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Old 06-24-18, 08:55 AM   #1
Rockstar
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And the stubbornness of the E.U. and refusal to negotiate will strike back on domestic vendors, and other actors who are dependent on new goods that are not in their own country.


Hence the term 'Trade War'
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Old 06-24-18, 08:57 AM   #2
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Originally Posted by Rockstar View Post
And the stubbornness of the E.U. will strike back on domestic vendors, and other actors who are dependent on new goods that are not in their own country.


Hence the term 'Trade War'
I really hope that there will not be a full-scale trade war.
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Old 06-24-18, 10:10 AM   #3
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And the stubbornness of the E.U. and refusal to negotiate will strike back on domestic vendors, and other actors who are dependent on new goods that are not in their own country.
It will hurt both sides, but the big difference is that while the EU and other countries have placed tariffs on finished products that are not necessary for the consumer and for which there are other options to buy, the US on the other hand placed tariffs on raw materials that it needs and cannot supply on its own at the moment. Doesn't sound like a very strong position to start a trade war from.

As for negotiations, I don't know if there were any proposed agreements for the EU, but the NAFTA proposition was hugely favoring the US had it been agreed on. That's not any more fair than the current agreements. Trump is only interested in winning, there is no other option for him. Let's see how that works out.
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Old 06-24-18, 10:25 AM   #4
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The EU has offered, last but not least under pressure from Germany, renegotiations and easing of existing tarrifs.

Whether the US has higher tarrifs on EU goods or the EU had higher tarrifs on US goods, can be endlessly debated. What Trump does not say is that the trade surplus of Europe that he talks of, is only one half of the truth. Non-material economy, namely IT licenses, and service businesses also count, here US companies are global super powers (MS, Google, Apple and the likes), but he ignores these, knowing that the US scores very heavily here. If these get counted as well, then it is the US that most likely has a trade surplus.

In the end, what Trump really is after, are two things. First, pleasing his fans: "See, I hunt the EU dragon and slay it, there!" Second, and that is far more important, he wants to weaken Europe'S negotiation position by dividing it and replacing the EU as the US only negotiation partner with a series of single nations with much weaker position each, who he then can dictate better terms and conditions in US-nation talks instead of US-EU talks. Shatter the block, and then pick up the pieces, that could be named as his motto.

A third effect he may be after, is the indirect weakening of the EU economy by making the fiscal engine of the EU, Germany, stutter. Damaging the car industry means damaging the core industry of Germany (as if you would do a similar attack to the US computer and software industry), Germany is very vulnerable there. A struggling Germany means a struggling EU.

Trump only sometimes tells rightout lies, he prefers to mix some lies with some half-truths, or to tell only half the truth and hide the other half that is more uncomfortable for his claims. In this he indeed is quite clever. What does not mean that he could be trusted any better.

Avoiding a trade war? The war is already there. He almost pearl-harboured Europe, Germany.
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Last edited by Skybird; 06-24-18 at 11:32 AM.
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Old 06-24-18, 11:22 AM   #5
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I know its campaign promises and politics geared towards the next election. But still, I like it better than apology tours.



Unfortunately you all already have enough home grown problems of your own sorry for compounding them, NOT.




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