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The NATO-Russian war is 4 weeks old. Russia's naval aviation forces and US Carriers have fought several bloody battles around Japan. Japan has defended its islands well, but is now very vulnerable to the closure of its SLOC's.
The Chinese Navy has left port, but has stayed out of the battle.
The US losses in the Pacific and Atlantic theatres have forced it to remove the Seventh Fleet from the IO. Only Diego Garcia remains as a stronghold there. The task of providing security for the Malakka Strait has been handed over to Singapore. India and Thailand will use their baby-carriers to escort tankers through the IO.
The War in the Pacific has interrupted oil shipments to Japan and China for several weeks now and a resumption of the oil trade has now become a strategic imperative.
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