Here we go again-Ukraine once again

[Jimbuna]

[Jimbuna]

[mapuc]

Russia has conducted a massive missile attack on Odessa Russian fighter jets and longrange bomberplane fired It was KH22 and KH59 missile.

Most of them was shot down by Ukrainian air defence.

Here is how I see it..If UN wants this wheat or whatever they call it..then they should place a lot of soldiers in the Odessa area to protect it.

Markus

[Jimbuna]

They could make a start by sending Denmarks army in first then?

[mapuc]

Originally Posted by Jimbuna

They could make a start by sending Denmarks army in first then?

Some Danish UN soldier could be part of this UN operation.

It's not going to happen. UN is a peacekeeping organization.

A friend send me this link

https://kyivindependent.com/hot-topi...ries-in-donbas

Markus

[Jimbuna]

Russian energy giant Gazprom says it will once again drastically cut gas supplies to the EU through its main pipeline due to maintenance work.

Gazprom said stopping another turbine at the Nord Stream 1 pipeline would cut daily gas production to 20%, halving the current level of supply.

The German government said there was no technical reason to limit gas supply.

It is likely to make it more difficult for EU countries to replenish their stores of gas before winter.

The Nord Stream 1 pipeline, which pumps gas from Russia to Germany, has been running well below capacity for weeks, and was completely shut down for a 10-day maintenance break earlier this month.

Russia supplied the EU with 40% of its gas last year, and the EU has accused Russia of using energy as a weapon.

The European Commission has urged countries to cut gas use by 15% over the next seven months after Russia warned it could curb or halt supplies altogether.

Under the proposals, the voluntary target could become mandatory in an emergency.

European Commission President, Ursula von der Leyen, has said the prospect of Russia cutting off all supplies to the EU is a "likely scenario".

On Tuesday energy ministers will meet in Brussels in an attempt to sign off the plans.

But numerous opt-outs are expected amid resistance from some member states.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-62291458

[Dargo]

The first detailed academic paper about the impact of economic sanctions on the Russian economy.
As the Russian invasion of Ukraine enters into its fifth month, a common narrative has emerged that the unity of the world in standing up to Russia has somehow devolved into a “war of economic attrition which is taking its toll on the west”, given the supposed “resilience” and even “prosperity” of the Russian economy. This is simply untrue – and a reflection of widely held but factually incorrect misunderstandings over how the Russian economy is actually holding up amidst the exodus of over 1,000 global companies and international sanctions.

That these misunderstandings persist is not surprising. Since the invasion, the Kremlin’s economic releases have become increasingly cherry-picked, selectively tossing out unfavorable metrics while releasing only those that are more favorable. These Putin-selected statistics are then carelessly trumpeted across media and used by reams of well-meaning but careless experts in building out forecasts which are excessively, unrealistically favorable to the Kremlin.

Our team of experts, using private Russian language and unconventional data sources including high frequency consumer data, cross-channel checks, releases from Russia’s international trade partners, and data mining of complex shipping data, have released one of the first comprehensive economic analyses measuring Russian current economic activity five months into the invasion, and assessing Russia’s economic outlook.

From our analysis, it becomes clear: business retreats and sanctions are catastrophically crippling the Russian economy. We tackle a wide range of common misperceptions – and shed light on what is actually going on inside Russia, ... https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....act_id=4167193

[Dargo]

What’s in the Ukraine Grain Deal for Russia?
The easing in sanctions that Moscow obtained as an informal part of the Ukraine grain deal will enable it to address some critical vulnerabilities in Russia’s own food security, as well as to take advantage of the current high prices on the global market and ensure that agricultural holdings with ties to the Kremlin expand their export revenues. ... https://carnegieendowment.org/eurasiainsight/87576

[Dargo]

The Russians are accumulating heavy weapons near the Kherson region. "3 columns drove towards Kherson - about 80 units of military equipment" - the mayor of Melitopol.

Wonder if Ukraine wait till they can destroy them all with HIMARS.

[Jimbuna]

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan allegedly told colleagues at a top party meeting that Russian leader Vladimir Putin proposed a military deal during a meeting in Tehran. In particular, he wanted to create a production enterprise of Bayraktar drones in Russia.

This was reported by CNN Turk sources, Censor.NET reports with reference to UNIAN.

According to the publication, Erdogan told a party meeting on July 25 that Putin approached him during a recent meeting in Tehran with a proposal to conclude a deal with the Turkish firm Baykar.

"Putin told me that he wants to work with Baykar. He offered to create a factory in Russia, as they did in the UAE," Erdogan said.

Although a company spokesperson denies it, Baykar is indeed in the process of setting up a production line in the UAE, according to a source familiar with the matter.

At the same time, Baykar CEO Khaluk Bayraktar said that he will not sell his drones to Putin.

"There are strategic relations between Turkey and Ukraine, especially in the field of aviation and space. Turkey supports Ukraine with armed drone technologies. We have not transferred or supplied anything to Russia. We would never do such a thing," he emphasized.

[mapuc]

Originally Posted by Dargo

The Russians are accumulating heavy weapons near the Kherson region. "3 columns drove towards Kherson - about 80 units of military equipment" - the mayor of Melitopol.

Wonder if Ukraine wait till they can destroy them all with
HIMARS.

Could this be because the Russian think the Ukrainian offensive will come in that area ?

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Could this be because the Russian think the Ukrainian offensive will come in that area ?

Markus

Think? They know Russia lost most of their occupied area in Kherson oblast the past month(s) and it is an important area seaports, industry, water supply for Crimea (Putin made a promise to the population of Crimea that he would solve their water supply) they do not want to lose that.

[Jimbuna]

[Jimbuna]

The UK government has sanctioned Russian-imposed leaders of breakaway regions in Ukraine.

Two leaders of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics have had their assets frozen.

Separatists in the eastern regions, which together make up the Donbas, set up unrecognised pro-Russian statelets in 2014 after the annexation of Crimea.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-62308191

[Dargo]

Landscape. I can't help but notice that Russia was largely unable to take much advantage of the comparably favorable terrain of southeastern Ukraine in May and June, at a time when Ukraine did not deploy large numbers of long-range weapons received from partners. In the north Russian soldiers had to deal with natural barriers such as hills and forests. In the southeast this is not case -- and yet even so Russian progress has been very slow. And now those weapons are coming.

Mode of combat. Russian soldiers do not like to get close to Ukrainian soldiers. Russian warfare depends on artillery, on killing from a great distance. The Russians shell a position until it is unrecognizable, and then claim the rubble. This kills civilians, flattens cities, and makes whole regions wastelands, but no one in the Russian system cares about that. Ballistics comes down to a kind of math, and so far the Russians have had the advantages: more artillery pieces, more shells, sites that are out of reach.

But if the Russian advantage in artillery disappears, the war changes character. Ukraine is now getting the long-range, accurate weapons to hit Russian ammunition dumps. Russia can adjust to this, but only in ways that slow the distribution of ammunition, and thus the firing of artillery. If the right kinds of weapons continue to be delivered, Ukraine might soon be in a position to dictate the mode of combat. Russians are unlikely to fight well if they have to fight close. If Ukraine gains the advantage in artillery, we may see slow Russian retreats as commanders find themselves unable to rally troops for close combat.

https://snyder.substack.com/p/the-st...an?r=8ii14&s=r