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Old 12-19-09, 02:49 AM   #1
Méo
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Assuming he was replaced by competent leadership before any of these happened, Germany might have had a chance of winning the war to some extent.
Even then, the U.S. were ahead of the curve with the nuclear weapon, who knows how it would have been if the U.S. had the intention to use the full potential of the bomb against Germany?
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Old 12-19-09, 12:13 PM   #2
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Even then, the U.S. were ahead of the curve with the nuclear weapon, who knows how it would have been if the U.S. had the intention to use the full potential of the bomb against Germany?
A nuclear weapon does not win a war unless it it is either used in overwhelming quantities, which were not present until much later, or forces a surrender in a country that is already debating and on the brink of it (As Japan was).

Besides that, assuming a competent German leadership would have been able to force Russia into some kind of favourable peace (Also assuming that said leadership is competent enough to realize that conquering Russia is a lost cause), they could invade and occupy Britain and Iceland, which would make any sort of bombing attack from North America extremely dangerous if at all possible.
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Old 12-19-09, 01:34 PM   #3
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A nuclear weapon does not win a war unless it it is either used in overwhelming quantities, which were not present until much later, or forces a surrender in a country that is already debating and on the brink of it (As Japan was).
Well I don't think it's a valuable argument to compare Japan with other western societies (even Germany of that time).

Among all the Japanese military (and even the civilian) there was the Bushidō spirit (which is a hard thing to understand but it was part of their culture). Many (if not most) of their military leaders who saw their country on the way to defeat wanted to create a huge Seppuku (or harakiri) for the whole Japanese people.

Some are gonna say that Germans were as radical as the Japanese but I don't think so. The German society of that time (altough not as revolutionary as the French) were still a western society (they were not all SS). So I think that the effect of few nuclear attacks on Germany would have been greater.

Even then, I'm not sure if it's worth to speculate on which island or place they could have invaded or what U.S. would not be able to do. There are just so many imponderables.

I agree with you in some case, a competent German leadership has prove itself in defeating France. IMHO, this competent leadership could have win the war in western Europe with quick campaigns, but I don't see how they could have conquered the whole world.
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Old 12-19-09, 01:54 PM   #4
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Well I don't think it's a valuable argument to compare Japan with other western societies (even Germany of that time).

Among all the Japanese military (and even the civilian) there was the Bushidō spirit (which is a hard thing to understand but it was part of their culture). Many (if not most) of their military leaders who saw their country on the way to defeat wanted to create a huge Seppuku (or harakiri) for the whole Japanese people.

Some are gonna say that Germans were as radical as the Japanese but I don't think so. The German society of that time (altough not as revolutionary as the French) were still a western society (they were not all SS). So I think that the effect of few nuclear attacks on Germany would have been greater.

Even then, I'm not sure if it's worth to speculate on which island or place they could have invaded or what U.S. would not be able to do. There are just so many imponderables.

I agree with you in some case, a competent German leadership has prove itself in defeating France. IMHO, this competent leadership could have win the war in western Europe with quick campaigns, but I don't see how they could have conquered the whole world.
The Allied bombing of Germany was much more devastating than a few of the early A-Bombs could be, yet the Germans still fought on. The difference between dropping such weapons on an enemy that has been defeated militarily and is on the brink of collapse and an enemy that is victorious elsewhere (Short of dropping so many of them that it will completely destroy their ability to fight), is that a defeated enemy will be pushed over to surrender, while an undefeated one would just be galvanized to keep fighting in order to avenge their countrymen and defeat those that bombed them.

Speculating on which island could've been invaded and what the US wouldn't be able to do is perfectly worthy. The question was whether Germany could win the war, they could. Of course nothing is certain in war.

Note that I said they could win the war to some extent. Conquering the world would be highly unlikely, but gaining a final, favourable peace was IMO within their power had they been led properly.
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Old 12-19-09, 02:17 PM   #5
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The Allied bombing of Germany was much more devastating than a few of the early A-Bombs could be, yet the Germans still fought on.
Well there's a MAJOR difference between a standard bombing and an nuclear one.

If you imagine yourself in a city being bombed in the old fashioned way, you have a certain time to react, there is place for hope, for survival. This is probably why they kept fighting.

On the other hand, if you imagine yourself in a city targeted for a nuclear attack, the second you realize you're attacked, you're vaporized. no time to react, NO HOPE.

I think this is the critical difference, nuclear weapons are inescapable, this is why they are so terrifying.

This must have an indescribable effect on populations...
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Old 12-19-09, 02:22 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by Méo View Post
Well there's a MAJOR difference between a standard bombing and an nuclear one.

If you imagine yourself in a city being bombed in the old fashioned way, you have a certain time to react, there is place for hope, for survival. This is probably why they kept fighting.

On the other hand, if you imagine yourself in a city targeted for a nuclear attack, the second you realize you're attacked, you're vaporized. no time to react, NO HOPE.

I think this is the critical difference, nuclear weapons are inescapable, this is why they are so terrifying.

This must have an indescribable effect on populations...
Incendiary bombing has the same result because, the fires consume all the oxygen.
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Old 12-19-09, 02:48 PM   #7
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Incendiary bombing has the same result because, the fires consume all the oxygen.
I'm talking about the psychological effect.

And waves of bombers are easier to detect and easier to counterattack than a single plane.
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Old 12-19-09, 02:51 PM   #8
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Incendiary bombing has the same result because, the fires consume all the oxygen.
Even then, this is not the same effect, you still have time to react, to defend, you could have some air tank.
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