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Old 06-03-09, 12:56 AM   #2
Skybird
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Nobody has a solution to how to stop them from going either civil or militarily nuclear. That they indeed need additional energy sources, is known since a longer time now. A conventional military strike cannot stop their program, with it's key installations scattered around well-hidden deep bunkers and inside mountains with precise coordinates that are not known and hidden somewhere inside very huge areals declared to belong to this or that installation. So how to place that bunker-busting MOAB with the needed precision? Conventional strikes only can delay it a bit, at a very high economic and political costs. Nuclear strikes at their nuclear installation and research sites nobody would accept, or will to carry out, maybe with the exception of Israel, which by that would threaten it's very own existence due to inner riots and unrest with the Palestinian Israelis - not Iranian nukes, no war wit its neighbours, but inner unrest and changing demographics are the most likely threat to its future existence.

Since Iran knows that it is in the winning seat, why should they stop? Is it wise if we demand them to act stupidly and against their best interest? Time is on their side. They are almost immune to intimidations and threads. They can close the Hormuz Straits when they want, by missiles, submarines, maybe small attack boats, and especially mines.

One has allowed the situation to develope to where it now is. One played too long too many too foolish diplomatic games. One traded nuclear technology around for too long, and did not enough to get russia and china into the boat to prevent proliferation. One has not done enough to monitor and draconically punish companies delivering them the needed hightech in violation of embragos. One did not enough to prevent the flow of know-how into certain parts of the world, and globally. - In a way the situation with Iran is the other side of the medal that on the first side reads: unlimited freedom and liberty for everybody. Just demanding and wishing that others not being like oneself should copy one's own social model and political democracy - is not enough. people are different, people want to be different, and people resist to becoming all the same.
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