Here we go again-Ukraine once again pt2

[mapuc]

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A word from a Danish expert

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[Jimbuna]

[Jimbuna]

[Skybird]

In the past 4 months or so Russia has taken more territory than in the whole 18 months before.

Does this mean Russia gets better and stronger? I dont know, though they certainly adapt and learn. Slowly, but they do that since year one.

But what it really means imo is that Ukrainian defence is crumbling. The war of attrition takes its toll. Russia still can replace this toll, Ukraine can't, and so its defences degrade.

Western leaders have made it quite clear they do not want to support Ukraine decisively, but want to press it into a position where it must accept territorial losses in a "peace" with Russia. I give brown stuff for what they say on press conferences, all the slogans and phrases: hollow and empty lies.

And dont be so fast to take the Northkorean troops as a sign that Putin struggles to find men. It is comfortabel for him to let these unknown foreigners die for his cause instead of Russians, the Northkoreans he must care even less for than for some ethnic minority boys from villages in rural places no citizen in Moscow or St. Peterburg has ever heard off. And he must not call general mobilization. Which he still can, desite what clever "economists" try to make us believe, regarding workforce and such. With the Northkorean troops present, Putin picks an option of choice, not so much an option of desperate need. And if the need arises, he will mobilize. But obviously so far he does not need to mobilize.


Could also be that due to the small ammount of troops, the benefit of the North korean expedition is more in favour of Kim, that it may even be a price Putin had to accept in order to get ammunition and missiles which he needs much more urgently than just a few thousands troops worth two weeks of death toll. Those troops that survive, will return to North Korea, and with them North Korea gets officers with combat experience and veteran status that then will serve as trainers. And that is something North Korea desperately needs, it has no combat experience in its army. Maybe the whole thing is more about doing Kim a favour, not Putin.

And all the time Ukraine gets obliterated more and more, every day, piece by piece, village by village, town by town, city by city, life by life, plant by plant, factory by factory, hospital by hospital, appartement building by appartment building. Not Russia - Ukraine is what gets destroyed. I fail to see the winning trend in this. Thank God that the Russians so far have not chosen to "escalate". We should not allow Ukraine to "escalate" first, that would not be good.

[Jimbuna]

A pretty fair assessment apart from the final sentence

[Skybird]

Oh my gloomy sarcasm...

[Jimbuna]

North Koreans already switching sides

A group of former North Korean soldiers is seeking to join Ukraine to assist and prepare Ukrainian forces against their own compatriots, who have recently bolstered Russian army ranks.

According to the South China Morning Post, each of these defectors has between seven and ten years of military experience.

The defectors plan to leverage their knowledge of North Korean military tactics to disrupt and lower the morale of the opposing troops by exploiting their psychological vulnerabilities.

Currently, these former North Korean soldiers reside in South Korea, and the timing of their deployment to Ukraine remains unknown.

This news comes as the Pentagon reported that 10,000 North Korean soldiers are now training in Russia before being sent to the front lines.

NATO has also confirmed the presence of North Korean troops in Russia’s Kursk region, where Ukrainian forces continue to hold their positions following a breakthrough in this border area.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...797c1e26&ei=32

[Skybird]

Originally Posted by Jimbuna

North Koreans already switching sides

My understanding of this is that these already switched sides long time ago. These are no members of the troop contingent sent by NK recently, but changed to the Southern side already years ago, or not?. In other words these men are South Koreans who originally stem form North Korea, and then fled the country.

[Jimbuna]

Originally Posted by Skybird

My understanding of this is that these already switched sides long time ago. These are no members of the troop contingent sent by NK recently, but changed to the Southern side already years ago, or not?. In other words these men are South Koreans who originally stem form North Korea, and then fled the country.

Perfectly correct, the article title is misleading

[Jimbuna]

Russians refuse to advance in Zaporizhzhia region - ATESH

Certain Russian units are increasingly refusing to advance in the Zaporizhzhia region, with such instances becoming more frequent, according to the Telegram channel of the partisan movement ATESH.

According to agents from the partisan movement ATESH, certain squads from the 1440th Motorized Rifle Regiment are refusing to advance in the Zaporizhzhia region. Those who refused have been detained by military police.

"Everyone understands that assaulting the Ukrainian defenses is a one-way street. Such cases are becoming more frequent," the message states.

The ATESH movement noted that, in light of the situation, the Russian command is planning to deploy new units to the specified direction and replace the formations that have retreated with conscripts.

"This is happening against the backdrop of assurances from military-political leadership that conscript soldiers would not participate in the special military operation (SMO)," the partisans report.

Situation in the Zaporizhzhia region

Recently, several Western media outlets reported that Russian forces allegedly planned a major offensive aimed at capturing Zaporizhzhia. The Russian forces have intensified their strikes on the city using guided aerial bombs.

Meanwhile, the DeepState service noted that Russian forces have taken control of the village of Levadne, located near the border of Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions. The Ukrainian Armed Forces confirmed the enemy's success in that area.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...7163ba7d&ei=31

[mapuc]

Russia do have the momentum on the Eastern part of the frontline. With a huge cost of life, some may say-Yes they are losing a lot of soldiers in the war and Putin couldn't care less.

Is there a light at the end of the tunnel for the Ukrainians ? I can't see any for the moment.

Ukraine have been building war factories to produce Tanks, Artillery and ammo, such as shells.

The question is-Is it to late that they have build these factories ?

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Is this what you may call psychological warfare ?

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[Jimbuna]

NATO donates 65 ambulances to Armed Forces of Ukraine.

In response to a request for urgent needs, NATO provided 65 ambulances to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

This was reported by the Alliance's representative office in Ukraine, Censor.NET reports.

The vehicles were donated as part of NATO's Comprehensive Assistance Package for Ukraine.

The updated CAP was adopted at the Madrid Summit in 2022. At the Vilnius Summit in July 2023, Allies agreed to transform the CAP into a multi-year programme of NATO support to Ukraine, in line with short-, medium- and long-term needs.

At the 2024 Washington Summit, Allies announced a commitment to long-term security assistance to Ukraine and plan to provide €40 billion in funding over the next year. Source: https://censor.net/en/p3517420

[mapuc]

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[Skybird]

Originally Posted by mapuc

The question is-Is it to late that they have build these factories ?

The question is also where the electricity for these is coming from. That they build production sites does not mean that these produce at 100% - or at all. I expect that their factories produce only at a fracton of their designed capacities.

Edit
Is this what you may call psychological warfare ?

Psychological warfare is what Russia does in Cherson. They cannot take the city currently, so they haunt it with thousands and thousands of smallest drones and individually and intentionally kill every civilian they can find, men and women, boys and girls, old and young, everybody, depopulating the city by a city-wide man hunt and individual assassination and demoralizing the survivors. They hunt and kill civilians completely indiscriminately.

Russia also has given orders to no longer take prisoners. Shooting Ukrianian soldiers who surrendered or were captured is no random event at some places - its a general order across all the front. I think they did this in order to signal to their own soldiers: you have no chance get exchanged if you accept being taken prisoner or surrender, you better fight to your death: if they capture you, they will kill you in revenge. Mind you, the Russians also threaten their troops to shoot them if they pull back. And they do it, its no empty threat. Good ol' second world war, nothing has changed with the Russians.

[mapuc]

Within the next 2-3 years from now we may expect the collapse of the Russian economy.



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