Here we go again-Ukraine once again pt2

[mapuc]

This General seems to have an another view on the war.



Markus

[Skybird]

oh look, the video above was recorded twice, but here in English. no need for translated subtitles.

[August]

I wouldn't put much stock in the opinions of a mere colonel from a nation that hasn't fought a war in 100 years.

[Gorpet]

Originally Posted by Skybird

In Colonel Reisner's words:

"Here is a spectacular exmaple: the attack on the Russian depot of Toropetz where it is believed that over 30,000 tons of ammunition and a total of 750,000 artillery shells were destroyed. Even though these events are spectacular, they still do not have a saturating effect. That means you would need a lot more of these attacks to actually produce measurable results on the front. "

Switch on subtitles and use English translation.



And also pay attention to the last minute, his remarks that really mark a very worrying situation in the West, at least in Europe, regarding the total stagnation in developing drones and especially drone defences. This is a threat that Russia now masters and projects - and that the European forces and I think regarding relevant quantities also the US forces are currently not capable to counter, or to compete with. Unfortunately I think this new weapon is deciding the forseeable future battles. We got a first taste of this during Ukraines first summer offensive when Western tanks and Leopards got immediately recognized when they moved out, and got mowed down like grass by artillery and drones, and were chased by these into the minefields that cost them fourther. I think we have dangerous illusions on that NATO ground forces are superior to Russian ground forces in case of a big war. I think the danger is much, much bigger. And many historians have pointed out that militaries are very vulnerable to one and the same mistake being done over and over again: to think that after they won a war, the next war would be fought with means and technologies of the previous one, turning it into a win as well. And how often was this wrong, at a terrible cost!

Wars of attrition primarily need big numbers, not necessarily technological superiority. The Western strategy here is absolutely and very, very dangerously wrong.

And nobody wants to hear this. Especially, but by far not only, in Germany.

Reisner remains to be the by far most competent, short, sharp and sober explainer of the war events in the German-tongued realm, and I also do not know anyone in English who does it as competently and sober like he does. Most of the others just dream, fanmtasize, do propaganda tp boost morale, and babble wildly (interestingly many of these by now have fallen silent: they obviously were wrong too often and either get no more invited, or do not trust their own assessments anymore). Respect and thanks, Colonel! You would have made a brilliant Vulcan.

Your running out of time,

[ET2SN]

[Jimbuna]

Total combat losses of Russian Federation since beginning of war - about 677,180 people (+1,380 per day), 9,035 tanks, 19,548 artillery systems, 18,072 armored combat vehicles. INFOGRAPHICS

Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the Ukrainian Defence Forces have eliminated 677,180 Russian invaders.

This was reported by Censor.NET with reference to the press center of the General Staff.

As noted, the total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 19.10.24 are approximately:

personnel - about 677180 (+1380) people,

tanks - 9035 (+8) units,

armored combat vehicles - 18072 (+19) units,

artillery systems - 19548 (+15) units,

MLRS - 1232 (+0) units,

air defense systems - 978 (+0) units,

aircraft - 369 (+0) units,

helicopters - 329 (+0) units,

Operational and tactical level UAVs - 17230 (+78),

cruise missiles - 2623 (+3),

ships/boats - 28 (+0) units,

submarines - 1 (+0) units,

automotive equipment and tankers - 26946 (+38) units,

special equipment - 3473 (+25) Source: https://censor.net/en/p3515679

[Skybird]

Originally Posted by August

I wouldn't put much stock in the opinions of a mere colonel from a nation that hasn't fought a war in 100 years.

Better listen to generals and politicians who in the past decades turned practically each of their military adventures based on lies into a strategic desaster that crippled the region it took place in. Vietnam. Saddamistan 92. Iraq 03. Afghanistan 2000s.

Reisner btw is also an academical historian with degrees and a good reputation for the fields he publishes in, both studies and books.

The US and Australian ex-generals I so far heard in the media - all seem to have fallen silent, and I rightfully pointed out their illusional assessments already two years ago. They messed their judgements and expectations up. Almost completely. And they let themselvesgetting paid well for it.

[Jimbuna]

[mapuc]

No doubt that Reisner and other military expert know what they are taking about. Do we ordinary have the skills in military knowhow to reject or accept a statement around the war in Ukraine ?

I can't, far from it-I chose the expert who are more positive in their description on the Ukrainian side. They may be wrong in the analyzing of the battlefield-In the end of the war-We will know which expert was closest to the truth.

Regarding NK troops in Ukraine. So far it is only 1500 special trained commandos who have been sent to Russia in the end this number should be around 20.000 special trained commandos.

I say it's only the beginning-In a 1-1½ years from now there will ten thousands of NK troops fighting in Ukraine and perhaps together with Iranian troops too.

Markus

[Jimbuna]

Netherlands to supply Ukraine with reconnaissance drones worth more than 42 million euros

The Dutch Ministry of Defense is cooperating with DeltaQuad to supply Ukraine with reconnaissance drones. The Dutch Ministry of Defense will purchase UAVs worth 42.6 million euros from the company.

This is reported on the official website of the Ministry of Defense of the Netherlands, Censor.NET reports.

As noted, this purchase will be the first concrete step in the implementation of the Action Plan for the supply of drones, which Minister Ruben Brekelmans recently announced during his visit to Ukraine.

The drones to be purchased by the Netherlands for Ukraine are reportedly used for real-time information from the battlefield, intelligence gathering, and surveillance.

The purchase of these drones is part of a €400 million allocation, of which €200 million will be used to purchase drones from Dutch industry.

This purchase is also an incentive to further expand the drone industry in the Netherlands.

According to Brekelmans, this order with DeltaQuad is "an important and concrete step in our action plan."

"Ukraine needs modern drones that can be delivered in the shortest possible time. It is good that our industry can contribute to this," he added.

For his part, DeltaQuad CEO Sander Smets noted that this will be an important step in the development of the drone industry, where international innovation and rapid cooperation between the military, politicians and national industry are essential.

At the same time, for reasons of operational security, no information is provided on the number, types, and delivery schedules of drones. Source: https://censor.net/en/n3515714

[mapuc]

Yet another doomsday prediction on the Russian economy. I think they have hopes Russian economy will collapse.



Markus

[Jimbuna]

Currently, 20 thousand mobilized persons are undergoing training at same time, previously it was 35 thousand - General Staff

At present, more than 20,000 mobilized people are simultaneously undergoing training in the training centers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. A few months ago, this figure was almost 35,000.

This was announced at a briefing by Vasyl Rumak, head of the training department at the training centers of the Main Department of Doctrine and Training of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine,Ukrinform reports, Censor.NET informs.

"Now the Armed Forces have a powerful network of training centers. ...There are more than 25 training facilities, each with its own specifics. We have created them in such a way that almost every type of military service has its own training center, and military specialists are trained there for their needs. This allowed military authorities to influence the content and quality of training. Therefore, the volumes are now very large, first of all, we are talking about the number of people - more than 20 thousand people are training at the same time," Rumak said.

At the same time, he noted that a few months ago this figure reached almost 35 thousand.

The representative of the General Staff said that the training process is constantly being improved.

According to him, before the start of a full-scale war, the emphasis in training was on the ability of a soldier to shoot accurately at moving targets. Now, according to Rumak, they are practicing close combat, clearing trenches, shooting from cover, shooting from the left-right shoulder with a quick change, shooting from awkward positions, etc.

He added that the training of one mobilized soldier costs the state about 100 thousand hryvnias, which includes salary, clothing and medical support, fuel, ammunition, etc. Source: https://censor.net/en/n3515739

[mapuc]

Good they can develop their own ballistic missiles, so they can bomb Russian military and factory complex deep inside Russia

Here a video should have been posted, but it is not the one I watched and copied.
titled 'This Ukraine's Homemade weapon could end the war'

Markus

[mapuc]

This article in a Danish newspaper was to interesting not to translate and post it here-The article say that China is more involved than admitted.

- It would probably hardly have happened without China's tacit acceptance, let me put it this way. So China is deeply involved in the war as well, and it's not just supporting the Russians so that their military industry becomes stronger. So we definitely have to take that very seriously and act on it.

https://ekstrabladet-dk.translate.go..._x_tr_pto=wapp

Google have translated Falliterklæring to Bankruptcy when a more correct translation would be Fallacy statement.

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Yet another doomsday prediction on the Russian economy. I think they have hopes Russian economy will collapse.

Markus

This is not based on hope, this is based on data from the Russian central bank there's a lot of evidence, they announced a 15% cut in Social Security, a series of tax rises, at least half of their existing Sovereign Wealth Fund (sovereign investment fund is a state-owned investment fund that invests in real and financial assets) is spent that's not invested money that's just money that's gone up in smoke quite literally and so the Russian economy will struggle next year. The immediate boost because of the economy after the invasion to war production is a very inefficient way of boosting an economy anyone will tell you this over the last 100 years if it has to be done, but it's not an efficient way of creating new jobs, new Industries or grow your economy all it does create is a kaboom in Ukraine and after that it is all gone. The way the war is going for Putin, his investments are investments in a deep ravine with his goals not being met, it will be an endless trying to dump money into a ravine. The Russian economy will begin to struggle next year as with its manpower problem Ukraine will get through to next year because it has more and richer allies by the middle to end of next year and into 2026 the Russians will really be feeling it well what a war means for them. Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina raised its key rate to 18% and does not rule out further increases to lower inflation. Elvira Nabiullina constantly trying to save the economy but with Putin at the wheel she can not prevent Russian economy overheating they are stuck in a circle this war created so many problems it can trigger an event that will go out of control any moment. And do not think oil and gas will save Russia all major gas projects are cancel'd and Saudi Arabia is gone bring oil price per barrel to 50 dollar that is under the price cap so means lesser income for Russia because with their illegal sell of oil they need to sell it below the 50 dollar because buyers are not nice and smell opportunities to wreck the shyte out of Russia that arrogantly ruled them for decades. Heck, Saudi Arabia can do this dump because they bought up most crude from Russia at low price and ruin them now karma is a biaach.

According to most estimates, every day of the war in Ukraine costs Russia $500 million to $1 billion. On 27 June 2022, Russia defaulted on part of its foreign currency, its first such default since 1918. TASS reported poor results for the Russian economy in the first quarter of 2023 with revenue of 5.7 trillion roubles down 21% (mainly due to falling oil revenue), expenditure 8.1 trillion roubles up 34% (mainly due to increased military costs), creating a deficit 2.4 trillion roubles ($29.4 billion) The 2024 budget expects revenues of 35 trillion rubles ($349 billion) with expenditure of 36.6 trillion, based on a Urals oil forecast of $71.30 per barrel, a 90.1 rubles to USD 1 exchange rate and inflation of 4.5%. Defence spending will double to 10.78 trillion, 29.4% of expenditure. Russia currently has a record low unemployment rate of just 3 percent, due to a demographic decline, demands of the war for industrial and military manpower, and large scale emigration. If people think that Russia can deal with these loses on top of the loses at the fronts, think this has nothing to do with the war is wrong, the overall machine will break or is already breaking down like the fronts this can not go on for long. All our investments be it economical or military will be investments we dream of for decades aka Germany after WWII even Trump can see this is a deal of the century.