HAPPY GROUNDHOG DAY

Wolferz · 02-02-16, 09:40 AM

As a weather prognosticator...
Don't bet on the rodent. Because there is still six weeks of winter left before the spring equinox.

Commander Wallace · 02-02-16, 09:43 AM

I'm sure Mother Nature has some surprises in store with regards to the weather

Rhodes · 02-02-16, 09:44 AM

Her is sunny, so...

Winter is still to come!

PS: apparently they forecast rain next week and that's carnival.

Jimbuna · 02-02-16, 09:50 AM

Aktungbby · 02-02-16, 09:56 AM

Indeed! The question really begs: 'how much wood could the woodchuck chuck if the woodchuck (another name for groundhog) could chuck wood?' Punxsutawney Phil: According to the Stormfax.com site, as of 2016 Punxsutawney Phil has made 120 predictions, with an early spring (no shadow) predicted 18 times (15.0%). The site states (without evidence or corroborative references) that as of 2015 the predictions have proved correct 39% of the time. This is significantly worse than chance (p = 0.008), and - if the accuracy figure is correct - suggests the traditional interpretation of Punxsutawney Phil's predictions should be reversed.
In March 2013, a Butler County, Ohio prosecutor named Michael Gmoser made international headlines after issuing an indictment against the groundhog by e-mail calling for the death penalty for "misrepresentation of early spring, an Unclassified Felony, and against the peace and dignity of the State Of Ohio." On that day, temperatures within the region approached a record low for the high temperature of the day, with snow having fallen, and temperatures predicted to remain below seasonal averages for at least the next several days. No such indictment was made against Ohio prediction groundhog Buckeye Chuck, who also failed to see his shadow. The prosecutor later stated that he would consider a pardon because Phil's handler (Bill Deeley, president of the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club's Inner Circle ) was taking the blame for the mistake, "because he failed to correctly interpret Phil's 'groundhog-ese'." Deeley noted that the indictment had "generated more publicity than a $10,000 ad campaign.
On February 11th 2015, the Merrimack Police Department in New Hampshire issued an arrest warrant for Punxsutawney Phil for having failed to disclose the extreme amounts of snow that would ensue after Groundhog Day.[wiki]

AVGWarhawk · 02-02-16, 09:57 AM

Commander Wallace · 02-02-16, 10:14 AM

My Allstate insurance mayhem guy says winter and wind storms happen . Be prepared.

Wolferz · 02-02-16, 10:15 AM

DON"T DRIVE ANGRY!

Wolferz · 02-02-16, 10:17 AM

Only invented Groundhog day as an excuse to party, drink beer and legitimize polka music.

vienna · 02-02-16, 04:57 PM

My dear sir, nothing could ever legitimize polka music....

<O>

Wolferz · 02-02-16, 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vienna

My dear sir, nothing could ever legitimize polka music....

<O>

It's legit in Punxatawney, PA.

However, our local Polka personality, Jan Lewan is in prison for securities fraud.
So we don't have to worry about him and his polka band polluting any festivities with polka

fireftr18 · 02-02-16, 10:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wolferz

DON"T DRIVE ANGRY!

And don't let the groundhog steer.

AVGWarhawk · 02-03-16, 10:13 AM

vienna · 02-03-16, 02:11 PM

I think you sig says it all re: polka...

<O>

02-02-16, 09:40 AM	#1
Wolferz Navy Seal Join Date: May 2007 Location: On a mighty quest for the Stick of Truth Posts: 5,963 Downloads: 52 Uploads: 0	HAPPY GROUNDHOG DAY As a weather prognosticator... Don't bet on the rodent. Because there is still six weeks of winter left before the spring equinox. __________________ Tomorrow never comes

02-02-16, 09:44 AM	#3
Rhodes Silent Hunter Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Figueira da Foz, Portugal Posts: 4,515 Downloads: 110 Uploads: 0	Her is sunny, so... Winter is still to come! PS: apparently they forecast rain next week and that's carnival. __________________ http://www.flickr.com/photos/16416646@N05/

02-02-16, 09:50 AM	#4
Jimbuna Chief of the Boat Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: 250 metres below the surface Posts: 190,500 Downloads: 63 Uploads: 13	__________________ Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools because they have to say something. Oh my God, not again!!

02-02-16, 09:56 AM	#5
Aktungbby Gefallen Engel U-666 Join Date: Jul 2013 Location: On a tilted, overheated, overpopulated spinning mudball on Collision course with Andromeda Galaxy Posts: 29,997 Downloads: 24 Uploads: 0	Indeed! The question really begs: 'how much wood could the woodchuck chuck if the woodchuck (another name for groundhog) could chuck wood?' Punxsutawney Phil: According to the Stormfax.com site, as of 2016 Punxsutawney Phil has made 120 predictions, with an early spring (no shadow) predicted 18 times (15.0%). The site states (without evidence or corroborative references) that as of 2015 the predictions have proved correct 39% of the time. This is significantly worse than chance (p = 0.008), and - if the accuracy figure is correct - suggests the traditional interpretation of Punxsutawney Phil's predictions should be reversed. In March 2013, a Butler County, Ohio prosecutor named Michael Gmoser made international headlines after issuing an indictment against the groundhog by e-mail calling for the death penalty for "misrepresentation of early spring, an Unclassified Felony, and against the peace and dignity of the State Of Ohio." On that day, temperatures within the region approached a record low for the high temperature of the day, with snow having fallen, and temperatures predicted to remain below seasonal averages for at least the next several days. No such indictment was made against Ohio prediction groundhog Buckeye Chuck, who also failed to see his shadow. The prosecutor later stated that he would consider a pardon because Phil's handler (Bill Deeley, president of the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club's Inner Circle ) was taking the blame for the mistake, "because he failed to correctly interpret Phil's 'groundhog-ese'." Deeley noted that the indictment had "generated more publicity than a $10,000 ad campaign. On February 11th 2015, the Merrimack Police Department in New Hampshire issued an arrest warrant for Punxsutawney Phil for having failed to disclose the extreme amounts of snow that would ensue after Groundhog Day.[wiki] __________________ "Only two things are infinite; The Universe and human squirrelyness?!!

02-02-16, 09:57 AM	#6
AVGWarhawk Lucky Jack Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: In a 1954 Buick. Posts: 28,254 Downloads: 90 Uploads: 0	__________________ “You're painfully alive in a drugged and dying culture.” ― Richard Yates, Revolutionary Road

02-02-16, 09:43 AM	#2
Commander Wallace Navy Seal Join Date: Oct 2012 Location: Under the sea in an Octupus garden in the shade Posts: 5,294 Downloads: 366 Uploads: 0	I'm sure Mother Nature has some surprises in store with regards to the weather

02-02-16, 10:14 AM	#7
Commander Wallace Navy Seal Join Date: Oct 2012 Location: Under the sea in an Octupus garden in the shade Posts: 5,294 Downloads: 366 Uploads: 0	My Allstate insurance mayhem guy says winter and wind storms happen . Be prepared. Last edited by Commander Wallace; 02-02-16 at 10:20 AM.

02-02-16, 10:15 AM	#8
Wolferz Navy Seal Join Date: May 2007 Location: On a mighty quest for the Stick of Truth Posts: 5,963 Downloads: 52 Uploads: 0	DON"T DRIVE ANGRY! __________________ Tomorrow never comes

02-02-16, 10:17 AM	#9
Wolferz Navy Seal Join Date: May 2007 Location: On a mighty quest for the Stick of Truth Posts: 5,963 Downloads: 52 Uploads: 0	The good people of Punxatawney, Pennsylvania Only invented Groundhog day as an excuse to party, drink beer and legitimize polka music. __________________ Tomorrow never comes

02-02-16, 04:57 PM	#10
vienna Navy Seal Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Anywhere but the here & now... Posts: 7,711 Downloads: 85 Uploads: 0	My dear sir, nothing could ever legitimize polka music.... <O> __________________ __________________________________________________ __

02-03-16, 10:13 AM	#13
AVGWarhawk Lucky Jack Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: In a 1954 Buick. Posts: 28,254 Downloads: 90 Uploads: 0	__________________ “You're painfully alive in a drugged and dying culture.” ― Richard Yates, Revolutionary Road

02-03-16, 02:11 PM	#14
vienna Navy Seal Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Anywhere but the here & now... Posts: 7,711 Downloads: 85 Uploads: 0	I think you sig says it all re: polka... <O> __________________ __________________________________________________ __