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-   -   Is the United States gearing up for an attack on Iran? (https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/showthread.php?t=103873)

Chaotic42 01-19-07 02:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tchocky
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chaotic42
Well, I've heard a lot of people compare the situation with Iran to the situation with Germany in the 30s. Everyone knew they had to be stopped, but no one did anything until it was almost too late.

I don't know of anything good or helpful to the rest of the world that's coming out of Iran, and we have to worry about our interests.

Making parallels and comparisions isnt an argument. Every conflict is different in both essence and detail. Just because history teaches lessons and tends towards repetition doesnt make the world a ****ing photocopier.

Really? I don't think anyone knew that. Thanks for stating the obvious, I don't know what we'd do without you.

Care to highlight the differences that you see between Iran today and Germany years ago?

CCIP 01-19-07 03:02 AM

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodwin%27s_law

baggygreen 01-19-07 03:59 AM

[quote=Chaotic42

Really? I don't think anyone knew that. Thanks for stating the obvious, I don't know what we'd do without you.

Care to highlight the differences that you see between Iran today and Germany years ago?[/quote]

potential response: They speak a different language. they look different. Different religion. different place. they live today. They dont have hitler.

************************************************** *************

lol chaotic, i know id be lost without him mate, suppose you would be too.

No, they arent one and the same. mercifully. Problem is, there are enough similarities in the situation for comparisons to be drawn! Whats worse is that the vocal minority want to follow exactly the same path of pacifism. Got us a long way last time didnt...

baggygreen 01-19-07 04:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CCIP

You know mate, i reckon in this case its probably a good thing - it means that people arent forgetting lessons learnt in the past.

The Avon Lady 01-19-07 04:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CCIP

I suggest you read carefully and in full what you linked to.

TteFAboB 01-19-07 07:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Avon Lady
Quote:

Originally Posted by CCIP

I suggest you read carefully and in full what you linked to.

Indeed:

Quote:

Godwin's Law does not dispute whether, in a particular instance, a reference or comparison to Hitler or the Nazis might be apt. It is precisely because such a reference or comparison may sometimes be appropriate, Godwin has argued,[2] that overuse of the Hitler/Nazi comparison should be avoided, as it robs the valid comparisons of their impact.
Otherwise this would be an arbitrary rule, a law in the juridical sense.

Quote:

There is a tradition in many newsgroups and other Internet discussion forums that once such a comparison is made, the thread is finished and whoever mentioned the Nazis has automatically "lost" whatever debate was in progress. This principle is itself frequently referred to as Godwin's Law. Thus Godwin's Law serves also to impose an upper bound on thread length in general.
It is considered poor form to arbitrarily raise such a comparison with the motive of ending the thread. There is a widely recognized codicil that any such ulterior-motive invocation of Godwin's Law (in the above sense) will be unsuccessful. This is sometimes referred to as "Quirk's Exception".
As demonstrated by this thread.

Quote:

Godwin's Law does not apply to discussions directly addressing genocide, propaganda or other mainstays of the Nazi regime. Instead, it applies to inappropriate, inordinate, or hyperbolic comparisons of other situations to Hitler or Nazis
Were the comparisons of Germany and Iran mentioned earlier inappropriate, inordinate or hyperbolic?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chaotic42
(...) compare the situation with Iran to the situation with Germany in the 30s. Everyone knew they had to be stopped, but no one did anything until it was almost too late.

"Everyone" obviously means everyone else or everyone that knows "they had to be stopped". Same with "no one", "no one" who didn't "do anything untill it was almost too late". But the situations aren't detailed. It could be the situation of the color of Apples in Germany and Iran, the weather, anything. Valid and invalid.

Quote:

Originally Posted by baggygreen
(...) thats just the thing mate, you've said it well - iran is just like germany

(...) people are the same throughout time. we are nasty, vile, destructive things. because basic human nature doesnt change throughout the ages, history repeats. It happens because we allow ourselves to forget the past lessons learnt, and so have to learn it again.

Hands up who wants to be the new neville chamberlain???

What is exaggerated here is the language and not the similitude drawn. Iran is "just like" Germany, but right after, "people are the same throughout time", "basic human nature doesn't change". What is being considered "just like" is "basic human nature", that's what "people...throughout time" have in common, what's "the same". To reject this as inappropriate or inordinate we need to know what he means with "basic human nature". If he means that people both in 1930's Germany and today's Iran are humans, a valid comparison can be made. If he means "nasty, vile, destructive things" these elements in both 1930's Germany and today's Iran can be compared. Since he mentioned the passage of time (throughout time) it seems obvious to me that when he says "history repeats" he doesn't mean that the same situation repeats itself literally. "Who wants to be the new neville chamberlain" is clearly not a literal statement. If Chamberlain was to repeat himself or to be exactly the same nobody could become the "new" Chamberlain. To put it in a little less informal form: who wants to repeat Chamberlain's role in this similar situation?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Schatten
I agree with pretty much everything said about the parallels between Germany in the '30s and Iran right now.

This one speaks of "parallels". If more than one parallel can be drawn, it's valid. I'm not going over the validity of the parallel he mentioned. Suffice to say he's actually agreeing with the quotes above which contain more than one parallel, at least two of which being valid.

So, the comparisons in the first quote are unknown, I'll not draw any conclusions based on my ignorance of them, they could be any and all previous comparisons of Iran and Germany which include the appropriate and the inappropriate ones, though I suppose, even though it isn't stated, that Chaotic doesn't intend to include the inappropriate ones. The comparisons possible in the second quote are perfectly fine, it is not the similitudes that are exaggerated but baggygreen who uses an exaggerated language to express himself. Unless we want to discuss texts, sentences, words and letters that do not relate to any idea, thought, intuition, experience or reality we must strive to understand what people meant to say, what they attempted to say and not their imperfect form of expression. There is one parallel exposed in the third quote which is also a post of agreement with the other two. In all three quotes valid comparisons (or parallels) are presupposed. Analyze Iran and find the parallels in 1930's Germany. And I don't see where it is suggested that history would literally repeat itself exactly as it happened before, with Blitzkrieg exactly like it happened (including the defects and errors), D-day, Mauser rifles, SS divisions, B-17 bombing formations, Convoys and Wolfpacks, etc.

Proof for some of this is baggygreen's 2nd post from mine:
Quote:

Originally Posted by baggygreen
No, they arent one and the same. mercifully. Problem is, there are enough similarities in the situation for comparisons to be drawn! Whats worse is that the vocal minority want to follow exactly the same path of pacifism. Got us a long way last time didnt...

Again, this "exactly" is exaggerated. It will not be actually exact. But similar or approximate. The language is exaggerated and informal but baggygreen is a real person, not a text sentence, with a real message to convey that we can understand if we don't detract into pure nominalism.

baggygreen 01-19-07 08:14 AM

um

wow.:know: :rock:

Im impressed.

It took me literally (not exaggeratedly) 10 minutes or more to read, reread, and begin to think i comprehended it!;) That is an impressive piece of work.

In attempting to emulate the level of intellect shown, i would argue that an exaggeration is in the eye of the beholder, with the exception of something perhaps like "there were 29999999999999 people at the local under 9s afl match last weekend".

Of course, that wouldnt work and it would appear as though i was coming across as a bit of a smartass, which of course i am!:cool:

Moving along, that is an exceptionally well thought out response, which must have taken a bit of time to compose!

If i've understood it correctly, then the basic gist of the post is that Goodwins Law being applied here isnt quite an appropriate application. I think.:doh:

mapuc 01-19-07 08:53 AM

If Todays Iran is equal to the NaziGermany ind the mid 30's and beginning of the 40's, then Israel must be, what England was then.

Markus

Fish 01-19-07 09:37 AM

Good news? :hmm:

Quote:

Published: January 19, 2007
TEHRAN, Jan. 18 — Iran’s outspoken president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, appears to be under pressure from the highest authorities in Iran to end his involvement in its nuclear program, a sign that his political capital is declining as his country comes under increasing international pressure.
Just one month after the United Nations Security Council imposed sanctions on Iran to curb its nuclear program, two hard-line newspapers, including one owned by the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, called on the president to stay out of all matters nuclear.
In the hazy world of Iranian politics, such a public rebuke was seen as a sign that the supreme leader — who has final say on all matters of state — might no longer support the president as the public face of defiance to the West.
It is the first sign that Mr. Ahmadinejad has lost any degree of Ayatollah Khamenei’s confidence, a potentially damaging development for a president who has rallied his nation and defined his administration by declaring nuclear power Iran’s “inalienable right.”
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/19/wo...th&oref=slogin

CCIP 01-19-07 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Avon Lady
Quote:

Originally Posted by CCIP

I suggest you read carefully and in full what you linked to.

Had I not done that, and many months ago at that, I would not have linked.

I had presumed you weren't the only one allowed to link things in a semi-sarcastic fashion :p

bradclark1 01-19-07 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fish
Good news? :hmm:

Quote:

Published: January 19, 2007
TEHRAN, Jan. 18 — Iran’s outspoken president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, appears to be under pressure from the highest authorities in Iran to end his involvement in its nuclear program, a sign that his political capital is declining as his country comes under increasing international pressure.
Just one month after the United Nations Security Council imposed sanctions on Iran to curb its nuclear program, two hard-line newspapers, including one owned by the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, called on the president to stay out of all matters nuclear.
In the hazy world of Iranian politics, such a public rebuke was seen as a sign that the supreme leader — who has final say on all matters of state — might no longer support the president as the public face of defiance to the West.
It is the first sign that Mr. Ahmadinejad has lost any degree of Ayatollah Khamenei’s confidence, a potentially damaging development for a president who has rallied his nation and defined his administration by declaring nuclear power Iran’s “inalienable right.”
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/19/wo...th&oref=slogin

Maybe it's a face saving way for them to back off because I can't see how Alphabet can do anything without the Ayatollahs blessing therefor if he is publicly rumbling it's a face saving way for the Ayatollah to back down.
Or,
It's just my cynical way of looking at things. :)

geetrue 01-19-07 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bradclark1
Maybe it's a face saving way for them to back off because I can't see how Alphabet can do anything without the Ayatollahs blessing therefor if he is publicly rumbling it's a face saving way for the Ayatollah to back down.
Or,
It's just my cynical way of looking at things. :)


Now that's just plain funny, Alphabet ... :lol:

I can't spell his name either ...

But what if the Ayatollah's learned from Saddam's mistake ... makes Iraqy Freedom not in vain ... Didn't Saddam try to surrender right before we crossed over the line of no return ...?

01-19-07 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geetrue
Quote:

Originally Posted by bradclark1
Maybe it's a face saving way for them to back off because I can't see how Alphabet can do anything without the Ayatollahs blessing therefor if he is publicly rumbling it's a face saving way for the Ayatollah to back down.
Or,
It's just my cynical way of looking at things. :)


Now that's just plain funny, Alphabet ... :lol:

I can't spell his name either ...

But what if the Ayatollah's learned from Saddam's mistake ... makes Iraqy Freedom not in vain ... Didn't Saddam try to surrender right before we crossed over the line of no return ...?

This is telling about the psychology that is being dealt with.
Quote:

Lying for Allah is okay, according to the eminent Islamic scholar Imam Ghazali, who wrote:

" When it is possible to achieve such an aim by lying but not by telling the truth, it is permissible to lie if attaining the goal is permissible " (Ref: Ahmad Ibn Naqib al-Misri, The Reliance of the Traveller, translated by Nuh Ha Mim Keller , Amana publications, 1997, section r8.2, page 745).

Imam Ghazali does not say this without knowledge. He is basing his fatwa on the words and examples of the Prophet himself.

In one hadith we read that the prophet calls upon his followers to assassinate Ka’b ibn Ashraf, the chief of a Jewish tribe who was wary of Muhammad and tells them it is okay to tell a lie to deceive him. Bukhari, Volume 5, #369

The fact is that Muslims feel no pang of conscience to lie if that lie is said for Allah’s sake and his religion. If the lie is said for a good cause it is okay.


Iceman 01-19-07 03:21 PM

Yea don't miss the bigger picture...even if Iran says ...ooo OK OK..we'll stop...who's gonna believe that...yea right ...the hole has been dug already...just waiting for someone to kick in the dirt now...damn people are slow.Unless they roll over and let us scratch they're bellies then not a resaonable soul on earth should believe that they're ways have changed...kinda like another country huh?

Seth8530 01-20-07 08:08 AM

An excellent point. Even thiough it appears that an assault on Iran is not immenint I do belive however it will happen relativly soon (within decade) Also i belive if we are to attack we whould do it before they can use nukes.

Chaotic42 01-20-07 05:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TteFAboB
"Everyone" obviously means everyone else or everyone that knows "they had to be stopped". Same with "no one", "no one" who didn't "do anything untill it was almost too late". But the situations aren't detailed. It could be the situation of the color of Apples in Germany and Iran, the weather, anything. Valid and invalid.

Obviously.

Maybe it's the grogginess of not having my first cup of coffee this afternoon, but I don't quite understand your point. You seem to be picking apart everyone's words in such a way that you can't understand their real meaning because of your analysis of them. You know very well that we aren't talking about weather. The situations are detailed by the subject other comments in this thread. I'm not sure what you're trying to prove here, other than that you possess the ability to spin words around in an attempt at sounding relevant.

Does the comparison between Iran and Germany have some validity? I think it does. Some things are different, some things are similar. Just because you aren't able to figure out exactly what other people are talking about doesn't make them wrong.

TteFAboB 01-20-07 06:32 PM

That's exactly my point. If you take somebody's post out of context and consider it in itself, out the window goes the chance of understanding what the author meant and down you go to the road that leads nowhere.

Quote:

Just because you aren't able to figure out exactly what other people are talking about doesn't make them wrong.
This is precisely my point. You've managed to express with 19 words what took me a hundred.

Chaotic42 01-20-07 06:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TteFAboB
That's exactly my point. If you take somebody's post out of context and consider it in itself, out the window goes the chance of understanding what the author meant and down you go to the road that leads nowhere.

Quote:

Just because you aren't able to figure out exactly what other people are talking about doesn't make them wrong.
This is precisely my point. You've managed to express with 19 words what took me a hundred.

I re-read my post and it doesn't really come across the way I intended. It sounds a bit insulting, and that wasn't my intention, so I appologize for that.

TteFAboB 01-20-07 07:13 PM

No problem. :up: You are the second one here giving me the impression that perhaps I should emphasize my conclusions a bit more instead of leaving them in the air like a damn puzzle that needs to be arranged.

Note to self: emphasize conclusions. Leave no ambiguity. Trim all edges. Fill in every hole. Clearness is my friend.

The Avon Lady 01-21-07 02:29 AM

One could only hope for an inside job but I wouldn't depend upon it.


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