The CHN/ China thread

[August]

Originally Posted by mapuc

@ August I could have started several weeks before and wrote
The Chinese says they are planning on a huge exercise. But I guessed this wasn't needed.

There are many tell tale signs to differentiate between a training exercise and actual preparations for a shooting war Markus. Our military has entire organizations devoted to detecting and identifying them. Several weeks of Chinese war preparations can't be hidden for an operation of the scale that you are talking about. These preparations hey will be met by several weeks of similar preparations by Taiwan and US forces.
The only way I believe the ChiComs have a chance in your scenario is to catch the US and its allies completely flatfooted, achieving complete surprise which imo just doesn't sound very realistic.