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03-11-10, 10:05 PM | #151 |
Ocean Warrior
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I will look into your allegations this weekend when I have some time. In the mean time I'll state the obvious problem with these emails you are highlighting, that they are take wholly with out any context. We do not know what any of these emails are referring to at all. Thus with out context they are in of themselves meaningless.
I know some of what is going on there is due to certain data being IP which can't be publicly released with out the consent of the owners of the IP data. More later when I have some time to do the necessary researching to properly tackle what you have presented. |
03-12-10, 12:36 AM | #152 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Silent Hunter
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"Just sent loads of station data to Scott." As a rule of thumb within the scientific research community, information stored on computers is passed along through the chain of command. And eventually, it's archived for use in the field. The data Scott was given was lost after his laptop's hard drive crashed; the only thing really wrong with it that the skeptics have been able to complain about are "typos in key dates to sloppy sourcing" (according to the Wall Street Journal: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...021404283.html). Typos in the dates and sloppiness in sourcing hardly disprove the entire field of global climate change science, let alone the particular sect the University of East Anglia specifically researches. The thoughts held by some of the skeptics (mentioned by the WSJ) that are exactly like this are, to put it bluntly, ignorant- trying to strengthen their position by attempting to pass off the notion that these minuscule problems are in fact gigantic. They're as bad as the people who, in the middle of a debate on the losing side, bring attention to the winning side's bad grammar or spelling, when and if it does exist. "If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act now in the UK, I think I’ll delete the file rather than send to anyone." What is citing this quote supposed to prove? Because it doesn't confirm anything. Again, you're using something so vague that if you presented it in front of a court, the judge would laugh his ass off and dismiss it. "We also have a data protection act, which I will hide behind." "He has retired officially from UEA so he can hide behind that." The same above applies to these quotes. They're vague, and consequently meaningless and useless when it comes to trying to confirm that this is all some kind of conspiracy they've conjured up and are now trying to obliterate all proof of. . . . . Can you delete any emails you may have had with Keith re AR4? As I have said, and will say for the third time, what exactly does this confirm? And I shall reiterate: nothing, because they're way too vague to be basing any skepticism which you hold on, let alone submit to us as "evidence" for this all being some kind of conspiracy. Quote:
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See the graphs for comparison. What these bits of graphical data show is simple: the temperatures are steadily rising, and have been for centuries; but what it also shows is that around the beginning of the Industrial Age and Second Industrial Revolution when coal-burning factories were producing billions of tons of pollution and CO2 and CFCs into the atmosphere. The sudden climb in temperature around this period is evidence that the industrial side of civilization can easily influence the climate. In short: it's showing that man does have a large impact on the environment. Did... and does. Quote:
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The early stations he's referring to are part of the University of East Anglia's satellite research project. NASA uses thousands of these same types of stations around the world. The university has a few hundred, many of which are in the same general localities. It would be repetitive and clotting to use the same data in the same report- clotting as in a waste of space. Again, this is standard procedure. Basically, all the stations they were using (as far as the end is concerned) were outdated in terms of the coding processes (which is an issue he addressed earlier in the email). Moving to raw data to other, more recently added stations would provide for more modern results (hence the reference to raw data; you see, Hap, raw data is a very good thing in scientific research, because it is the latest available, meaning that you can make near immediate comparisons to past data), whilst these newer stations would at the same time have older records archived. Here is a chart showing the distribution of stations they have on planet Earth (current and historical): The GHCN would be annoyed. After all, he would be "stealing" their data since he's also using their stations. At least, that's how they view it. Quote:
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Pielke is not a skeptic of climate change. That's a very common misconception by your lot. He has stated, and I quote, that the evidence of a human fingerprint on the global and regional climate is incontrovertible as clearly illustrated in the National Research Council report and in our research papers. (source: http://climatesci.org/publications/pdf/R-258.pdf) Quote:
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http://sweetness-light.com/archive/e...cru-head-jones "The most damning emails on this point are the following, starting with 1107454306.txt, in which Jones refers to MM – McIntyre and McKitrick (bold added):" "For years Jones has made clear his determination to keep crucial data from the eyes of sceptics:" "And when Jones is really forced to the point of handing over his data, he considers ways to may checking it more difficult or annoying:" You had those exact same sentences in your post, when they were not by you. They originated from the website I posted a link to. That's called infringement and it's very illegal. Quote:
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http://stats.org/stories/2008/global..._apr23_08.html Quote:
WHO IN THE NAME OF GOD EVER SAID ANYTHING ABOUT TAKING THE PAPERS AS "GOSPEL"? Jesus, man... you've got a long ways to go on the field of science. Quote:
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The page you requested wasn't found at this location. Quote:
Hey man- you said it. We the "climate doomsayers" didn't. But this is an issue we've already addressed. Quote:
That's hardly the case and you know it. We're not the ones playing the victim card here. It's your lot who frequently says it's being oppressed, it's your lot (or at least you, anyway) that's been misrepresenting the facts here (and I've already addressed that issue), and it's your lot that's doing nothing scientific to invalidate current climate change theories and "expose" it as some big conspiracy/hoax- even when it's perfectly capable of doing it. IT'S THE GOVERNMENT'S JOB TO SPEND MONEY. At least, it's in the job description. Asides from using it to improve on national areas (a variety of which I cannot even begin to touch upon in a single post), do you not understand that it's because they spend this money that we have what we have around us- that we have the country we have today and will hopefully continue to have in the future? Has it been all good? No. But it hasn't been all bad either. Anybody who thinks it has been... well, they're a bit rusty when it comes to US history. Quote:
And it's our documented facts that are always there to remind people of the truth, and assure them that, "Don't worry, the Wizard of Oz is just a fictional story." Quote:
You mean the same way the "Climate-Gate" conspiracy theorists/wannabe hoax "debunkers" stand around going, "Ignore the scientists and the information/resources you can find all over the world that can confirm what they're saying! Everything is fine! Don't waste your time investigating the matter for yourselves! Listen to us! We've got all the answers! Just like the guys over on 911Truth.com!"? Which is all any of you do practically. You yourself obviously haven't bothered to do any real research in the matter (and by that, I mean you haven't made a dedicated effort to understanding this topic- let alone attempted to become a part of the scientific community to understand how it works). Thank Odin, however, that people like your lot are not the ones heading the major scientific organizations researching climate change. And may it remain that way for as long as human civilization endures. Last edited by Stealth Hunter; 03-12-10 at 11:29 PM. Reason: Quotations failure. |
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03-12-10, 03:13 AM | #153 | |
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03-12-10, 05:12 AM | #154 |
Soaring
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Wowh Stealth Hunter that may be a length record at least for this year so far. I got a cramp in my finger when scratching on that mouse wheel.
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03-12-10, 07:38 AM | #155 |
Dipped Squirrel Operative
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Hello,
all i can say as a geologist is that CO2 values are indeed rising on an alarming level. They have before, but not in such a short time. If you want to know what the world looks like after global warming you can look at the Perm time interval. It did not extinct all life, but it was bad enough. And it took some hundred-thousand years to develop this climate, after volcanic mass eruptions and the following glasshouse effects. There are also a lot of chemicals eating away excessive CO2 for a certain time, but as scientific results have also shown those buffers are currently running full, or better said they are becoming saturated. Another buffer are plants, who actually like CO2 and will grow big and fast - but with the eroding forests all over the world, this buffer is made physically smaller. The current rise of this climate-changing gas is indeed being held back, and buffered, also e.g. by calcium-carbonate in the oceans, and large gas hydrate deposits in Siberia, and the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico. The problem is that with rising temperatures, those reservoirs acting as buffers will release their accumulated CO2 again, since they can only hold back its buffers under certain climate conditions (read moderate temperature). Simple chemical reaction due to temperature changes. So rising temperature which will pose an even bigger problem, because it will speed up things badly. Fact is we ARE screwing up our tiny little world, but people just do not want to hear it. As Stealth Hunter said, the evidence is everywhere, just inform yourself. I still wonder why the people are so angry at Al Gore - i mean he did not become president, he was/is right, and that he makes some money with it - hey the people at least listen to him - what obviously does NOT happen when scientists speak the truth. Thanks and greetings, Catfish P.S. b.t.w Stealth Hunter - very good diagrams. |
03-12-10, 08:00 AM | #156 |
Silent Hunter
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Stealth Hunter....
Attacking me with claims of "you stole this from another website illegally" won't help you - since your source is incorrect and your point flawed. My source was not the link you provided - but THIS one: http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/the_warmist_conspiracy_tthe_emails_that_really_dam n_professor_jones#63704 Which note is an article not copyrighted and in the public domain - so it does not REQUIRE sourcing - though I don't mind showing the source. As you can see - its from the Australian Herald Sun.... News groups that post articles or blogs put them in the public with no copyright. Nice attempt at "attack the person" standard leftist tactic though. Not sayiing you are leftists - but your attempt to use the strategy - and failing - is at least public. Kindly don't call me a thief when the facts show that I am not one. Now - as for your "these emails prove nothing" and "a judge would laugh you out of his courtroom" - how much have you practiced law? While I am no attorney - I HAVE represented myself in court (and won BTW) - and I can speak to the use of emails specificaly because I DID use emails from another person. The emails are admissable under the rules establishing INTENT and as evidence of a person's willingness to act in a stated way. This applies to US courts, I can't speak to non-US ones. In a US court - the emails regarding deletion would stand showing Jones' INTENT to insure such data could never be viewed by outside sources. So - what does the first email prove? At the least - an ethical violation - KNOWING that a law exists, and stating that he (Jones) will act in violation to that law should an FoIA request be made. But look closer. Check the timeline... CRU acknowledged an FoIA request regarding AR4 on May 6th (request made dated May 5). On May 9th, Jones emails his co-workers and discusses OPTIONS on what to release in regards to that FoIA request. On May 26, he emails the parties involved and requests they DELETE the emails regarding AR4 that have been requested under the FoIA. Thus - he KNOWINGLY REQUESTED THE DELETION OF DATA THAT WAS PROTECTED UNDER FoIA LAW. That is more than an "ethical violation" - it is a criminal act. But hey, in Stealth Hunter world, there was nothing done wrong.... On a total side note - the FoIA laws do not allow Jones or anyone else to "reconstruct" or alter in any way the data from its original form. The FoIA is there so that what is requested is provided in an untampered with state. His discussed "options" - the two regarding subsets and reconstructed data - would also have violated FoIA law had they been done. The fact is he wanted to, and attempted to, avoid compliance with the law as shown by his own emails. As for climate-gate.org - you didn't even look at it obviously. Had you done so you would have noted that the site simply compiled and made searchable the raw emails themselves - without commentary pro or con. They even went so far as to make the point that the emails are "alleged" - though the parties involved have not denied the veracity of them. Yet by looking at the "name" of the site you dismiss it. Showing your own highly advanced objectivity and willingness to look at the facts again eh? For the whitehouse link - try it again. I did it this morning and it opened right up. The full link is http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget...ssets/spec.pdf and opens a PDF file. Perhaps someone else can try it and confirm it since you seem to not be able to reach the data.... To help you out, the part I quoted was at the beginning of page 28 (its a 430 page doc). The report is labelled: Analytical Perspectives Budget of the U.S. Government Fiscal Year 2010 And your right - it is the job of the government to spend money. However, what I put out there was the comparison that was being made between "big oil" money going to "skeptic" groups and the money that is thrown at "believers" - like NOAA. It was in response to the point that Neon made regarding who is funded better. But again, you knew that - yet you tried to divert it into something else. The whole wizard of oz all over again - and yes, you can assure people the story is make believe, all the while you try and hide behind the curtain and play "mr wizard" to get those who question to just shut up. As for all the "you have a long way to go" and such.... I would submit that true scientists - as compared to those at the CRU - are interested in accuracy vs specific results. Good scientists don't have problems with people looking at the data and finding flaws, because that makes the SCIENCE stronger long term. If you read the emails, multiple CRU members specifically stated that they did not want to be reviewed by any "outsider" who was skeptical because "all they wanted to do was find something wrong with the science" - as if that was a bad thing to move the science itself forward. It is the holier than thou, attack the messenger and violate the rules of ethics, law and good science attitude that gives every skeptic and laypersion pause, and a darned good right - to question this mess. Except for in Stealth Hunter world, where knowingly violating law isn't really wrong... Maybe the SH5 flying unicorn people are there in that world too?
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03-12-10, 08:20 AM | #157 | |
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It just gets better and better. |
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03-12-10, 11:47 AM | #158 |
Dipped Squirrel Operative
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Hello,
always believe the mineral oil industry. They often say the same as politicians who come from there - enough proof that this is the truth. "Just live, don't think for yourselves, spend money and be happy - we will deal with the rest." Greetings, Catfish |
03-12-10, 05:30 PM | #159 |
Soaring
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03-12-10, 05:44 PM | #160 |
Silent Hunter
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Catfish - neither I nor anyone else that I know of in this thread have said "just believe big oil over the scientists". I simply have pointed out that the data - from the CRU - which has been the leading authority on climate data - is highly suspect, and that environmental science research into continuing the climate change emergency is BIG MONEY.
The data - which is foundational to most of the papers concerning climate change, is suspect - since the actions and motivations of those who make the data available (and note that they only do so to those who will agree that global warming is real for the most part) are demonstratably, in their own words and deeds - show a non-objective approach to the "science". The facts regarding how much money is spent on research simply shows how, if the whole thing went away tommorow - those involved in putting forth the enhanced greenhouse effect would stand to lose a LOT of money - so there are reasons outside of good science (which their actions have thrown away already) for the veracity of the data to be questioned. Nobody said "Just live and dont worry about it" - in fact - cleaning up the SCIENCE of it might just solve the majority of the debate. But until the science is clean, it is unconscienable for one side to castigate the other for daring to QUESTION.
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03-12-10, 06:57 PM | #161 |
Dipped Squirrel Operative
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Hello,
first i know you did not say that. But it is crystal clear that some Mr. A. Gore is being hated for speaking the truth, not alone by the oil industry. I guess you know in which business Bush senior was and where Bush junior came from, along with a lot of other presidents. It is always best to think about who profits most by denying scientific facts, aka climate change or global warming ? It is not only about CRU, there are hundreds of records worldwide, only a tiny little one of it in Goettingen, but all tell you the same. The creationist's opinion may vary since there are only 7000+ years to be studied ahem. You wrote: " ... that environmental science research into continuing the climate change emergency is BIG MONEY ..." In fact it does not cost too much money to have this studied including causes and effects, by students and universities - from independent universities, that is. Indeed it already has been done, and still is, at least in Europe and especially Scandinavia. This is most basic research, and getting the data is nor the problem and neither expensive. Interpreting the values is not a problem either, the causes are well known - the question is how much will change and in which scale. That there is evidence of drastic greenhouse gas changes in the atmosphere can indeed be read by anyone who is interested, you do not need (and should not believe) a full blown-up and heavily payed-for "expertise" on that matter from Exxon-Mobil, or some Bush government. The magic word is independent studies. You do not have a glimpse what it meant money-wise to the oil industry, if some politician ever acted according to the facts - he will be most probably shot before this, or just not being elected. The US system of elections will seldomly let someone rise to power who is not somehow connected with big business like oil or weapons - and since this "glitch" in the succession of the throne happening, Obama is hated just because he's not exactly one of the clan. Insider relationships and "good contacts" to a certain kind of industry will still prevent a real change. I think Obama is unrealistic about succeeding in convincing the people, but he is one idealistic president, and i envy you for him. To say what he said, in this mire of corruption, lobbies and sheer brute force is really something one has to admire. I only fear something will stop him, soon. The succession and development of global temperatures, graphs and the perception of something changing is not made up, it is rather the old trick of mankind to put the head in the sand, not think about it and hope for the best. Regarding those mails it is indeed to be highly appreciated that scientists doubt everything they see, it is a well-learned method to fend off unbased opinions later, and testing theories. The state of science and thus public knowledge only persists, until a better theory based on facts destroys it. Whether a well-educated non-corrupt US president will ever be able to persist and "win" against the industy and lobbies is an academic question, global warming is not - from a geologist's point of view. Thanks and greetings, Catfish Last edited by Catfish; 03-12-10 at 07:08 PM. |
03-12-10, 07:03 PM | #162 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Silent Hunter
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikiped...ble_sources.3F Are weblogs reliable sources? In many cases, no. Most private weblogs ("blogs"), especially those hosted by blog-hosting services such as Blogger, are self-published sources; many of them published pseudonymously. There is no fact-checking process and no guarantee of quality of reliability. Information from a privately-owned blog may be usable in an article about that blog or blogger under the self-publication provision of the verifiability policy. Weblog material written by well-known professional researchers writing within their field, or well-known professional journalists, may be acceptable, especially if hosted by a university, newspaper or employer (a typical example is Language Log, which is already cited in several articles, e.g. Snowclone, Drudge Report). Usually, subject experts will publish in sources with greater levels of editorial control such as research journals, which should be preferred over blog entries if such sources are available. Unfortunately for you, Mr. Bolt is not a professional researcher on the subject of climate change, nor is he a scientist, nor a professional journalist. His integrity as a columnist is questionable at best. There's a great deal of controversy swarming around him. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_..._and_criticism He amounts to little more than the Australian version of a small-time Glenn Beck. Quote:
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http://www.opsi.gov.uk/Acts/acts2000..._20000036_en_1 The FoIA is there so that what is requested is provided in an untampered with state. His discussed "options" - the two regarding subsets and reconstructed data - would also have violated FoIA law had they been done. The fact is he wanted to, and attempted to, avoid compliance with the law as shown by his own emails. Quote:
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pajamas_Media Pajamas Media is an American-based media company that uses the Internet to present and comment on the news. Founded in 2004 by a network primarily, but not exclusively, made up of conservatives and libertarians led by mystery writer, screenwriter, and blogger Roger L. Simon, and until 2007, Charles Johnson of Little Green Footballs, it was originally intended as a forum to present blogs and blog advertising "with the intention of... aggregating blogs to increase corporate advertising and creating our own professional news service." So tell me, asides from restating information already available on scientific websites like NASA's Goddard Institute of Research, the CRU, and IPCC that we've read already, what exactly makes them so impressive, better, and different from the science organizations listed- disregarding the fact that they're not even remotely connected to the scientific community in terms of published content and writers/members? Quote:
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I got in this time. I also see that the U.S. Geological Survey received $140 million for facility renovations and construction projects and for seismic and volcanic activity monitoring systems, $580 million was received by the National Institute of Standards and Technology for standards research, development advanced measurement equipment, and construction of more research facilities. What exactly is the problem with all this? Quote:
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There again with the preaching and speeches. Pretty words that amount to nothing because of their lack of substance. Cutesy little analogies, personifications, the list goes on. But whatever. I'm starting to have fun with this. Quote:
Both, actually, are important. The results can show the accuracy during the experiments to have been flawed, the accuracy correlates by determining the results from the experiments. Simple logic and methodology really. Quote:
You CAN look at the results, that's what I've been trying to tell you the ENTIRE TIME we've been having this discussion. If you would invest more of your time looking at organizations like NASA's Goddard Institute, NCAR, UCAR, WCRP, the IRICS, CLIVAR, etc. and less on second-hand websites like Climate-Gate.org that do nothing but repeat some of the information these organizations have posted out there- and I stress the some part. Get the full story from the source, not a bunch of parrots. Quote:
How is science going to move forward by having a bunch of random, anonymous people (who, statistically speaking, are going to be outsiders to the scientific community) running around "reviewing" the data? Not that you can't, because you can access all the information on their websites (an approach you haven't tried yet...). Unless they're qualified or have at least a basic understanding of what they're going to be looking at and commenting on, what business is it of theirs? Furthermore, how good do you really think their skills and judgment would be as a whole? That's my view on the matter. Because you WOULD get people that just wanted to find something wrong with the science. You always do. If it's not climate change, it's evolution, radiometric and carbon dating, aliens, UFOS, the list goes on endlessly. Quote:
Then question the methodology, because that's what most of the controversies about climate change are revolving around. For some strange reason, your minority amongst your demographic group believes that it's all a hoax, and that it's all about government control and money. Of course that's a gross oversimplification, but that's the gist of what you and your lot are saying. Quote:
Furthermore, I suggest you look into the websites and organizations you're fighting against to see for yourself that they're not withholding information to propagate this supposed conspiracy. To name a few: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/ http://www.ncar.ucar.edu/research/climate/now.php http://www.noaa.gov/index.html http://www.wmo.ch/pages/prog/wcrp/wcrp-index.html http://www.wmo.int/pages/index_en.html Cheers. |
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03-12-10, 07:37 PM | #163 |
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03-12-10, 07:50 PM | #164 | ||
Silent Hunter
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Well it certainly can't help his reputation any.
http://www.subsim.com/radioroom/show....php?t=158450& Quote:
http://www.subsim.com/radioroom/show...4&postcount=12 Quote:
Just thought I'd throw this out there for the sake of Morts' comment. EDIT: Also, the evil Fascist-Socialist-Communist-Leftist-Liberal government is watching our every move as we speak... put on your tinfoil hats! It destroys the mind reading machine's capabilities. Last edited by Stealth Hunter; 03-12-10 at 09:49 PM. |
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03-12-10, 07:55 PM | #165 | |
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climate, climate change, drought, global warming, hurricanes |
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