Findings of the London-based
International Institute for Strategic Studies' and the
German Council on Foreign Relations' assessment of the matter.
https://www.iiss.org/blogs/military-...bitions-brexit
Quote:
Key findings
- Of the IISS–DGAP scenarios, only the rescue and evacuation operation and the support to humanitarian-assistance operation did not generate any capability shortfalls. If the United Kingdom is omitted, the humanitarian-assistance operation faces a shortfall in the naval domain.
- The scenarios concerning peace enforcement, conflict prevention, and stabilisation and support to capacity-building would all create significant capability shortfalls, even when the current 28 EU member states (EU 28) are considered. Without the UK, the EU 27 would face much greater shortfalls. Under those circumstances, a successful implementation of the operation is doubtful.
- If the peace-enforcement scenario is combined with the rescue and evacuation scenario, notable capability shortfalls emerge across all domains for the EU 28. Without the UK contribution, additional shortfalls would arise in the land and naval domain and with regards to enablers.
- If up to seven of the smaller operations are combined – which corresponds to the EU level of ambition – the EU 28 is out of its depth. There are extensive capability gaps across all domains and often less than one-third of the force requirement would be met. Removing the UK from the picture renders a bad situation much worse.
- Improvements in the maritime and air domains across the EU 28 are likely by 2030. However, these will not close the identified capability shortfalls, and ageing equipment will increasingly become a problem.
- As of 2018, EU strategic autonomy is limited to the lower end of the operational spectrum. Brexit will make it even more necessary to find a constructive combination of European partnerships and transatlantic engagement.
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So much for that. Building double structures - while even not single structures get properly funded and maintained.
Idiotic idea.
Dilettantism: the idea that claim and wish alone already are enough qualification to deserve reward, and that neither ability nor skill are needed to nevertheless being given credit - as if one had both ability and skill.
In other words: wanting to harvest without knowing how to sow.
Double structures in these regards are the last thing needed. They most likely will lead to a growth in underfunding
NATO AND the new
Euro Army as well. Two weak things do not make one strong one. One strong thing is one strong thing.