I too have experienced the same problem, I generally try and put myself in a postition where I expect the convoy to cross, like you said at about a 45AOB, once the front ship in the convoy, not the DD, are within a bout 5000 yards I'll come up and begin taking meansurments and setting up my shoots. At this point its a crap shoot, I've had them start the active sonar as soon as I rise above the thermal, and then I've had 6 out of 6 hit before they even began evasive manuvers.
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