Ok, here's another possibily. It's another conclusion I extract from botched agent insertions.
What happens when you release an insertion raft before a full stop? The raft collides with your own submarine and gets destroyed, right? How it appears then? Like an empty raft! It does not sink or disappear. It is clear though that it has been destroyed, and I remember that in stock SH it even appears as a destroyed ship on the map.
Possibly the empty survirors raft appear like that - empty- because they, soon after being spawned by the ship's destruction, imediately collide agains the sinking carcass of their own ship and get destroyed in the process.
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