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#1 | |
Born to Run Silent
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Russia, NATO in battle of wills over Georgia
This is interesting, I wonder how long before the present administration backs down over Russia's concerns? Quote:
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#2 |
Soaring
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Stop aggressively provoking Russia over nothing but pure expansionistic fantasies. Certain Russian provocations of geographical nature America never would accept, under no circumstances. But the Russians are expected to accept such a thing and to violate their most vital and even understandable scurity interests if amerika provoce them in the same way, and this after 15 years of constantly broken promises and NATO betrayals of what one would not do if Russia agrees to this and that - and then NATO has done it nevertheless, thinking therussians only choice is to back down in weakness. Russia exoperiences with NATO since 1989 have been extremely negative, and it is no wonder that from some point on they had enough of it and draw that line in the sand and said: up to here, and not one step beyond. The Caucasean region is such a line in the sand.
The Western position over Georgia and the Ukraine is so very damn hypocritical. It angers me. And shows such a stellar ammount of arrogance - although in no way Georgia is a party you woudl even want to have in NATO: Georgia is no gain and only investements and burdens, and would mean nothing but troubles for NATO, even without the Russians. Middle America is US' sphere of influence, no way america would accept Russia establishing a strong military dominance there. The Caucasean region for the very same reasons and with the same level of real or illusory legitimacy is Russian sphere of influence. STOP PROVOKING THEM over this place all for nothing but shere arrogance. You need their good will, over issues like Iran and North Korea, and others. And these issues are far more important than some Caucasean banana republic with a military on third world niveau and run by a autoritarian corrupt anti-democratic tyrant.
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#3 |
Stowaway
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This again?
Russia needs to back down here. Big time. It acts like a morally superiour superpower while in reality it is a backwater country, spread with corruption and criminal energy within an economy not larger then that of Portugal. With an authocratic regime stepping down on human rights on a constant basis, constantly threatenning it's neighbours who are forced to play similiar games to survive. Wether NATO should get involved in Georgia and with it's government is a legit question, but basing this descision on the big mouths in Russia and putting tails between legs just because this country does a lot of sabre rattingling to please it's nationalistic population is not ann option. This hypocrisis of showing force to Iran, North Korea, whatever country, but brownnosing to Russia will always remain a mystery to me. But the political left in Germany always had a tendency to ignore eastern european defecits. Must be a fashion, comparable to wearing Che Gueverra Shirts. |
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#4 |
Seasoned Skipper
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It's time for this administration to stand up and take a stand.... against Georgia.
NATO shouldn't even be dealing with Georgia in the first place. Saakashvili is nothing but trouble. South Ossetia and Abkhazia don't want to be part of Georgia, and they'll never accept being part of Georgia. If the US really stands for democracy and popular sovreignty, we should be supporting them against Georgia. NATO shouldn't bend to Russia's every whim, but not everything is worth the trouble of going toe to toe with the Russians. If this were a country like Poland that Russia was trying to dominate, I'd say screw Russia, but this is Georgia and its little punk of a leader we're talking about. It's like having a really strong neighbor who you don't get along with very well. If he's hurting your daughter, you go and fight him. But you don't go and fight him for the turd his dog just dumped on his yard. Saakashvili wants American/NATO soldiers to fight and die for his personal glory in South Ossetia and Abkhazia. I frankly don't think any good American soldiers should suffer as much as a paper cut on his behalf. |
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#5 |
Navy Seal
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Georgia needs to back down here. Big time. It acts like a morally superiour country while in reality it is a backwater country, spread with corruption and criminal energy within an economy not larger then that of Portugal. With an authocratic regime stepping down on human rights on a constant basis.
See what I have done? Though I don't disagree with you with regards to corruption in Russia I disagree that it is a backwater given it is A) the largest country on the planet B)Holds a large proportion of the worlds natural resources C) Has enough nukes to wipe out the world several times over. The solution is both Russia and NATO should back away from Georgia and let it descend into whatever chaos will reign. How we can stand by Saakashvili when it is obvious he has a screw loose is beyond me. He is just as autocratic as those you criticise. |
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#6 | |
Soaring
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Thats the NATO arrogance I mean. Russia must back down. Russia must agree to this. Russia must do that. Russia should shut up if NATO does what it wants. Russia should not complain if NATO does not stand by it'S promises, and have betrayed the Russians big time several times since 1989. Russia should believe all the lies it has been told in the past 20 years, and should act to it's own disadvantage. No wonder that they are so very much pissed. I wonder that they kept their patience for so long. NATO has to back down in the Caucasean region, and regarding Ukraine as well. Both are not it's damn business. And to demand the russians to damage themselves and act against their vital interests, is utmost hypocritical. What country is next after Georgia to enter NATO? Looking on the map, Iran, maybe? Hell, that brings up the thought if maybe Natonising Georgia is not about Georgia at all, but containing Iran...? Anyhow, with Georgia you already have entered the orient, and left Europe behind. Quite some distance ot the north Atlantic. Afghanistan next? We could try to establish a cordon of NATO countries around China as well, while we are at it. Tiflis is closer to the Chinese region of Xinjiang Uygur Zizhiqu than it is to NATO headquarters in Brussels. Some things any nation could not accept if being serious about strategical key interests. It is so very much silly to provoke Russia over the Caucasean region, and risking conflicts when there is nothing to gain that is worth the risk. You could as well imagine Mexico to become a strong associate of the Russians and being turned into a military base to dam the US's influence to the south. It would be nuts, irresponsible, arrogant and ignorant of reality. The diplomatic price that is to be payed for this constant attempt to become dominant in the Caucasean region is much, much too high for NATO, and especially the US, they need Russia'S good will on a whole list of much more important issues. The conflict in the Caucasean has consequences for all the southern-south-western ex-provinces of the former USSR, and Russia cannot afford to show weakness in these if it does not want to get pushed back by revolts and demographic processes there. The Islamic question also plays a role. Leave it to the Russians and wish them good luck and be thankful if they can manage to maintain stability there. Help them by isoltating Shaakashvili, and forcing him to give up power and politics. Hell, I even accept to assassinate him, for their are more important things at stake than just this gangaster's personal life. having stable conditions in the Caucasean region and the spouthern ex-provinces is so very much more important than repeating social-political experiment that already have failed in the Balkanese pressure cooker, namely Bosnia and in Kosovo, and are now just breeding the next outburst of hostilities there, due to having artifical constructions that simply do not match with ethnic, historic and cultural realities on the ground. That's what forms failed states, and in this case they are hanging on the drip of EU-organised European tax-payers. Thank you very much for headlessly wasting even just the small tax-share that also me is forced to contribute to it, Brussel.
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#7 |
Ace of the Deep
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Skybird, let me ask you something. Why should Russia be allowed to get away with everything? Does a nations right to self determination not apply in the regions surrounding Russia's boarder? This whole thing kicked off because Russia said to Georgia "You do what we tell you" and Georgia promptly told mr Russia to f**k off! Just because Georgia used to be part of the Soviet Union which is long gone (aparantly anyway....) it doesn't mean that it has to tow the party line for forever and a day. They are an independent nation, and thus have the right to their own political ambitions and opinions... if they want to lean towards a more pro-west position then who's to stop them? Russia hardly does itself any favours by being so aggressive towards its neighbours constantly...
Yes, Sakashvilli (sp?) is a bit bonkers now, and he probably does need replacing... but I DO NOT condone the interference in a foreign countries internal and international political affairs, otherwise it falls under the old term... BULLYING. Putin/puppet-medvedev - "I don't like what Georgia is doing, they're not listening to us and want to their own thing... oh lets start suppling militia groups and criminals so they can attack Georgia and then we invade! Problem solved!"
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#8 |
Navy Seal
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Really ST I don't have time to go in for a long response now but I suggest you read your history on the region and in particular Georgia and how she has behaved towards Abkhazia and Ossetia in the past. History in this region cannot be ignored.
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#9 | |
Soaring
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Add to this the massive damage the Russian economy and society took in the Yeltzin years when westwern-style business took the opportunity to try to almost take over - in parts - russian economies and helped to rise an internal elite of ultra-rich oligarchs that became a parasite living at the cost of the rest of the society and that threatened the order and the law of the state, and the authority of the government. And when Putin took massive action against these, we again criticised him forfollowi8ng principles we wopuld agree on, as if it would be our business, and if we woulds have done nothign to create the situation Putin had to deal with. Many Russian oligarchs made their fortune by help and assistance of Wetsern enterprises and services, but it was not to the wellbeing of the many, but at their cost. The system "Putin", the autoritarian style as well as the interpretation of law in one-sided favour of the givernment, are the natural counterreactions to these develoepments that did very serious damage to Russia under Yeltsin. The question by far is not why to let the Russians always away, for since 20 years their relative weakness of the past was abused for kicking them and trampling on them and exploiting their vulnerabilities as best as possible. Now they are not as weak anymore, they see the threats of social and cultural nature they are cofnronted with, and they have seen an overall small decrease in overaLL wealth - not just of some elitists favoured by the Werst, but the middle class in the cities in general. Trusting the West in the past 20 years has not served them well, and gave them betrayals time and again. So who is expecting to get away with it time and nagain - the Russians, or a NATO that has no realistic self-definition anymore and just sees it'S purpose in trying to grow and take and become bigger and act globally and wants to limit Russia as much as possible and threatens even it's most vital geostrategical and geographcial basic interests where the Russians MUST react when being challenged? The US is an extremely proud country. but one of it'S basic flaws is that it cannot imagine why others should have a right to be proud on themselves as long as they do not copy american models. The US seems to be on a mission to americanise the whole world. That many of these blessings it wants to bring upon others,. no matter their will, have been revealed as highly questionable and basic elements of the american economy model just have terribly failed and speel global economical disatser - this is usually being ignored. So as I see it, you are in no position to ask why the Russians should always be allowed to get away with everything. Their growing aggressiveness is the direct result of the juvenile, faulty arrogant powerpolitcs of the West over the past 20 years. It does not matter whether I like the Russians or not, as a matter of fact I would not want to live there, and despite some music, the impressive empty landscapes and some places in Petersburg I have no further interest in russian things. But that does not change the fact that the Russians' changing policies can be explained - and understood to be reactions that could have been forseen. and last but not least: a stabile though Russian controlled Caucasus is much more in the best security interests of NATO than having to deal with Georgia itself and needing to maintain a pacifying prsence in a region european politicians have not understood a hundred years ago and still do not understand today. The EU is to coinfused and too weak to share borders with such a critical region on the globe, for the same reason it shgould not accept turkey and then share borders with the seething Middle East region and Syria. We cannot even take convincing care of the Balkans without self-strangling us in selfmade selfcontradictions. The last thing we need is needing to deal with the Caucasus. and regarding the Russians: they have learned over the past 20 years that NATO gave them no reason to trust us, and that words are cheap for us. I want to remind you that Putin was carefully pro-europe a now longer past ago. He wanted to bring Russia closer to the euzropean nations, on an equal basis, not as a dominant power threatening the europeans. He saw himself a little bit in the ftradiiton of Alexander the Great, who wanted the same. but the bad experiences Putin made gave hgim al, reason to refer back to his professional past as an intel officer, mistrust the lying wetserners, and learn the lesson that the West can onoly be dealt with if meeting it from a position of strength - else the West would drive Russia against the wall. That is tragic, for I see it as a great chance being sacrificed for short termed irrational greed and hunger for power by us. for the way russia behaves today, we and our policies must accept not all, but a very prominent share of responsibility for. And as long as we prevent action over Dharfur by endless negotiations wether or not it can be called genocide when a million people of foreogn faith get slaughtered by islamic militias - we have no moral authority to lecture others about how deficitary their understanding of humanitarianism and egal justic is in our opinion. the Georgia case has nothing to do with freedom fights and bringing democracy to a foreign people, but it is a pure Western powerplay to see if and how we can bully the Russians once again.
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If you feel nuts, consult an expert. Last edited by Skybird; 05-06-09 at 03:12 PM. |
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#10 | |
Stowaway
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Reality check, big time. Russia != western style democracy based on human rights. Don't pull a Schröder here. These guys play their own power gambles on the backs of both NATO and their surrounding Nations. And now you come catering them on the basis of chauvisnism and nationalism? You clearly don't understand the concepts of human rights, Skybird. If you want and support nationalistic "realpolitik" based on a very shady concept of a "sphere of influence", you automaticly give those up. Also, you should be very, very careful with your appliance of the word arrogance. NATO is not moving towards these countries, telling them "hey, you wanne join us?". These countries make that move first, and no country has the right to interfere with this descision. What is Arrogance? Is Nato arrogant by answering a call, or Is Russia arrogant by denying souvereign nations what they consider beeing in their national insterest, especially considering Russias past and how this country treated it's neighbours and vasalle states? Do I have to remind you of the millions of dead cuased by Russia? Is Russia excused and it's neighbours at fault for their suspiciouns here? Russia could very well join NATO itself if it feels threatend. It does not do so because Russia has superpower ambitions of itself and has no interest in joining the principles upon which NATO was founded. That is no excuse to bully other nations, neither by the Russians themselves nor naybody juping to their defense. I have no idea what gives you the idea Russia deserves any respectful treatment unless they actually prove their worth in resolving international issues and their fair treatment of it's neighbours. If that is arrogant, then it's also arrogant to expect criminals to change their ways and stop beating up people just because they have a big stick. Just because its a big country with nukes I see "zero" reason to leave their surrounding countries to their fate for Russia to do whatever they want with them. And with your stances, it's no wonder much more important countries like Poland grow ever more weary of Germany and it's hypocritic stances. But the argument that NATO broke promises is reason enough for you to give Russia a free hand to do and demand whatever it wants in eastern Europe and Asia, do I understand you right, yes? Give me one, only one logical reason without compromising our principles that speaks for supporting Russia "against" other countires, some of them way more respectable then Russia will ever be. We are not here to play soft on bullies just because it's more convinient or because Russia could feel oh so "offended". Last edited by Bewolf; 05-07-09 at 07:09 AM. |
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#11 |
Soaring
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Fact is that since cheney at the latest the US has openly followed a policy of aggressively encircling and "containing" Russia, for various reasons that have more to do with american geostrategical interests than Russian threats towards Poland, the Baltic, or anything.
Fact is that Saakashvili started the war against Russia, wanting to make hay at the end of manouver days of his army. He also was the first ordering the intentional bombardement of civilian quarters during the first night, both actions caught the Russians by surprise, although they just had held manouvers on their side of the border as well. Fact is that Georgia is not any more democratic than russia is, and that Medwedew over the past months shows small signs of emancipating himself from Putin. that does not make russia a western style demcoarcy, and I do not even care much for that. A controllable, governable, stable russia with the military in a stably condition and not in danger of revolting is far more important for me. As I said two days ago: stability, predictabliy, reliability - that must be the West's priorities regarding both russia, and the Caucasus. That you mentioned yourself that Russia could join NATO if it wants, just shows me how very much off-realitiy in the general assessement of these issues you are. you lack the ability to put yourself in the other side'S seat and see it from their perspective, and that for whatever a reason you are detemrined to see NATO in a very onse-sided, glorifying light. But in lack of a realistic vision and self-definition replacing the selfunderstandinf during the cold war, NATO just has turned into a megalomianic, thinking of itself as a deputy policeman to the american global sheriff. The result is the aggressive encircling of russia as well as China with dozens of new military bases, spyposts and tripwires, and trying to make countries bordering these two nations NATO and EU- members in case of Russia, and at least pro Wetsenr military platforms for future operations in case of China. The Iraq war also must be seen in this light - and Georgia, too. It was an american-launched project trying to push it into NATO, not a european one, and the same with the Ukraine. and thankfully Germany was the most prominent nation blocking them to be put onto the MAP-list. If Georgia would not have been given so promising signlas from Washington, maybe this criminal Georgian tyrant would not have dared to commit the folly of last summer. Right now while we speak he lets his police once again beating up the democratic opposition in his country, and Tiblis. That country is nothing but trouble, and holds the potential to eventually put the whole region into flames, and allowed to castrate itself of the better part of it'S economy and markets aborad - which lied in Russia. Stupid it is, and dangerous. Only a fool would wish to have them inside NATO, especially if the price is further detoriation of relations with Russia although their good will is so massively needed in various global issues that are so much more important than Georgia will ever be. You might find it cold-minded by me, but Iran and North Korea, future wars - or avpoding these - for energy and ressources I rate as multiple times more important than Georgia, and wanting to bring the benfit of superior Western culture to the rest of the world and making a prifit of that for ourselves, we should leave to where it belings: the era of colonialism. It produced plenty of failed states who now, in our present time, boomerang on us. And btw, nowhere I ever said we should be intimidated and play soft on russia because it bullies us or others. I just said that the things you propose are not the strategic top priorities for us and are not our top interests, and that other interests, those that I listed, should be given much higher priority. If they would threaten the Baltic or Poland, I would be all for confronting them head on and draw a line in the sand. It's just that - despite hysteric claims from these countries that are motivated by desires for historic revanchism, they did not do that since 1989, and said loud and clear they accept the borders set by these countries. It has been NATO who repeatedly ignored it's former promises that it would not move more and more towards Russian borders, and did not stand by it's words. That the Russians do not believe NATO promises anymore, is fully understandable, I would not do either - only a fool would do, after having been burned several times. For Georgia, my recommendation would be: give the Russian's Saakashvili's head, it is no loss at all for you, and they will not negotiate over anything as long as he is there. Find a state of block-free neutrality, with trade relations once again opened to Russia, since oyu depend on that short range to it''s market, and europe as well. Stay away from joining NATO or the EU, play the game like the Fins or Swedes did. that way you can get the best of both worlds: peace with Russia, access to it'S agricultural market, and making profit from trade with the EU. You have blood on your hands with the supression of the ethnic majorities in Ossetia and Abhkazia, so forget them, let the issue rest and feel lucky that you are allowed to get away with your murderous record for free. You have no moral argument to make that would allow you to claim these provinces for yourself again. And to your joy, the Russians financially take more misery than pleasure from both places.
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If you feel nuts, consult an expert. Last edited by Skybird; 05-07-09 at 07:54 AM. |
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#12 | |
Born to Run Silent
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Yeah, but what if a big part of this is because Georgia and Ukraine want, very badly, to be in the NATO fold? Of course they do, historically Russia has not been a benevolent neighbor. It matters less what America would tolerate and more about keeping Russia contained and the West safe. You may think Washington does this because they are bored or they love to be "arrogant"? I don't think so.
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#13 |
Navy Seal
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No I don't think that but I also don't think Saakashvili and Yuschenko are any more democratic than Medvedev but they know how to make the right noises. You have to remember where these two guys got their money and power. I can garuntee not from clean sources. They came back with a motive and not a healthy chip on their shoulders. Saakashvili has been shown to be quite mad. You don't see Medvedev chewing his tie on camera and Yushchenko for that matter.
I don't see why people don't understand why Russia is agreived by their behaviour. |
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#14 | |||
Soaring
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The aggressive pushing of wetsern interests at the cost of russia when it was lying flat on it'S belly after 1989, maybe gave some economic gamblers of that time a shorttermed rich profit. but seen from today, it has made especially Europe's position today not more but less safe. Some wnated to dominate russia with a tight grip. but the tighter the grip was, the more sand escaped between the fingers, it seems. Next time you want the russian'S cooperation over soemthing in for example the security council, or by installing an embargo in a region near to them, you will be shown the bill for that haughtiness. As a matter of fact, that is already the case - they have blocked several proposals over Iran since autumn last year. I would think having nthem in our boat regarding iran or north korea, is much more important than allowing Albanian people to practically annex Kosovo, and bringing Georgia or the Ukraine into NATO.
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#15 | |
Fleet Admiral
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![]() On a side note, this is the one thing that drives me crazy about our FP. We'll meddel in other people's sphere's of influence, then scream when other's meddel in ours. I really don't want to re-live the Cuban missle crisis again. ![]()
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