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Onkel Neal 05-06-09 07:42 AM

Russia, NATO in battle of wills over Georgia
 
Russia, NATO in battle of wills over Georgia

This is interesting, I wonder how long before the present administration backs down over Russia's concerns?

Quote:

The real conflict as NATO holds military exercises in Georgia is an increasingly tense battle of wills between the Western defense alliance and Moscow that could affect efforts to improve U.S.-Russian relations.
Ties between the former Cold war foes have soured over the exercises and an espionage case in which NATO has expelled two Russians and Moscow has thrown out two alliance officials. Russia has also pulled out of a meeting scheduled with NATO.

Skybird 05-06-09 08:02 AM

Stop aggressively provoking Russia over nothing but pure expansionistic fantasies. Certain Russian provocations of geographical nature America never would accept, under no circumstances. But the Russians are expected to accept such a thing and to violate their most vital and even understandable scurity interests if amerika provoce them in the same way, and this after 15 years of constantly broken promises and NATO betrayals of what one would not do if Russia agrees to this and that - and then NATO has done it nevertheless, thinking therussians only choice is to back down in weakness. Russia exoperiences with NATO since 1989 have been extremely negative, and it is no wonder that from some point on they had enough of it and draw that line in the sand and said: up to here, and not one step beyond. The Caucasean region is such a line in the sand.

The Western position over Georgia and the Ukraine is so very damn hypocritical. It angers me. And shows such a stellar ammount of arrogance - although in no way Georgia is a party you woudl even want to have in NATO: Georgia is no gain and only investements and burdens, and would mean nothing but troubles for NATO, even without the Russians.

Middle America is US' sphere of influence, no way america would accept Russia establishing a strong military dominance there. The Caucasean region for the very same reasons and with the same level of real or illusory legitimacy is Russian sphere of influence. STOP PROVOKING THEM over this place all for nothing but shere arrogance. You need their good will, over issues like Iran and North Korea, and others. And these issues are far more important than some Caucasean banana republic with a military on third world niveau and run by a autoritarian corrupt anti-democratic tyrant.

Bewolf 05-06-09 09:01 AM

This again?

Russia needs to back down here. Big time. It acts like a morally superiour superpower while in reality it is a backwater country, spread with corruption and criminal energy within an economy not larger then that of Portugal. With an authocratic regime stepping down on human rights on a constant basis, constantly threatenning it's neighbours who are forced to play similiar games to survive. Wether NATO should get involved in Georgia and with it's government is a legit question, but basing this descision on the big mouths in Russia and putting tails between legs just because this country does a lot of sabre rattingling to please it's nationalistic population is not ann option. This hypocrisis of showing force to Iran, North Korea, whatever country, but brownnosing to Russia will always remain a mystery to me. But the political left in Germany always had a tendency to ignore eastern european defecits. Must be a fashion, comparable to wearing Che Gueverra Shirts.

Max2147 05-06-09 10:03 AM

It's time for this administration to stand up and take a stand.... against Georgia.

NATO shouldn't even be dealing with Georgia in the first place. Saakashvili is nothing but trouble. South Ossetia and Abkhazia don't want to be part of Georgia, and they'll never accept being part of Georgia. If the US really stands for democracy and popular sovreignty, we should be supporting them against Georgia.

NATO shouldn't bend to Russia's every whim, but not everything is worth the trouble of going toe to toe with the Russians. If this were a country like Poland that Russia was trying to dominate, I'd say screw Russia, but this is Georgia and its little punk of a leader we're talking about.

It's like having a really strong neighbor who you don't get along with very well. If he's hurting your daughter, you go and fight him. But you don't go and fight him for the turd his dog just dumped on his yard.

Saakashvili wants American/NATO soldiers to fight and die for his personal glory in South Ossetia and Abkhazia. I frankly don't think any good American soldiers should suffer as much as a paper cut on his behalf.

XabbaRus 05-06-09 10:14 AM

Georgia needs to back down here. Big time. It acts like a morally superiour country while in reality it is a backwater country, spread with corruption and criminal energy within an economy not larger then that of Portugal. With an authocratic regime stepping down on human rights on a constant basis.

See what I have done?

Though I don't disagree with you with regards to corruption in Russia I disagree that it is a backwater given it is A) the largest country on the planet B)Holds a large proportion of the worlds natural resources C) Has enough nukes to wipe out the world several times over.

The solution is both Russia and NATO should back away from Georgia and let it descend into whatever chaos will reign.

How we can stand by Saakashvili when it is obvious he has a screw loose is beyond me. He is just as autocratic as those you criticise.

Skybird 05-06-09 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bewolf (Post 1096735)
Russia needs to back down here. Big time. It acts like a morally superiour superpower while in reality it is a backwater country, spread with corruption and criminal energy within an economy not larger then that of Portugal. With an authocratic regime stepping down on human rights on a constant basis, constantly threatenning it's neighbours who are forced to play similiar games to survive. Wether NATO should get involved in Georgia and with it's government is a legit question, but basing this descision on the big mouths in Russia and putting tails between legs just because this country does a lot of sabre rattingling to please it's nationalistic population is not ann option. This hypocrisis of showing force to Iran, North Korea, whatever country, but brownnosing to Russia will always remain a mystery to me. But the political left in Germany always had a tendency to ignore eastern european defecits. Must be a fashion, comparable to wearing Che Gueverra Shirts.


Thats the NATO arrogance I mean. Russia must back down. Russia must agree to this. Russia must do that. Russia should shut up if NATO does what it wants. Russia should not complain if NATO does not stand by it'S promises, and have betrayed the Russians big time several times since 1989. Russia should believe all the lies it has been told in the past 20 years, and should act to it's own disadvantage.

No wonder that they are so very much pissed. I wonder that they kept their patience for so long.

NATO has to back down in the Caucasean region, and regarding Ukraine as well. Both are not it's damn business. And to demand the russians to damage themselves and act against their vital interests, is utmost hypocritical.

What country is next after Georgia to enter NATO? Looking on the map, Iran, maybe? Hell, that brings up the thought if maybe Natonising Georgia is not about Georgia at all, but containing Iran...? Anyhow, with Georgia you already have entered the orient, and left Europe behind. Quite some distance ot the north Atlantic. Afghanistan next? We could try to establish a cordon of NATO countries around China as well, while we are at it. Tiflis is closer to the Chinese region of Xinjiang Uygur Zizhiqu than it is to NATO headquarters in Brussels.

Some things any nation could not accept if being serious about strategical key interests. It is so very much silly to provoke Russia over the Caucasean region, and risking conflicts when there is nothing to gain that is worth the risk. You could as well imagine Mexico to become a strong associate of the Russians and being turned into a military base to dam the US's influence to the south. It would be nuts, irresponsible, arrogant and ignorant of reality. The diplomatic price that is to be payed for this constant attempt to become dominant in the Caucasean region is much, much too high for NATO, and especially the US, they need Russia'S good will on a whole list of much more important issues. The conflict in the Caucasean has consequences for all the southern-south-western ex-provinces of the former USSR, and Russia cannot afford to show weakness in these if it does not want to get pushed back by revolts and demographic processes there. The Islamic question also plays a role.

Leave it to the Russians and wish them good luck and be thankful if they can manage to maintain stability there. Help them by isoltating Shaakashvili, and forcing him to give up power and politics. Hell, I even accept to assassinate him, for their are more important things at stake than just this gangaster's personal life. having stable conditions in the Caucasean region and the spouthern ex-provinces is so very much more important than repeating social-political experiment that already have failed in the Balkanese pressure cooker, namely Bosnia and in Kosovo, and are now just breeding the next outburst of hostilities there, due to having artifical constructions that simply do not match with ethnic, historic and cultural realities on the ground. That's what forms failed states, and in this case they are hanging on the drip of EU-organised European tax-payers. Thank you very much for headlessly wasting even just the small tax-share that also me is forced to contribute to it, Brussel.

Steel_Tomb 05-06-09 12:58 PM

Skybird, let me ask you something. Why should Russia be allowed to get away with everything? Does a nations right to self determination not apply in the regions surrounding Russia's boarder? This whole thing kicked off because Russia said to Georgia "You do what we tell you" and Georgia promptly told mr Russia to f**k off! Just because Georgia used to be part of the Soviet Union which is long gone (aparantly anyway....) it doesn't mean that it has to tow the party line for forever and a day. They are an independent nation, and thus have the right to their own political ambitions and opinions... if they want to lean towards a more pro-west position then who's to stop them? Russia hardly does itself any favours by being so aggressive towards its neighbours constantly...

Yes, Sakashvilli (sp?) is a bit bonkers now, and he probably does need replacing... but I DO NOT condone the interference in a foreign countries internal and international political affairs, otherwise it falls under the old term... BULLYING.

Putin/puppet-medvedev - "I don't like what Georgia is doing, they're not listening to us and want to their own thing... oh lets start suppling militia groups and criminals so they can attack Georgia and then we invade! Problem solved!"

XabbaRus 05-06-09 01:56 PM

Really ST I don't have time to go in for a long response now but I suggest you read your history on the region and in particular Georgia and how she has behaved towards Abkhazia and Ossetia in the past. History in this region cannot be ignored.

HunterICX 05-06-09 02:39 PM

Simple:

NATO needs to piss off, it has nothing to look for in Georgia its none of their business.
and making them a part of the NATO is just so they can wave their angry fist at Russia.

HunterICX

Onkel Neal 05-06-09 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Skybird (Post 1096716)
Stop aggressively provoking Russia over nothing but pure expansionistic fantasies. Certain Russian provocations of geographical nature America never would accept, under no circumstances. But the Russians are expected to accept such a thing and to violate their most vital and even understandable scurity interests if amerika provoce them in the same way, and this after 15 years of constantly broken promises and NATO betrayals of what one would not do if Russia agrees to this and that - and then NATO has done it nevertheless, thinking therussians only choice is to back down in weakness. Russia exoperiences with NATO since 1989 have been extremely negative, and it is no wonder that from some point on they had enough of it and draw that line in the sand and said: up to here, and not one step beyond. The Caucasean region is such a line in the sand.

The Western position over Georgia and the Ukraine is so very damn hypocritical. It angers me. And shows such a stellar ammount of arrogance - although in no way Georgia is a party you woudl even want to have in NATO: Georgia is no gain and only investements and burdens, and would mean nothing but troubles for NATO, even without the Russians.

Middle America is US' sphere of influence, no way america would accept Russia establishing a strong military dominance there. The Caucasean region for the very same reasons and with the same level of real or illusory legitimacy is Russian sphere of influence. STOP PROVOKING THEM over this place all for nothing but shere arrogance. You need their good will, over issues like Iran and North Korea, and others. And these issues are far more important than some Caucasean banana republic with a military on third world niveau and run by a autoritarian corrupt anti-democratic tyrant.


Yeah, but what if a big part of this is because Georgia and Ukraine want, very badly, to be in the NATO fold? Of course they do, historically Russia has not been a benevolent neighbor.

It matters less what America would tolerate and more about keeping Russia contained and the West safe. You may think Washington does this because they are bored or they love to be "arrogant"? I don't think so.

XabbaRus 05-06-09 02:45 PM

No I don't think that but I also don't think Saakashvili and Yuschenko are any more democratic than Medvedev but they know how to make the right noises. You have to remember where these two guys got their money and power. I can garuntee not from clean sources. They came back with a motive and not a healthy chip on their shoulders. Saakashvili has been shown to be quite mad. You don't see Medvedev chewing his tie on camera and Yushchenko for that matter.

I don't see why people don't understand why Russia is agreived by their behaviour.

Skybird 05-06-09 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steel_Tomb (Post 1096892)
Skybird, let me ask you something. Why should Russia be allowed to get away with everything? Does a nations right to self determination not apply in the regions surrounding Russia's boarder? This whole thing kicked off because Russia said to Georgia "You do what we tell you" and Georgia promptly told mr Russia to f**k off! Just because Georgia used to be part of the Soviet Union which is long gone (aparantly anyway....) it doesn't mean that it has to tow the party line for forever and a day. They are an independent nation, and thus have the right to their own political ambitions and opinions... if they want to lean towards a more pro-west position then who's to stop them? Russia hardly does itself any favours by being so aggressive towards its neighbours constantly...

Yes, Sakashvilli (sp?) is a bit bonkers now, and he probably does need replacing... but I DO NOT condone the interference in a foreign countries internal and international political affairs, otherwise it falls under the old term... BULLYING.

Putin/puppet-medvedev - "I don't like what Georgia is doing, they're not listening to us and want to their own thing... oh lets start suppling militia groups and criminals so they can attack Georgia and then we invade! Problem solved!"

Steel Tomb, let me ask YOU one thing. Why should NATO always be allowed to get away with everything? Are you even aware of the long history of broken agreements and promises NATO made to the Russians since the wall came down, that they would not do this and would not do that and would stay away from the Russian border and would not push to the east? Bush's one-sided cancellation of some military key trieaties? The ignorration of Russian objections to the Kosovo war, to the Balkan war, to he recognition of Kosovo, to the Iraq war? NATO ran a party and did what it want and said something different, and has formed the habit to expect that the Russians always always always would just swallow everything, would shy back, would give up, would fall back.

Add to this the massive damage the Russian economy and society took in the Yeltzin years when westwern-style business took the opportunity to try to almost take over - in parts - russian economies and helped to rise an internal elite of ultra-rich oligarchs that became a parasite living at the cost of the rest of the society and that threatened the order and the law of the state, and the authority of the government. And when Putin took massive action against these, we again criticised him forfollowi8ng principles we wopuld agree on, as if it would be our business, and if we woulds have done nothign to create the situation Putin had to deal with. Many Russian oligarchs made their fortune by help and assistance of Wetsern enterprises and services, but it was not to the wellbeing of the many, but at their cost. The system "Putin", the autoritarian style as well as the interpretation of law in one-sided favour of the givernment, are the natural counterreactions to these develoepments that did very serious damage to Russia under Yeltsin.

The question by far is not why to let the Russians always away, for since 20 years their relative weakness of the past was abused for kicking them and trampling on them and exploiting their vulnerabilities as best as possible. Now they are not as weak anymore, they see the threats of social and cultural nature they are cofnronted with, and they have seen an overall small decrease in overaLL wealth - not just of some elitists favoured by the Werst, but the middle class in the cities in general. Trusting the West in the past 20 years has not served them well, and gave them betrayals time and again.

So who is expecting to get away with it time and nagain - the Russians, or a NATO that has no realistic self-definition anymore and just sees it'S purpose in trying to grow and take and become bigger and act globally and wants to limit Russia as much as possible and threatens even it's most vital geostrategical and geographcial basic interests where the Russians MUST react when being challenged? The US is an extremely proud country. but one of it'S basic flaws is that it cannot imagine why others should have a right to be proud on themselves as long as they do not copy american models. The US seems to be on a mission to americanise the whole world. That many of these blessings it wants to bring upon others,. no matter their will, have been revealed as highly questionable and basic elements of the american economy model just have terribly failed and speel global economical disatser - this is usually being ignored.

So as I see it, you are in no position to ask why the Russians should always be allowed to get away with everything. Their growing aggressiveness is the direct result of the juvenile, faulty arrogant powerpolitcs of the West over the past 20 years. It does not matter whether I like the Russians or not, as a matter of fact I would not want to live there, and despite some music, the impressive empty landscapes and some places in Petersburg I have no further interest in russian things. But that does not change the fact that the Russians' changing policies can be explained - and understood to be reactions that could have been forseen.

and last but not least: a stabile though Russian controlled Caucasus is much more in the best security interests of NATO than having to deal with Georgia itself and needing to maintain a pacifying prsence in a region european politicians have not understood a hundred years ago and still do not understand today. The EU is to coinfused and too weak to share borders with such a critical region on the globe, for the same reason it shgould not accept turkey and then share borders with the seething Middle East region and Syria. We cannot even take convincing care of the Balkans without self-strangling us in selfmade selfcontradictions. The last thing we need is needing to deal with the Caucasus. and regarding the Russians: they have learned over the past 20 years that NATO gave them no reason to trust us, and that words are cheap for us.

I want to remind you that Putin was carefully pro-europe a now longer past ago. He wanted to bring Russia closer to the euzropean nations, on an equal basis, not as a dominant power threatening the europeans. He saw himself a little bit in the ftradiiton of Alexander the Great, who wanted the same. but the bad experiences Putin made gave hgim al, reason to refer back to his professional past as an intel officer, mistrust the lying wetserners, and learn the lesson that the West can onoly be dealt with if meeting it from a position of strength - else the West would drive Russia against the wall. That is tragic, for I see it as a great chance being sacrificed for short termed irrational greed and hunger for power by us. for the way russia behaves today, we and our policies must accept not all, but a very prominent share of responsibility for. And as long as we prevent action over Dharfur by endless negotiations wether or not it can be called genocide when a million people of foreogn faith get slaughtered by islamic militias - we have no moral authority to lecture others about how deficitary their understanding of humanitarianism and egal justic is in our opinion. the Georgia case has nothing to do with freedom fights and bringing democracy to a foreign people, but it is a pure Western powerplay to see if and how we can bully the Russians once again.

Skybird 05-06-09 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neal Stevens (Post 1096933)
Yeah, but what if a big part of this is because Georgia and Ukraine want, very badly, to be in the NATO fold? Of course they do, historically Russia has not been a benevolent neighbor.

NATO has no obligation to accept somebody just because he wants to join. To accept members from around the globe would just illustrate how deficitary and unrelaistic - if even existent - NATO'S selfunderstandig has become since the end of the cold war. And regarding the Ukraine you should not bet money on the majority there wanting to be part of NATO. I am quite sure that a majority there does exactly NOT want that.

Quote:

It matters less what America would tolerate and more about keeping Russia contained and the West safe.
Sometimes i wonder who contains America.

Quote:

You may think Washington does this because they are bored or they love to be "arrogant"? I don't think so.
Certainoly not becasue they are bored, but have interests that are not the official version of "bringing peavce and democracy into a barbaric world". That slogan is like selling glass pearls to the natives. The way the russians had been lied to and betrayed quite often in the past 20 years, and NATO expanded into regions it promised and agree not to expand into if the Russian would agree on kind of deals in return, has somethign of arrogance, it surely shows arrogance. If that would not have been done, the relations would not be as poisened as they are today, and more trust would have been build. And you would not need to stereotyping in term like "all positive A needs to contain all negative B". Rivals for resources and economic profits we would always have beenb, like the EU and US are not really economic partners, but competitors, too, and compromises only get accepted becasue the other is too strong to ignore him. Nations to not maintain friendships, never. Putin was more relaxed in the early time of his time in office, and more interested into leading Russia closer to europe. He was punished for that. He has learned his lesson, and never will be that "naive" again, and he is determined to remain stable conditions in Russia and control over the military.

The aggressive pushing of wetsern interests at the cost of russia when it was lying flat on it'S belly after 1989, maybe gave some economic gamblers of that time a shorttermed rich profit. but seen from today, it has made especially Europe's position today not more but less safe. Some wnated to dominate russia with a tight grip. but the tighter the grip was, the more sand escaped between the fingers, it seems. Next time you want the russian'S cooperation over soemthing in for example the security council, or by installing an embargo in a region near to them, you will be shown the bill for that haughtiness. As a matter of fact, that is already the case - they have blocked several proposals over Iran since autumn last year.

I would think having nthem in our boat regarding iran or north korea, is much more important than allowing Albanian people to practically annex Kosovo, and bringing Georgia or the Ukraine into NATO.

Skybird 05-06-09 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HunterICX (Post 1096931)
and making them a part of the NATO is just so they can wave their angry fist at Russia.

Yes. I just remind of how Poland has abused the umbrella of the EU to ***** Russia with long needles and provokes them at every possible, minor opportunity. And when the bear grumbled, they yelled for help against the bad big monster biting westward again.

the thing I do not understand with Georgia is that Russia since centuries (and therefore since long before the USSR) has been the most important interational market place and trade partner for them. By making russia their enemy, they have very much crushed a major part of their own economy, and have abandoned the primary foreign market especially for their agriculture. Clever.

Steel_Tomb 05-06-09 04:59 PM

I can't be bothered to even read the whole post.... my arguments probably not very clearly constructed as it resembles more of a rant than anything else. And a lot of that is just my personal opinion, so do with it what you like.

However, I'd like to voice my opinion on a couple of things. This is my personal opinion, it may, or may not be correct... but its my view nonetheless.
Skybird, lets take everything aside for one moment historically...

Russia to "legitimize" their "peace-keeping" *cough?* operations handed out Russian Passports to South Ossetians to make them Russia, and give them an excuse to send in the troops. Now to me, regardless of that very small minorities opinions against Georgia as a whole... its a damned cheap and ****ty tactic to use.

Its like the French handing out French Passports to the Scots... I know they don't exactly like the English much, but it doens't give them the right to start going around saying "oh oh they're XXXX citizens, lets go and get them" and medeling with internal affairs. Personally, when they started to do the same in Ukraine alarms bells started ringing for me, especially since the whole row over renewing the lease for the Sevastapol base to the Russians.

If those people DON'T like being Ukrainean/Georgian, then bugger off to RUSSIA... the fact that Russia used this fact that they were "rescueing Russian Citizens" was just, in my opinion and complete load of utter cobblers. Russia expects to be taken seriously in the international domain, when the only way they can be successful is to employ cheap, dirty tricks with their neighbours whilst undermining their independence through economic blackmail, hmm yeah... very responsible nation.

Just for the record, my comments towards Putin and his ongoing Regime were mainly for public freedoms, mainly the press. Since the Kursk Disaster (no I'm not opening that can of worms, you may breath easily) Putin, after the failures of Government and inept leaders in the military lead to them not being able to organise a piss up in a Vodka distilery lead to HUGE public outcry... In Britain, the Govenment would have its ass hung out to dry by the media and their polls would take a hammering for a few months until people forgot.

In Russia, the answer to that problem according to the oh-so democratic Putin is to crush the free press, along with freedom of speech in general and to centralise everything into state run television. Now I'm no expert on all things politics, so I won't pretend to... but that really doesn't seem wholey democratic and free for some peculiar reason.

I'm sorry, but the ongoing international attitudes of the big wigs in the Kremlin, and their internal policies mean that I have absolutely NO respect for them. They're their own worst enemy, instead of taking the fall for their mistakes; they cover up and easily remove the evidence through state run TV... its a complete farse.

/Rant


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