Are you using Time Compression at the time of the "report" of a convoy? What level of zoom are you using also? If you are not close enough in distance, and are zoomed out a bit, it can look like a convoy is going over the top of your boat, when in actuality, it is 25nm away or more, beyond sonar range even. If the Time Compression is too high, by the time you drop back down to 1x, the convoy might be well-past your position, espeically if there is a "stutter" from the game - which usually signifies a "spawn" of 3D objects nearby.
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"...and bollocks to the naysayer/s" - Jimbuna
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