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Old 06-04-09, 06:55 AM   #23
Skybird
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They report that a Spanish pilot saw a bright white shine in the area, but from some distance to where the French aircraft was supposed to be at that time, that moved vertically at high speed and after 5-6 seconds split into half a dozen light blips moving down. If that was the AF flight, it could be indicating either a serious navigation probloem, or that they were forced to stray off very far in order to local circumstances (which then they should have reported to ground control, I assume).

They also report that an official warning has been issued to all operators of Airbus models, that when flying in storms and turbulences, aircrews should maintain proper speed and redadjust the autothrottles. As far as I know, aircraft reduce their speed when flying through turbulences, and change the ignitor settings as well. I even use to do it in the simulator. Commentators say that the fact they issue the warning so early is a clear signal that they have very substantial ideas of what happened and meet their legal obligations by giving such a warning, then.

The conclusion therefore is: pilot error. The plane probably flew too fast, slammed into a wall of winds and turbulences, or accelerated during a sudden fall ("air hole"), so that speed went beyond safety limits and the airframe was ripped apart, making parts of the aircraft maybe also exploding in mid-air.

Maybe there was a navigation problem, when the pilots tried to alter their course to find a gap in the weather front, and that problem or error led them right into the mess. Also, weather radar can be tricky to read.
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