Hurricane Dorian

Rockstar · 08-30-19, 10:40 AM

So many possibilities. First thought was that it may cross the peninsula into the GOM. Now a trough is moving in which might produce an opening for Dorian to drive straight up into Disneyland eventually then curve back out towards the Atlantic and up along the coast to Hatteras.

hat tip: https://www.spaghettimodels.com/

GFS model: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...&pkg=mslpaNorm
EURO model: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...&pkg=mslpaNorm

em2nought · 08-30-19, 12:03 PM

Yeah, not good for me.

Mr Quatro · 08-30-19, 12:52 PM

Slow moving hurricane too ... what they call the Space Coast has never had a hurricane in September

Rockstar · 08-30-19, 12:58 PM

There's been a few that hit Key West in August/September. Historically hurricanes in this time frame have headed straight for the Space Coast but turned Northward and made landfall elsewhere. Some models are beginning to indicate Dorian may do that too. Prepare for the worst, hope the best.

mapuc · 08-30-19, 05:08 PM

Take care, for those of you who may be affected by this hurricane.

You know better be safe, than sorry.

Markus

Jimbuna · 08-31-19, 06:54 AM

Best wishes and hopes for safety to everyone in the area.

Kptlt. Neuerburg · 08-31-19, 08:33 AM

By the looks of things the hurricanes track is going to take it up the East Coast rather then it making landfall here in Florida. But that could also mean it might become a Cat 5 while it slowly moves up the coast during it's interaction with the Gulf Steam. Even so with it being a Cat 4 and it possibly not making landfall it's still going to be nasty. I remember the last hurricane and even though it stayed on Florida's west coast it still caused a lot power outages and downed trees both of which took what seemed like ages to take care of.

Rockstar · 09-01-19, 09:48 AM

Dorian is still too far to be certain of track. Sooo many variables in play here, Youtube video explains them. Florida may still get wacked by Dorian.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

Jimbuna · 09-01-19, 09:59 AM

Quote:

Hurricane Dorian has become a catastrophic category five storm, and is expected to hit the Bahamas with devastating winds and very heavy rain.

The "extremely dangerous" storm is expected to slam the north-west of the island chain on Sunday, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said, before heading to the US east coast.

Grand Bahama residents have been evacuating from its predicted path.

The storm surge could be as high as 15ft (4.6m), officials warned.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-49541485

Stay safe people

Onkel Neal · 09-01-19, 05:51 PM

Reported 185 mph winds now.

Rockstar · 09-01-19, 05:57 PM

... and moving at an agonizing slow 5-MPH/8-KPH an hour

Mr Quatro · 09-01-19, 07:11 PM

I've been watching the weather channel for two days now ...
The eye of the storm is still tracking West even after the eye came into contact
with the Bahamas.

I thought it would've turned toward the North by now, but now it's only going 5mph ... Could this thing refuse to turn and wreck the entire East coast of Florida up to North Carolina?

Perhaps it just keeps tracking right across Florida?

Just a few more hours till we know, but at 5mph it's not going to hit anything for a long time ...

em2nought · 09-01-19, 08:49 PM

Good luck to everyone. It's been pointing directly at me for the past several days. LOL

Rockstar · 09-01-19, 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Quatro

I've been watching the weather channel for two days now ...
The eye of the storm is still tracking West even after the eye came into contact
with the Bahamas.

I thought it would've turned toward the North by now, but now it's only going 5mph ... Could this thing refuse to turn and wreck the entire East coast of Florida up to North Carolina?

Perhaps it just keeps tracking right across Florida?

Just a few more hours till we know, but at 5mph it's not going to hit anything for a long time ...

Latest from Tropical Tidbits (https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/) where this fella will explain the possibilities much better than the weather channel has time for

Onkel Neal · 09-01-19, 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by em2nought

Good luck to everyone. It's been pointing directly at me for the past several days. LOL

Where are you?

08-30-19, 10:40 AM	#1
Rockstar Rear Admiral Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Zendia Bar & Grill Posts: 11,859 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	Hurricane Dorian So many possibilities. First thought was that it may cross the peninsula into the GOM. Now a trough is moving in which might produce an opening for Dorian to drive straight up into Disneyland eventually then curve back out towards the Atlantic and up along the coast to Hatteras. hat tip: https://www.spaghettimodels.com/ GFS model: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...&pkg=mslpaNorm EURO model: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...&pkg=mslpaNorm __________________ Guardian of the honey and nuts Let's assume I'm right, it'll save time. Last edited by Rockstar; 08-30-19 at 12:08 PM.

08-30-19, 12:03 PM	#2
em2nought Ocean Warrior Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 3,280 Downloads: 0 Uploads: 0	Yeah, not good for me. __________________ Looks like we need a Lemon Law for Presidents now! DNC sold us a dud, and they knew it.

08-30-19, 12:52 PM	#3
Mr Quatro Navy Seal Join Date: May 2013 Posts: 6,772 Downloads: 0 Uploads: 0	Slow moving hurricane too ... what they call the Space Coast has never had a hurricane in September __________________ pla•teau noun a relatively stable level, period, or condition a level of attainment or achievement Lord help me get to the next plateau ..

08-30-19, 12:58 PM	#4
Rockstar Rear Admiral Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Zendia Bar & Grill Posts: 11,859 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	There's been a few that hit Key West in August/September. Historically hurricanes in this time frame have headed straight for the Space Coast but turned Northward and made landfall elsewhere. Some models are beginning to indicate Dorian may do that too. Prepare for the worst, hope the best. __________________ Guardian of the honey and nuts Let's assume I'm right, it'll save time.

08-31-19, 06:54 AM	#6
Jimbuna Chief of the Boat Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: 250 metres below the surface Posts: 181,334 Downloads: 63 Uploads: 13	Best wishes and hopes for safety to everyone in the area. __________________ Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools because they have to say something. Oh my God, not again!! GWX3.0 Download Page - Donation/instant access to GWX (Help SubSim)

08-30-19, 05:08 PM	#5
mapuc Fleet Admiral Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Denmark Posts: 17,919 Downloads: 37 Uploads: 0	Take care, for those of you who may be affected by this hurricane. You know better be safe, than sorry. Markus

08-31-19, 08:33 AM	#7
Kptlt. Neuerburg Admiral Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Florida Posts: 2,250 Downloads: 54 Uploads: 0	By the looks of things the hurricanes track is going to take it up the East Coast rather then it making landfall here in Florida. But that could also mean it might become a Cat 5 while it slowly moves up the coast during it's interaction with the Gulf Steam. Even so with it being a Cat 4 and it possibly not making landfall it's still going to be nasty. I remember the last hurricane and even though it stayed on Florida's west coast it still caused a lot power outages and downed trees both of which took what seemed like ages to take care of. __________________ "When you're born into this world, you're given a ticket to the freak show. If you're born in America you get a front row seat." - George Carlin

09-01-19, 09:48 AM	#8
Rockstar Rear Admiral Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Zendia Bar & Grill Posts: 11,859 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	Dorian is still too far to be certain of track. Sooo many variables in play here, Youtube video explains them. Florida may still get wacked by Dorian. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ __________________ Guardian of the honey and nuts Let's assume I'm right, it'll save time. Last edited by Rockstar; 09-01-19 at 09:57 AM.

09-01-19, 05:51 PM	#10
Onkel Neal Born to Run Silent Join Date: Jan 1997 Location: Cougar Trap, Texas Posts: 21,289 Downloads: 534 Uploads: 224	Reported 185 mph winds now. __________________ SUBSIM - 26 Years on the Web

09-01-19, 05:57 PM	#11
Rockstar Rear Admiral Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Zendia Bar & Grill Posts: 11,859 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	... and moving at an agonizing slow 5-MPH/8-KPH an hour __________________ Guardian of the honey and nuts Let's assume I'm right, it'll save time. Last edited by Rockstar; 09-01-19 at 06:13 PM.

09-01-19, 07:11 PM	#12
Mr Quatro Navy Seal Join Date: May 2013 Posts: 6,772 Downloads: 0 Uploads: 0	I've been watching the weather channel for two days now ... The eye of the storm is still tracking West even after the eye came into contact with the Bahamas. I thought it would've turned toward the North by now, but now it's only going 5mph ... Could this thing refuse to turn and wreck the entire East coast of Florida up to North Carolina? Perhaps it just keeps tracking right across Florida? Just a few more hours till we know, but at 5mph it's not going to hit anything for a long time ... __________________ pla•teau noun a relatively stable level, period, or condition a level of attainment or achievement Lord help me get to the next plateau ..

09-01-19, 08:49 PM	#13
em2nought Ocean Warrior Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 3,280 Downloads: 0 Uploads: 0	Good luck to everyone. It's been pointing directly at me for the past several days. LOL __________________ Looks like we need a Lemon Law for Presidents now! DNC sold us a dud, and they knew it. Last edited by em2nought; 09-01-19 at 08:50 PM. Reason: expound