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Originally Posted by Stealth Hunter
Doubtful they'd get far with their war.
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Not much a long-lasting war, but a series of air strikes to try taking out key installation, and as it sounds: not even all (probably becasue several key sites are so deeply buried in the rocks that they cannot be reached by conventional bombs as lomng as there is no new superbomb the public so far has not heared of).
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The majority of the Middle-East should not be known for its hospitality towards the Jews and their practices. I should imagine that not only would the conflict involve Iran, but also Afghanistan, Pakistan, and probably the radical portion of Saudi Arabia. You would probably also have a third of the Iraqis (that third being the religious radical portion) participating to fight against the Israelis, but I would not imagine any sort of official Iraqi government/military involvement.
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Religiously motivated nutheads are always beyond calculation, but the governments of all Gulf States as well as most sunni governments like Egypt and Saudi Arabia will not move a finger for iran being hit. nothing better than the Israelis doing the dirty work for them and removing a major threat to them could happen to them. Only if nukes get involved, the diplomatic situation becomes more unpredictable.
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It's a delicate situation over there right now. Thanks to Bush's movements in Iraq, the entire Middle-East has begun to boil. As Shakespeare wrote, "Something is rotten in the state of Denmark."
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This is one of the opportunities when I must stay away from Bush criticising. the Iraq war certainly have helped to harden the Irnian detemrination, nevertheless they have had the motivation to go nuclear since long before the Iraq war.
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The translation thing, that has a grain of truth, and one should remember that the temper of people in that part of the world is more "spiking" and their languages idioms are more colourful, exaggeration is it'S daily bread and butter. However, if remarks about a nations destruction are being made several times, in several contexts, and at several opportunities, and dressed in different set opf words, the chance that it always, in each opf these combinations, is just not meant serious, becomes thin, and declining each time another such opportunity is being used to threaten Israel. Also, relgious nutheads are not known for thei sense of realism, even less so when they adore martyrdom and also argue in favour of martyr fellow muslims if it helps their casue. After all, death for them holds no fear, and they are not shy to sacrifice Muslims if it helps the holy cause. Do not assume reason nor realism in such minds.
And if that does not convince you and you still want to follow the EU's fruitless effort to leave it to meaningless words, not even enforcing sharp sanctions, not to mention to prevent Iranian nukes by force: then see it this way:
if you were Israel - would you really be willing and would you really think you can afford it to think of it as just a translation error...? Would you be willing to put the existence of Israel and the life of hundreds of thousands of Israelis at risk?
You would be both stupid and irresponsible if you do.
I also have problems to imagine the Israelis lack language experts making them aware of possible translation errors. Instead I am sure their language experts for the region's countries are more aware than those of any other Western nation.
The situation in the ME is boiling hot indeed, but Bush only has helped in that, he has not raised it. the situation does not come from Iraq, but the challenge the Shia regime in Teheran is posing to the sunni governmnts in the region, and the war they are already fighting against each other in the hidden - and that one since centuries. Seen that way, Iraq served as a catalysator to speed some things up, but the basic problöems has been there since long. And the Palestine question or the existence of Israel are not the most urgent questions at all. Get them solved - and the major conflict still would be there, boiling. They are little more than propaganda ammunition to please the crowds in islam's streets. Most Araba nations have learned that if they leave Israel alone, it poses no threads to their regimes, dictatorships or theocracies, and they have arranged themselves with Israel's existence. the powerinterests of the governments nowadays focus on different things than driving Israel back into the ocean.
At the same time one needs to be aware that a healing between sunni and shia powerfactions also is not in our interest, because that would mean that Islam now has more power to turn even
united against Europe. No matter if you wish them peace or wish them war - you always get your fingers burnt when touching it. we should be thanlful that they are so split amongst themselves, for we even have both hands full with dealing with Islam in the fractured political status it is in right now - and we prove to be unable to handle it successfully, and fall back in face of its claims.
The world is a chess board. And it is more complicated than just a translation error. Focussing on the latter only helps to extend the European diplomacy game, that so far has created no substantial results, and even more: gets actively corrupted by China, Russia, and lacking determination of the Europeans to even enforce their own sanctions. to put trust in that not even-half-hearted effort, is the worst of all options.