automatic systems fighting each other, and overloading the pilot with figuring it all out and requiring inputs to correct faulty sensors. I do not like Airbus for exactly this reason. Taking control away from pilots is seldomly a good idea when there is a real problem.
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>^..^<*)))>{ All generalizations are wrong. Last edited by Catfish; 04-13-19 at 12:25 PM. |
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#36 | |||||||
Navy Seal
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"Two minutes sounds like much time and mybe for a fighter pilot it is, but.."[quote] But they had more than 8 minutes to fix it. They did and still found a way to crash the plane. Quote:
You're totally correct. New emphasis in manual control of aircraft, proper instrument scan routines, seat of the pants flying needs to be done, especially in third world countries. Total dependence on automatic systems is sure death. This incident totally proves that, but the total dependence doesn't reflect on Boeing, it reflects on the airlines, probably even American airlines, and the individual pilots who don't seek to actually know how to fly. They merely monitor automatic systems and watch the crash from especially close up when the automatic systems fail. And they WILL fail sometimes.
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#37 |
Dipped Squirrel Operative
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^ it would appear the evidence we have points to that you are right, and the crucial action that did not take place was switching the throttles to manual to lower the speed and have less pressure on the elevator controls.
When the Aoa vane or some data transfer on one side was indeed damaged why did the MCAS system take this input for real, when there was the second one working? The vane or some part of the one Aoa sensor on one side is damaged, the control system gets strange readings and sops, handing control to the pilots - autopilot off - ok. In the second the autopilot is off, the MCAS system counts to 5 seconds and then 'adjusts' the pitch down because of the one wrong one Aoa reading, but what is with the second one? I still wonder why (and if?) they really engaged the auto trim again when they had regained level flight, if being too fast. Or if it can have been a system fault(?) There also seem to be a lot of Aoa indicators failing recently ![]()
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>^..^<*)))>{ All generalizations are wrong. |
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#38 |
CINC Pacific Fleet
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When it comes to fly or to fully understand how to fly an airliner, like a 747 or similar, I'm useless.
I do know, however that these air crash detectives are really, really good at what they are doing. In the nearest future we will know exactly what happened and what caused it. Maybe the producere will upgrade some software and/or some hardware and the pilots will have to upgrade some learning on take-off. Markus |
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#39 | |
Soaring
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If then the new part of the code maybe was programmed with an error or several ones in it, or the code commands a handling that is too different than what the pilot knows from earlier versions of the plane, but Boeing did skip proper documentaiton and training (a claim that has been risen by many pilots by now from several airlines areound the globe), then you get into very serious problems. The software issue obviously is serious - a patch Boeing had announced for the MCAS trim thing, had to be pulled again and given back into rework once again. It does not matter whether there is really a flaw, or the work ergoniomic demanded by the new software collides with the pilots' handling as he knwos MCAS - the way it functions has to be recoded, obviously. That Boeing engineer said that normally for developing a project like the 737 MAx and its changes over earlier versions of the 737 (which already are quite optimised to ther max and thus do not offer too much space for more cost efficienct operation anymore, Boeing would have given them m ore than twice the time than they had this time, indicates that the race with airbus was a priority. And that was bad, they overplayed it apparently. Lacking docuemntation. Lacking communication. Lacking retraining to avoid new certification. Lacking knowledge on side of the pilots who did not - and could not!! - have fully understood the changes. Boom. Boom. Additionally the FAA has grounded the plane model for another software error unrelated to the MCAS issue, that the FAA rates serious enough that for that new issue alone they keep the plane grounded. Boeing, of course, says its minor. What else should they say - they have lost two planes and 300 people are killed and their PR currently hits rock bottom. The new issue illustrates that deliverign new software with errors in it, is not only possible, but real. The enormous time pressure that a Boeing engineer has pointed out in the project and the desire to avoid certification procedures bvy the FAA to save more time, certainly did not help to run all tests properly and check things the way they usually do. If adding all these hints together, its cheap to already label it a pilot error just to give Boeing a stain-free, clean jacket again. Its far more likely that Boeing pushed the pressure level beyond their usual safety limits. You cannot avoid to add that conclusion to the list of possebilities. Ethiopian Airlines must have had a reason why they did not deliver the blackbox to the US and Boeing for analysis, but to France. depending on whom you ask, that is more or less an affront. Boeing was said to be not happy with that decision and wanted the state department to intervenbe and set up diplomatic pressure on France. Trump was wise enough not to allow that, since the French - the initiators and in principal the founders of Airbus - certainly would have turned stubborn. US diplomacy could only lose, and the criticism that Boeing is being too close to the US goverment and the Pentagon would have gotten fed for free - and this after Boeing was just found guilty by the WTO to have gotten illegal state subventions, like Airbus before. No, staying out of this was the best Trump could have done.
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If you feel nuts, consult an expert. Last edited by Skybird; 04-13-19 at 06:07 PM. |
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#40 | |||||
Navy Seal
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Skybird, what are you trying to imply?
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Procedure says to shut down electric trim by turning the elevator trim override switches to "override." The co-pilot did this, showing that they knew the procedure. The pilot, with an out of trim plane, hand flew the plane to a save altitude and leveled off while his 94% throttle accelerated the plane like a dragster to twice its rated speed for that altitude. They didn't have a trim problem then. They had an airplane that was about to be disassembled by aerodynamic forces! Still neither touched the throttles until impact. Note that planes at twice safe speed limits (250 knots for 10,000 feet or below) respond quickly and violently to trim inputs. Since the pilot had control of the altitude and indeed doubled the altitude while he was hand controlling the plane, the proper thing for him to do was FLY THE PLANE! Instead, he turned a known malfunctioning system back on so it could kill everybody. Memory procedure, 52 years old, says clearly to leave the trim override switches off for the remainder of the flight. This pilot did not. Somehow this is Boeing's fault. Boeing exhibit A, from the ONLY source of facts we have, the Preliminary Accident Report: Quote:
But Skybird paints them evil shirkers of responsibility, actively hiding known defects in their planes because dead people buy the most airplanes. That position is not possible given the facts revealed in the Preliminary Accident Report. But undeterred, Skybird says what he says, although completely contradicted by the truth. A third passenger pilot/engineer in the blancolirio discussion said this after reading my analysis: "@RockinRobbins13 This guy gets it" On a subsequent post he clearly states "Rob Roilen 5 days ago @RockinRobbins13 Agreed. I see a lot of people regurgitating the latest half-true mainstream media updates and calling for software fixes without addressing some really common sense flying practices that simply were not used in this accident. Sure, refine MCAS, but teach pilots to rely less on automation." All three commercial pilots and engineers agreed with my assessment that the Ethiopian Airlines crash was caused by pilot error. Doesn't make it any less tragic but facts are stubborn things. I would be happy to conduct a line by line review of the Preliminary Accident Report for those who doubt I am telling the simple unbiased truth. But please read it for yourself, very carefully, before disagreeing with my conclusions. It will prevent a lot of embarrassment.
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Sub Skipper's Bag of Tricks, Slightly Subnuclear Mk 14 & Cutie, Slightly Subnuclear Deck Gun, EZPlot 2.0, TMOPlot, TMOKeys, SH4CMS Last edited by Rockin Robbins; 04-13-19 at 07:26 PM. |
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#41 | |
Shark above Space Chicken
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One might make a similar argument that if you back over a kid on a tricycle in your car, and didn't buy the back up camera with a proximity sensor, that it's the auto manufacturers fault for not making the equipment standard in the first place.
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"However vast the darkness, we must provide our own light." Stanley Kubrick "Tomorrow belongs to those who can hear it coming." David Bowie Last edited by Buddahaid; 04-13-19 at 08:32 PM. |
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#42 |
Soaring
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If you feel nuts, consult an expert. |
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#43 |
In the Brig
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preliminary accident report?
http://www.ecaa.gov.et/documents/204...2C(ET-AVJ).pdf or regurgitate the new york times? https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/23/b...gtype=Homepage not that difficult of a choice in my opinion |
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#44 | |
Soaring
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A preliminary accident report is that: a preliminary accident report. And the story on the whole 737 Max stories touches so many more aspects like politics and business ideologies that these will NEVER be contained in such a report. Fact is that even before the two crashes, there were incidents with pilots not being able to make sens eof what the MCAS did in these planes. How could that be, that is the question. Fact also is that there are at least one other issue with the plane that keeps it grounded by the fAA, a software issue they say, unrelated to the MCAS. Fact is that this MCAS is not the old version of it, but a system that in parts was newly designed for the needs of the 737 Max, and for it alone. Fact is that severla carriers and pilots complain about lacking docuemntation and training, so did external observers. Fact is that the plane was constructed under immense time pressure before unseen in the Boeing comoany, and that ormer Boeing exploees concluded that in the process Boeing's own - and quite high!! I am not against boeing airplanes at all!! - security standards seem to have been accepted to get violated, to save time. Fact also is that they did not trust Boeing to be left alone with the black recorder data analysis.And that the comaony is under heavy fire since long to be too close to the government, and the Pentagon. You can hold up your holy book of accident reprts as long as you want, Robbins, but you wikl need to wake up tot he fact that it will never explain all the world to you. I do not and never did say how it has been, I just remind of the contreadctions as reproted by people who by teirn own profession - engineering, designing airplanes, flying them for carriers - know much more abiut it. You want to rule out everythign that shall not be: that Boeing may have overplayed the cards and accepted small flaws growing into big, lethal problems. I only remind of the the many lose ends there are, that the explanatiosn so far are not satisfactory, and we cannot rule somethign out just becasue somebody does not want it to be shown as possibole truth. I refuse a tunnel view. Its too early. Anbd tio many questions from even before the two crashes remain unanswered. Will you please understand that now, finally, before throwing more mud at me.
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#45 | ||
Lucky Jack
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![]() Also, if you watched the video I posted above, you see that in a simulator at 300kts it takes some force to move the manual trim and at 340kts it becomes extremely hard to use the manual trim. Seen as the video has been deleted from vimeo, here is a transcript: Quote:
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