Republican Wins Massachusetts senate race

[Platapus]

Originally Posted by CaptainHaplo

But the writing is on the wall for the President. He will be a one term president...

People were saying the same thing about Bush.

It depends not only on how the public feels about Obama, but also how the public feels about whoever is running against him next time. If the Republicans give us crap again, it is likely Obama gets another term.

In order for an incumbent to be replaced two circumstances must be present

1. The citizens must feel that reelecting the incumbent would be bad

AND

2. The citizens must feel that electing the opponent would be good.

This is what happened to Bush in 2004. Bush had low approval rates, but what the Democrats were offering was not "that" much better. In politics the tie often goes to the incumbent.

"I am not Bush" did not work in 2004 and "I am not Obama" won't work in 2012. It would behoove both parties if they understood that.