Al Quaeda threat diminished - or not?

Skybird · 02-04-14, 07:12 PM

LINK: The Continuing Al Quaeda threat, by Ron Paul

Maybe the issue solves itself sooner or later, though in no reassuring way. The US seems to have entered a phase of self-chosen isolationism. That may be owed to the disastrous financial situation of the state, which is effectively bankrupt, leading to Washington not acting on Syria, and accepting Iran to play strong. But in the forseeable future, the US population also will have shifted in interests and priorities, the whites no longer are a majority, with people of hispanic and African roots becoming the electorate groups politicians will need to care most for in order to sack votes. That future is harder for the Republicans, than for the Democrats, since the Republicans depend heavier on the whites as their voting grounds. The ties to Europe already have been tremendously loosened under Obama, and the interest in Europe will vain in more, I predict. Economically, it more and more is in doubt that the US has the stamina to endure a major military clash with china over some issue ion the far East, may it be local domiance seeking, may it be Taiwan or whatever. China is pushing hard to neutralise the traditional American strengths in its regional military. To compensate for the Chinese advantage, America more and more lacks the economic and fiscal power, in fact it is highly vulnerable to Chinese financial interventions.

I think America has no other choice than to become more and more choosy regarding the wars it picks.

The dramatic deconstruction of American diplomatic strongholds in the Middle East and Obama allowing the diplomatic abandoning of traditional allies in the region, can be seen in this light as well. As a result, military spending throughout the region has seen dramatic increases that followed the realization that the local powers like Saudi Arabia can no longer rely on American protection, namely, against Iran.

The shale boom currently is a bit in doubt, with major companies having cut investments in the fracking and shale gas processing in recent 18 months. This opens the door for speculation whether the declared energy revolution in the US really will hold for more than just a small handful of years. It was predicted that in 2020 at the latest America could be independent from oil and gas imports, and could become a major exporter of energy by then. I do not know what the more likely scenario is there. But if the energy revolution indeed does not collapse, America looses one reason more to be interested in the ME any longer. That is bad news for Saudi Arabia. Israel. Europe. But very good news for Iran.

02-04-14, 07:12 PM	#1
Skybird Soaring Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: the mental asylum named Germany Posts: 42,604 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	Al Quaeda threat diminished - or not? LINK: The Continuing Al Quaeda threat, by Ron Paul Maybe the issue solves itself sooner or later, though in no reassuring way. The US seems to have entered a phase of self-chosen isolationism. That may be owed to the disastrous financial situation of the state, which is effectively bankrupt, leading to Washington not acting on Syria, and accepting Iran to play strong. But in the forseeable future, the US population also will have shifted in interests and priorities, the whites no longer are a majority, with people of hispanic and African roots becoming the electorate groups politicians will need to care most for in order to sack votes. That future is harder for the Republicans, than for the Democrats, since the Republicans depend heavier on the whites as their voting grounds. The ties to Europe already have been tremendously loosened under Obama, and the interest in Europe will vain in more, I predict. Economically, it more and more is in doubt that the US has the stamina to endure a major military clash with china over some issue ion the far East, may it be local domiance seeking, may it be Taiwan or whatever. China is pushing hard to neutralise the traditional American strengths in its regional military. To compensate for the Chinese advantage, America more and more lacks the economic and fiscal power, in fact it is highly vulnerable to Chinese financial interventions. I think America has no other choice than to become more and more choosy regarding the wars it picks. The dramatic deconstruction of American diplomatic strongholds in the Middle East and Obama allowing the diplomatic abandoning of traditional allies in the region, can be seen in this light as well. As a result, military spending throughout the region has seen dramatic increases that followed the realization that the local powers like Saudi Arabia can no longer rely on American protection, namely, against Iran. The shale boom currently is a bit in doubt, with major companies having cut investments in the fracking and shale gas processing in recent 18 months. This opens the door for speculation whether the declared energy revolution in the US really will hold for more than just a small handful of years. It was predicted that in 2020 at the latest America could be independent from oil and gas imports, and could become a major exporter of energy by then. I do not know what the more likely scenario is there. But if the energy revolution indeed does not collapse, America looses one reason more to be interested in the ME any longer. That is bad news for Saudi Arabia. Israel. Europe. But very good news for Iran. __________________ If you feel nuts, consult an expert.