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Old 10-11-05, 05:56 PM   #31
Ghost Dog
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Join Date: Sep 2004
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to talk about bluffing or not bluffing is a little off the mark. Many assume that if China were to attack taiwan in some way that it would mean instantaneous U.S military response. This may or may not be true. First, the United States would look at its current taiwan policy, whatever that happens to be at the time. Then they would carefully weigh thier military options. Also, dont forget that other countries might have an opinion in the matter. The UN security council might also have an opinion.

Perhaps the next U.S president would prefer a diplomatic approach to dealing with a PLA attack against the ROC.

if military action between the U.S Navy and the PLAN did occur, I could see the United States employing a strategy similar to the Lehman Doctrine of the 1980s by sending multiple carrier groups 'into harms way' to project power directly onto the Chinese mainland.

If I were in command of U.S Naval forces, here is what I would do.

1. dominate the theatre airspace. Using carrier based and land based assets in theatre. I would NOT use any US air units stations in Korea, this would be meant not to threaten the DPRK into doing anything silly.

2. My first strikes would be against the PLAN surface fleet.

3. once there is suitable safety of air and surface operations I could turn my attention to hunting the chinese subs. These would be the toughest to find, therefore waiting till I have more freedom of action in the battlespace makese sense.

4. if PLA forces have not ceased thier hostilities against taiwan or US forces, I would begin conducting airstrikes against military and logistical facilties that support operations against taiwain.

5. I would consider surgical strikes against Beijing but only utilizing stealth aircraft. these strikes would be primarily directed against command and control sites.

6. I would NOT strike against any PLA nuclear forces. I want to send a message to beijing that this conflict is conventional, I am not pursuing regime change or threatening the survial of China as a nation. I dont want to put chinese leaders into a 'use it or lose it' mindset.


thats my two cents.
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