[joegrundman]

but it's not just a no fly zone. I thought at first it was, hence my earlier position that this was a negotiation.

But the resolution also calls for an end to any further advance on rebel positions.

In short the resolution is creating a new micro-state out of those Libyan towns currently held by rebels.

Since this outcome is essentially pointless, and certainly not part of any clear thinking, the conclusion is that it is not intended to be accepted and is a precursor to the removal of gaddaffi in order to restore the libyan state.

if he really is wily, he'll accept the new micro state and enjoy watching the huge amount of treasure being spent by the UN to protect something pointless and think about what to do with his oil concessions

if you remember the oil concessions for Al Megrahi exchange with Britain, Britain has now thrown away it's side of the bargain, while Libya already has Megrahi back. He can now renegotiate the oil business with whoever he wants.

But there is a good chance that the nutty old chess player will make a foolish decision as a result of the external pressure, and get himself killed.