What would time of day have to do with it ?
Anyhow in real life many things can influence ballastics, temprature, wind, elevation, deflection, quality of the round, cleanliness of the weapon, relative humidity, and if you held your mouth just right as you pulled the trigger.
I doubt if these things are modelled in the game though.
I dont have SH4 yet but I found the gun in SH3 to be supprisingly accurate.
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