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Old 09-24-13, 06:22 PM   #1
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Originally Posted by Aktungbby View Post
You are overlooking the economics of the whole thing too. Anything with a jet (we got lots)can be used once retro fitted and with the excess ground pilots wanting to make their promotion "gates", there is no lack of personnel who really know how, including ex airline guys(formerly USAF 10 year captains) with miserable retirements like my old ROTC crowd. Plus when one IS lost there is no loss cost insurance-wise to the family or long term rehab issues(PTSS). For once the battlefield axiom applies: to every expensive problem there is a cheap solution (stinger missiles vs Hind Helos; Liberty ships vs Uboats etc.) and we have the cheap solution to our own expensive (manned plane) problem at hand. Since the Raptor is so expensive and with no practical opponent to fight, unmanned is the way to go. The WWII US bomber, with 4 officers and 6 sergeants had to make 8 trips to "dehouse" German workers and factories and thus pay for itself (break even on men, machine and ordinance) against the rehouse cost of those workers. Cold ruthless calculators 'a calculatin'! The game has not changed much.

Yeah you lost me at the point you started rambling about promotions.Sorry but I see nothing in that post that has anything to do with a OF-16 or a UAV I may have missed something relevant in the text wall.
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Old 09-24-13, 09:06 PM   #2
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Yeah you lost me at the point you started rambling about promotions.Sorry but I see nothing in that post that has anything to do with a OF-16 or a UAV I may have missed something relevant in the text wall.
He's saying it's cheaper to use existing aircraft than build new ones.

The problem is that a remotely piloted F-16 will still have the same strengths and weaknesses versus a remotely piloted MiG-29 as they did when humans were aboard. Nothing really changes here.
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Old 09-26-13, 01:35 AM   #3
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He's saying it's cheaper to use existing aircraft than build new ones.

The problem is that a remotely piloted F-16 will still have the same strengths and weaknesses versus a remotely piloted MiG-29 as they did when humans were aboard. Nothing really changes here.
Thank you August; One overlooked possible factor with unmanned cheap rehabs is the lack of finesse possible, No need to dogfight, just RAM when all else fails. And then ... launch a new rehab(after lunch) from the desert boneyard! That MIG may not out-perform an F-16 but the kamikaze threat will deter any mission considerably. Axiom 2: 'numbers have cachet of their own'; an outnumbered F-16 may get a few in a distance standoff missile-wise but something WILL get through. The Germans learned this first hand at Kursk when their superior tanks were simply rammed by Russian T-34 tanks-and the great 'defense war' back to Berlin started.
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Old 09-26-13, 06:47 AM   #4
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Thank you August; One overlooked possible factor with unmanned cheap rehabs is the lack of finesse possible, No need to dogfight, just RAM when all else fails. And then ... launch a new rehab(after lunch) from the desert boneyard! That MIG may not out-perform an F-16 but the kamikaze threat will deter any mission considerably. Axiom 2: 'numbers have cachet of their own'; an outnumbered F-16 may get a few in a distance standoff missile-wise but something WILL get through. The Germans learned this first hand at Kursk when their superior tanks were simply rammed by Russian T-34 tanks-and the great 'defense war' back to Berlin started.
There ain't that many aircraft in those boneyards that one could waste them in kamikaze attacks. As for numbers having a cachet of their own that's true but you should remember that there are a lot more Migs in the world than there are F16's. Oh and the T-34 was not an inferior tank. It was comparable and in many aspects superior to the German.
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Old 09-26-13, 10:10 AM   #5
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There ain't that many aircraft in those boneyards that one could waste them in kamikaze attacks. As for numbers having a cachet of their own that's true but you should remember that there are a lot more Migs in the world than there are F16's. Oh and the T-34 was not an inferior tank. It was comparable and in many aspects superior to the German.
True enough as to the sloping armor however the guns of the panther(long barrel) and tiger (88) were 'considered' superior firepower at the time and at a distance, would prevail, hence the brutal(true hate?) tactic of simply ramming. Of course the fatal delay to bring the new panther( Germany's response to the T-34) on line only gave the time factor advantage to the Russian defensive preparations (pits,mines and anti tank gun positions) at Kursk. I should have been clearer on the 'numbers cachet' thing: THERE are a LOT more MIGs than F-16s-something will get through!
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Old 09-26-13, 10:27 AM   #6
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Wait until some 12 year old kid takes it over from his home PC.
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Old 09-24-13, 09:09 PM   #7
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Yeah, I think that this will be more useful for training purposes than actually using it as an armed drone, so an F-16 pilot can dogfight another F-16 and actually go full 'fangs out' so to speak without having to explain to his CO why he just killed another USAF pilot.
Of course, it loses a little in the fact that the drone can't actually shoot back properly, and although there is a vast stockpile of dry-bones aircraft in the desert, I can't see the USAF being content to burn through it in a large way, although aircraft like the old F-4s which are probably a bit too long in the tooth for any major conflict of the future might find themselves as drones.

There's also the decoy side of it, remember in Red Storm Rising when the carrier group got spoofed by some Kelt missiles? Meant that the F-14 cover spent precious minutes and fuel chasing shadows and were out of position for the real attack. It would be difficult without the proper intercept equipment to know which aircraft were drones and which were not, and that's assuming that the drones are unarmed. You slap weapons on them and you've got a much bigger USAF than there currently is.

Of course, as it stands, you still need the pilots to fly them, albeit from a hut rather than the cockpit, but it's still roughly one UAV to one pilot, IIRC, certainly in a dogfight situation.

So, Skybird is correct, the next logical step is autonomous drones, and I'm pretty certain that this is already being worked on, and when that happens then the risk of drone control intercept is closed, and the human oversight that is needed is reduced, so you could have one pilot for an entire squadron. At this point the boneyards become a very busy place and the numbers game starts to change in a big way.

And/or Skynet...
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Old 09-24-13, 11:41 PM   #8
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Hmm, wasn't this is plot of Stealth?


PS: when it comes to autopilot, the Russians are actually huge fans of this technology. It is actually the Americans who don't trust it as much.

Back before the Soviet Union fell apart, the Soviets were already automating their space shuttle clone:

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An hour and a half after launch, Buran’s software began its reentry and landing sequence. Propellant was transferred forward from rear tanks to meet center of gravity requirements, and the orbiter maneuvered itself so that it was leading with its tail, orienting its engines for the deorbit burn. The burn was nominal, and half an hour later with its nose pitched high, Buran entered the atmosphere off the western coast of Africa.
To get around the winds still blowing at Baikonur, the orbiter was programmed to approach the runway from the east. But the onboard computer was tasked with making its own decisions in the final landing phases, taking into account realtime data. It was tense for those watching the telemetry. When Buran changed its approach profile at the last minute to dissipate more energy, technicians worried that a flaw in the programming was about to result in a crash landing.
Battling headwinds and crosswinds, the orbiter touched down just one second earlier than planned, traveling at 163 miles per hour. The drogue chutes deployed, slowing Buran until it rolled to a stop at 10:25.24 local time. The end of the mission was publicly marked by a brief and businesslike announcement from TASS.
http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/...assumptions/2/
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Old 09-24-13, 11:50 PM   #9
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The Soviets were very big on automating technology, I guess they wouldn't need commissars for computers (). If I recall correctly the original plans for the Alfa SSN called for it to have a crew no bigger than about twenty, and everything else would be automated. Unfortunately the design bureau was writing cheques that technology couldn't cash and so the compromise and re-designing began and thus the 'Golden Fish' was born.
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Old 09-25-13, 05:22 AM   #10
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So, Skybird is correct, the next logical step is autonomous drones, and I'm pretty certain that this is already being worked on, and when that happens then the risk of drone control intercept is closed, and the human oversight that is needed is reduced, so you could have one pilot for an entire squadron. At this point the boneyards become a very busy place and the numbers game starts to change in a big way.

And/or Skynet...
In Daniel Suarez' hightech-sf-novel "Kill Decision" swarm intelligence of ants gets implemented and remodelled in Ai control for drones, and then several drones get linked to form an autonomous swarm. The plot goes that the hive builds containers with drones inside from where they get launched by the hundreds like it is feared for cruise missiles started from a containership in an unconventionel future naval conflict. The AI loads them onto a cargoship - thousands of them, and then there it is - an autonomous drone carrier defended by thousands of drones linked and controlled by artificial swarm intelligence. A murderous weapon (in the novel ).

Telling it because of the plot only. His earlier, linked books "Deamon" and "Darknet" are much more recommendable. Intelligent and action-dripping hightech speculation I would call them. It is about AI, virtual reality, Google Glasses, and autonomous community building and democracy.

Suarez is a former software expert, and knows this kind of stuff. Thats what makes his speculations so tempting. The Dale Brown of computer-tech-scifi.
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