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Old 02-18-08, 09:05 PM   #1
MarkShot
Ace of the Deep
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
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Default GWX2 convoy course changes!

Well, I have been tracking the same slow moving convoy for a couple of days now during the Winter.

I think I have actually seen some zig-zags as opposed to simple base course changes. After periods of about 8 hours or so I have seen course changes of 20-30 degrees.

Very nice! I hope this is not just wishful thinking on my part.

---

Kpt. Lehmann,

Care to elaborate on this?

Do all convoys make non-base course changes? At random times? Random number of degrees? Random speed changes?

I do have a comment about the frequency. To frustrate sub attacks the zig-zags should happen on the average with a period of less than the necessary submerge attack lead distance.

For example, if a submerged attack requires a lead distance of 30km in order for the sub to submerge unseen and awaiting the convoy. And if the convoy is making 5 knots. Then if the frequency of zig-zags on the average happens less than every three hours. The convoy will be extremely hard to hit.

If the frequency is beyond three hours, then the convoy becomes more challenging to track and intercept. The sub cannot afford to lead the convoy by too much and not maintain some form of regular contact with the convoy. Otherwise, the sub risks losing the convoy. However, the attack once set up has a low probability of being frustrated. More frequent zigs would greatly frustrated the sub in trying to set up the attack.

Thanks.
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