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#1 |
Subsim Diehard
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Is a manual labor shortage good or bad for an economy?
One of the arguments (in the US) about the illegal Mexican immigrant controversy (about 1million illegal immigrants per year enter the US) is that they come here and are able to find work so easily because of the labor demands of our economy. We need carpenters, construction worker's, home service workers to build and provide cheap work. ... question is... so what? What IF their were no illegal immigrants to fill those positions and a relative "labor shortage" ensued. Seems like it would be good for an economy because it would drive the demand for 'artisan' and manual labor up and thus increase the wages of those positions. Increased wages means more people would pursue work in those spots (Americans) and it would help to provide more income to the less educated demographics of our society.... right? Any budding economist/historians on the forums that can point to whether labor shortages/surplus are bad or good?
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"Seek not to offend or annoy... only to speak the truth"-a wise man |
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#2 |
Navy Seal
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Not quite how it works.
If a labor vacuum forces wages up than exports become less profitable because they cost more to make and inflation rises. It can also cause business stagnation in some sectors as companies are forced to spend more on wages and less of development of their business. Some companies may even close if the market does not cover the cost of increased wages. I'm not saying immigration in the US is a good thing as I know little about the US internal economy. However the assumption that forced wage increases = good for the economy is certainly not always the case. Very, very generally speaking, a large workforce surplus is good for economies in the long term, but not always in the short term. The ultimate cheep labor is slavery and that's why ancient Rome did so well. The next best thing is the vast amounts of cheep labor China has. *edit* Be aware that I have simplified things very much here.
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#3 |
The Old Man
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A small labor shprtage would be good and would encourage legal immigration while ensuring that domestic Americans would not be forced out of their jobs by laborers who will be paid lower wages (which is what's happening right now).
Some people claim the economy is doing well, some that it isn't so well. In either case, if all illegal immigrants were to go back to their home countries and STAY there from today onward, there would be no crisis or shortage of manual labor. Remember the strikes the illegals held a couple years ago? Mail was still delivered, stores were still open, carpets and floors were still cleaned, foods were still picked, everything continued as normal. Illegal immigrants are NOT essential to our economy. Even if they were, we have a healthy population of laborers and homeless here in the Unites States that would be more than willing to pick potatoes for a chance at starting onto the road for a better life.
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Science is the organized unpredictability that strives not to set limits to mans' capabilities, but is the engine by which the limits of mans' understanding is defined-Yahoshua ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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#4 |
Rear Admiral
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It is actually terrible for the economy. Two years ago (It is worse by today), I saw the numbers out of Colorado. They spend over $1 Billion per year in support survices for illegals and nothing else. This includes everything from welfare to other state supported programs. This does not even include medical care, which is pretty much provided free for these people since they can't pay. No one could even put an estimate on this, but it rivals the states outpay, if not exceeds it.
So basically, they are killing the economy of a typical state like Colorado in which a $1 billion $ per year could be going to infrastructure to help improve the states productive growth. They are draining the medical system and forcing everyones insurance premiums through the roof. And they suck up jobs, specifically in the labor department from American workers who typically get paid more for the same job. Construction people are up in arms about these guys. An example is a contract manager can come in, hire these people, not provide insurance for them, pay them under the table so that the business doesn't have to pay tax on them, and then kick them out at the end of the day like nothing happened. How is the honest American contractor supposed to compete with this when he is constantly getting undercut for lower than his cost? Before these illegal aliens were here, normal Americans did these jobs just fine. Life went on normal. It turns out it is actually the businesses that are at fault because they encourage it since it saves them considerable $$$ in labor costs - effectively putting normal Americans out of a job and into other fields because they can't compete - not even if they got paid the same amoutn as the mexicans - You can't pay the Americans under the table, so companies have to pay more still for the Americans ragardless. Last but not least, Illegals have no interest into integrating into the American culture. They have no loyalty to the country, have no wish to learn more than basic English, learn anything, and I doubt they even want to stay here except to collect a paycheck and milk the system. One of the companies my father owns is a daycare business, and I've been out there to collect the money quite a few times. These Mexicans go in there, decked out in better clothes than you, and they talk about how many more children they can get because each one is a bigger welfare paycheck. The men don't want to get married to not only avoid getting a smaller welfare paycheck themsleves, but also to make sure the woman also gets a large check. The men also work the construction jobs under the table at the same time. Its all a game of money to them and they've got it worked. Now if you integrate these people into our society, what exactly is going to change? Nothing! They will still do what they are doing, but have the threat of the gov off their back with possible deportation. They can do this stuff out in the open more. If you went as far as give them the right to vote, and all hell is going to break loose! I could go on all day about this, but I think you can already see that Bush and his idea to let thes people stay is probably his worst idea since he has been in office. Add $10 to mine and everyone elses taxes in this country, and that should give them $3 Billion a year to deport these idiots. I think 10 years and $30 Billion should be plenty to get these people rounded up and out of our country before it is too late. -S |
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#5 | |
Subsim Diehard
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One of the big themes that's always toted around regarding the American economy is the "growing disparity between the rich and the poor" in American. The divide between those that are rich and those that are poor is getting wider... so some claim. But that being said (and assuming that its true) then wouldn't one of the main causes of that widening be that influx of poor cheap laborers. If the labor market is flooded with illegal immigrants that work for nothing, and keep unskilled labor wages low, then how can the poorest demographics ever make up the difference? Seems like eliminating the competition, allowing a "labor shortage" and wages to raise would be one solution to the problem. Another way to look at it is that America absorbs 1million+ of the poorest Mexicans every year, so even if as a society we were successfully advancing 1million Americans up from the poverty line per year then it still won't make any headway because 1million+ more impoverished people just walk across the border...
![]() I understand what your saying Letum. Businesses would face the brunt of a profit loss, and exports would decrease... but their's got to be some sortof national economic benifit to a higher paid blue collar demographic... right? Quote:
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"Seek not to offend or annoy... only to speak the truth"-a wise man |
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#6 |
The Old Man
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WISH I hadn't read this thread.
Although must speak positive, If the US.wants to be a good neighbor to Mexico,they first must be teach that one hand washes the other concept. That a man,to be trusted,must be as good as his word. Otherwise he is not even cheep labor,only poor trash.Borderland
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#7 |
Ace of the Deep
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I swear I am no Einstien but to me it seems to solution is to make Mexico more "Profitable/or modern or whatever" it is that drives immigrants here...I am ashamed frankly at the lack of consolidated efforts by the US and Canada to secure North America as the most powerful continent in the world....we have the labor, we have resources....I don't understand why it is not realized that to move forward we can not move backwards...building a fence is ludacrus and insane and just retarded and a waste of money.....people want Pepsi Cola, New Homes,Safe Communites just as all humans do....seems to me the thing would be to turn Mexico into the place where people want to be and deal with the security issue from a North American perspective not an American one...last time I looked Canada and Mexico were democracies....we need to ensure that and foster it and reward it....otherwise what example are we setting....damn a wall....Tear Down The WALL....
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#8 | |
Rear Admiral
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#9 | |
Rear Admiral
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![]() Quote:
-S |
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