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Old 08-20-11, 05:40 PM   #9
TLAM Strike
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Join Date: Apr 2002
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Torplexed View Post
I know what you mean. This 1991 dud from George Friedman comes to mind.



At the time the book based its argument on the idea that the geo-political situation of the 1990s would be similar to the 1930s encouraging similar economic-military expansionism in Japan. What actually happened was that Japan entered a huge slump in the early 1990s that is still referred to today as the ‘lost decade’. While fully referenced and researched the book completely misunderstands the lessons of the past and misapplies them to the future. As an academic Friedman should have known better than this.
At least Clancy worked it so that the economic slump caused the war with Japan.

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