View Full Version : In RL any chance for a Kilo skipper to survive after attacking a Chinese task force?
Castout
10-07-09, 02:47 AM
Just played a scenario titled killer Kilo with DWX mod installed.
Playing as an Indian Kilo skipper patrolling near Andaman island. The Chinese task force escorting a few landing crafts were the targets.
In the end I exhausted all my torpedoes
and sank
A Chinese oiler which was part of the task force
A Luda frigate
A Yuting class landing craft
Damaged a Jiangwei Frigate
Damaged a Chinese supply ship
But my egress out of the threat zone was like escaping the lion's den. Once I wreaked havoc among the Chinese ships from 3nmi distance the remaining ships converged on me! A Chinese Kilo which was part of the escort but took a position quite far away from the main task force even converged on me.
I was helpless I dodged about 4 torpedoes before the final one got me.
All I can say is that it was a hell of a fight and evasion.
I'm wondering in RL how much a chance a Kilo skipper would have to survive a Chinese task force counterattack. The Chinese had a Sovremenny DDG, 2 LUDA I, 1 to 2 Jiangwei and a Kilo. I just think every time a Kilo exposed itself after attacking or launching its torpedoes it became very vulnerable to enemy counter attack. It's almost like the Kilo were a disposable sub that you trade after inflicting as much damage to enemy task force.
Against one or two enemy ships the Kilo could probably defend itself but 3 or more then the odds are starting to go against it.
My compliment to the DWX modders as I watched numerous times the smart actions of the enemy ships(only showed truth on after attacking and turned it off whenever a torpedo was coming, I just couldn't resist to see the all action) as they hunted me down much like smoking a rat out of the its hole nest. They were sure very persistent. I was thinking please give me a break all the time....lol
Generally .. if submarine's (any submarine) position is known, it is dead.
Avoiding detection with Kilo's short ranged torpedoes is hard. I guess it would not work. Maybe send some torpedoes to the 'general escort direction', they should run for a while, at least, allowing you to slowly change position.
But you must realize Kilo is 'moving minefield' .. Kilo can't really run away. And minefields are not supposed to survive.
Castout
10-08-09, 04:05 AM
Thanks Dr Sid but I wasn't revealed but the launched torpedoes acted as a bearing betrayer to my position. The enemy just converged on the bearing in which they detected torpedoes were launched. And I really expended all my torpedoes. Just left with a pair of SSN15 ASW rocket borne torpedoes.
One curious thing I would like to ask is for the Kilo isn't approaching within 3 nmi of pinging enemy escort ships a sure way to be dead in RL?
I would imagine the active sonar to have started detecting something more than 3nmi away.
Is my assumption correct that active pinging would reveal a submerged submarine more than 3nmi away generally speaking?
In sonar everything depends on conditions. 3nm can be perfectly realistic under some conditions. But yeah, I too think it is quite low range.
Anyway, launching all torpedoes, you must expect someone to notice. With deep water and long range torpedoes, you can launch them from below the layer, or navigate them around the target. Also you can launch them much further away. In such case, torpedo will be detected at different location then you are. But with Kilo, all this is difficult. This is DW world.
IRL, I actually have no idea how well torpedoes can be detected, but I think it should be more or less like in DW. Torpedoes are loud.
Once I killed whole carrier group with Kilo, and I almost didn't fire a shot. I got inside the group, not that I wanted, but Kilo is so slow I could not evade .. then I got detected .. and then all escorts started to fire torpedoes at me .. but all torpedoes happily went for the 'bigger fish'. Two escorts also crashed into each other. I slowly moved away, and then finished the survivors.
Still it was bad AI, and it might not work with today's patch/mod level. It would not work for sure IRL.
Castout
10-08-09, 06:18 AM
Then after thinking of all these I can say for sure a Kilo is not so much a deterrent when facing a well equipped task force.
In fact even a very quiet non nuclear sub especially without long range heavy weight torpedoes is compromised a second after it launched its weapons and without the means to go fast in long ranges it's pretty much a game of how much longer it would still survive and not a question of if.
That is to say generally speaking in terms of survivability it's better to be in a nuclear sub than a non nuclear sub after all.
But of course when dealing with single unsuspecting warship, any sub would prove deadly.
It is detterent .. you wiped the task force right ? Task force for small sub is good trade-off. Also IRL the sub could get some support. It could cause panic and some damage, the aircraft could attack. Kilo can afford some vulnerability, since it works in home waters.
Enemy losses:
Yuting class landing ship: 130 crew, 250 troops
Luda class destroyer: 280 crew
Oiler: 400 crew?
Friendly losses:
Kilo: 50 crew
I think your widow is getting a fat medal.
goldorak
10-08-09, 09:56 AM
Well if we go by real life events, the British taskforce during the falklands war had an awefull time trying to acquire and sink a pesky argentine diesel eletric submarine (that if it weren't for defective torpedo or defective settings would have damaged or sunk one of the british carriers).
The British taskforce went on full ASW and dropped tens of torpedoes and never could get a fix on the sub. So I wouldn't really dismiss the lethality and survivability of a diesel sub against surface ships. And this was in the early eighties. Consider what a modern AIP diesel eletric sub can do, and you understand why the Virgina nuclear subs were developped.
TLAM Strike
10-08-09, 12:26 PM
Oiler: 400 crew? More like <90. Tankers and merchant ships have much lower crew requirments than a warship of simailer tonnage. Basic reason is that tonnage used by cargo dosn't require looking after like tonnage taken up by weapons.
Castout
10-08-09, 06:41 PM
It is detterent .. you wiped the task force right ? Task force for small sub is good trade-off. Also IRL the sub could get some support. It could cause panic and some damage, the aircraft could attack. Kilo can afford some vulnerability, since it works in home waters.
Enemy losses:
Yuting class landing ship: 130 crew, 250 troops
Luda class destroyer: 280 crew
Oiler: 400 crew?
Friendly losses:
Kilo: 50 crew
I think your widow is getting a fat medal.
Well but most definitely the Kilo would not survive to celebrate its kill :DL...
I even doubt that in RL the Kilo could approach within 3nmi of the nearest active pinging escort without the escort starting to pick it up and closed in to investigate. So in RL it may not be possible at all to damage any ships as the Kilo weapons are not really that long reaching and the fact that there's no towed torpedo decoy implemented in DWX. But if the Kilo were equipped with improved sonar processing & tracking and at least the ability to carry heavy weight long range torpedoes in all its tubes that could really enhance the Kilo lethality and survivability. As for the current condition in DWX the Kilo is at most as lethal as a suicide bomber :nope: against a suspecting task force.
What if he had made it into some quite shallow waters?
Castout
10-14-09, 08:51 AM
Shallow water would even further restrict the Kilo.
It may be passively more difficult to detect it in shallow waters but I think active sonar would not have any difficulty detecting a Kilo in shallow water:)
goldorak
10-14-09, 09:02 AM
Shallow water would even further restrict the Kilo.
It may be passively more difficult to detect it in shallow waters but I think active sonar would not have any difficulty detecting a Kilo in shallow water:)
Those are pretty big assumptions and if we go by real life reports (gotland sub sneaking up to an american carrier during friendly exercises) just demonstrate who wrong you are on this issue. The fact is diesel subs are pretty damn hard to detect, shallow or no shallow zone when using batteries. Wishing the Kilo were *S H I T* doesn't make it so in real life. :D
OneShot
10-14-09, 09:46 AM
The survivability of the Kilo depends on the scenario and the use of the sub. If it tries to interdict a convoy in the deep sea it will have some serious trouble (speed wise a conventional sub just isnt up to par) and if it gets close it will be detected if it has to travel fast, not to mention that it cant do that for long.
However if the Kilo could lie in wait and conduct a successful attack against one or more HVUs and then slink away in a noisy enviroment with hopefully lots of other contacts to distract the converging ASW units then it might survive.
As I said initially, it all depends on the enviroment/circumstances and that the Kilo is used to its strengths. Remember, its not a nuke and thus has to content with limited speed and range (among other things).
Shallow water would even further restrict the Kilo.
It may be passively more difficult to detect it in shallow waters but I think active sonar would not have any difficulty detecting a Kilo in shallow water:)
Now you have me very curious, I always believed that in shallow waters such as around coastal areas that active sonar would not function as well as in deeper water. (Because of the shallow bottom giving returns and being difficult to distinguish the Kilo from the bottom - I am granting the Kilo doesn't simply have a metal exposed hull, but has the anechoic tiling.)
This is incorrect?
It depends how the bottom will look. If it will be rocky, yes, any sub would be fine. If it was sand, or mud, it would not help so much, if at all.
And then you would send helos, which can get close fast, they have MAD too, and even laser scanners are tested these days.
You can only be save deep and far away. And that is what Kilo can't do easily.
goldorak
10-14-09, 05:21 PM
It depends how the bottom will look. If it will be rocky, yes, any sub would be fine. If it was sand, or mud, it would not help so much, if at all.
And then you would send helos, which can get close fast, they have MAD too, and even laser scanners are tested these days.
You can only be save deep and far away. And that is what Kilo can't do easily.
Modern german submarines I think have a new missile system that can launch from deep down a surface to air missiles. Helicopters and p-3 etc.. could easily be victims to this system.
surely hard to answer and like said here much depending on situation, sonar condition, sub and escort skills.
the best shot is that a single kilo sent against a well protected task force would hardly be able to reach a good firing position without detected by active sonar and so probably would not sink a carrier.
in a hunt for the kilo i would give it a reasonable chance for surviving in deep waters with some layers at the first escort response,but of course they can play and wait until its batterises are down.
so my guess for real life- the kilo has in deep waters a 50% chance to survive the respone, but only 10% to score a hit at a significant ship of the task force.
for RL operations we also have to consider one more faktor-even the knowledge that the enemy has kilo subs gives the need for a big escort in asw and so even without a kill the kilo could fullfill its mission since many resources are used up fot the potential danger and since the rosources are always limited they may lack in other conflict scenarios.
Castout
10-14-09, 06:41 PM
Those are pretty big assumptions and if we go by real life reports (gotland sub sneaking up to an american carrier during friendly exercises) just demonstrate who wrong you are on this issue. The fact is diesel subs are pretty damn hard to detect, shallow or no shallow zone when using batteries. Wishing the Kilo were *S H I T* doesn't make it so in real life. :D
lol I don't wish the Kilo is a junk. I tried real hard to survive in the Kilo I played. Just that I found its weapons have a very limited range forcing me to approach within 3nmi of the nearest escort which was pinging actively. Had that been RL the escort would have picked me and started closing in and the task force would have edged away.
As for shallow water I guess the Kilo would have tremendous help in rocky bottom sea.
surely hard to answer and like said here much depending on situation, sonar condition, sub and escort skills.
the best shot is that a single kilo sent against a well protected task force would hardly be able to reach a good firing position without detected by active sonar and so probably would not sink a carrier.
in a hunt for the kilo i would give it a reasonable chance for surviving in deep waters with some layers at the first escort response,but of course they can play and wait until its batterises are down.
so my guess for real life- the kilo has in deep waters a 50% chance to survive the respone, but only 10% to score a hit at a significant ship of the task force.
for RL operations we also have to consider one more faktor-even the knowledge that the enemy has kilo subs gives the need for a big escort in asw and so even without a kill the kilo could fullfill its mission since many resources are used up fot the potential danger and since the rosources are always limited they may lack in other conflict scenarios.
I think the Kilo biggest help is an unsuspecting enemy.
And it's best used against civilian shipping and a single or a pair of warship formation. And not used to challenge a task force(that's the job of a nuclear subs with free maneuverability, longer range weapons and for Russian or US Seawolf with more ready tubes). Well it could be used to challenge a task force but once it launched its weapons then it became exposed and once a Kilo is exposed it's only a matter of time before the ASW forces takes it out. And that is assuming it could approach a suspecting or an alert enemy within kill range of its weapon salvo without a hint of detection.
goldorak
10-15-09, 01:30 AM
lol I don't wish the Kilo is a junk. I tried real hard to survive in the Kilo I played. Just that I found its weapons have a very limited range forcing me to approach within 3nmi of the nearest escort which was pinging actively. Had that been RL the escort would have picked me and started closing in and the task force would have edged away.
As for shallow water I guess the Kilo would have tremendous help in rocky bottom sea.
Castout, how do you know that a Kilo wouldn't be able to sneak up to 3 nmi of a ship ? Just because the ship is pinging doesn't mean it can pick up the Kilo. Consider enviromental conditions, consider the skipper manouvering the Kilo so that it is in line with the active ping (cross section is minimised) etc...
Diesel eletric subs using batteries are dead quiet, and if the enviroment is adverse, pinging will do you no good.
You have to know where to ping, take the frigate for instance, you have different modes for active pings. Single beam, omni and omni rotational. Getting a contact on single beam doesn't imply you'll get the same contact on omni for instance. And in single beam you must know where to send the ping. So you see even generic pinging theoretically will do you no good.
Castout
10-15-09, 02:47 AM
Hi goldorak I was referring to that specific scenario but I assume a continuous omni directional pinging would have exposed a Kilo approaching from more than 3 nmi. I admit that it's very hard to find a Kilo passively but that's all more reason the enemy will try to find it with other ways such as disembarked helicopter and active sonar.
Remember the Kilo must maneuver itself first and foremost to the ambush area ahead of the task force vector it can only try to maneuver to pose the minimum cross section to enemy active sonar when it has arrived at its ambush position.:).
Anyway all these are only my personal opinion :O:
OneShot
10-15-09, 04:17 AM
Just a thought to consider ...
The Effectiveness of Active Pinging in RL is hugely dependant upon enviromental conditions and lots of other factors. Read up on various open publications and you can find instances where the detection occured at less than 1nm and sometimes detection occured at over 20k yards. Since passive detection of a conventional sub on batteries is extremely hard one's major chance of catching a conventional sub is to use active sonar. That ups the odds but its not a given that it will be detected at all.
So for the sake of argument, if the Kilo gets in close undetected then its chances after shooting to escape are not great but it should be doable (given that it can disguise the point from where it shot). However without disguising the datum, and if the ASW forces react decisivly, then the Skipper can kiss his *** goodbye
Kapitan
10-17-09, 01:12 PM
Most russian diesel boats were designed with expendability in mind remember 1982 whiskey on the rocks personally that was a setup how could a submarine just run into that by mistake.
Kilo's just the same designed to protect the borders of russia.
Sea Demon
10-17-09, 08:54 PM
remember 1982 whiskey on the rocks personally that was a setup how could a submarine just run into that by mistake.
Are you saying Russians are incapable of making mistakes? History absolutely does not support your theory. Ths Soviets/Russians made tons of mistakes.
I think the whiskey incident happened just like any other incident where the human factor is present. I fail to see the Russians setting themselves up to potentially lose high value national assets like submarines on purpose. Especially ones carrying nuclear weapons.
Are active sonars all created equally? Are there perhaps other navies of the world that don't have an active sonar as powerful as the western countries?
Also, at the time the Kilo was introduced, what was the performance of active sonar then?
Kapitan
10-19-09, 02:58 PM
Are you saying Russians are incapable of making mistakes? History absolutely does not support your theory. Ths Soviets/Russians made tons of mistakes.
I think the whiskey incident happened just like any other incident where the human factor is present. I fail to see the Russians setting themselves up to potentially lose high value national assets like submarines on purpose. Especially ones carrying nuclear weapons.
No totaly not at all, every one makes mistakes and the Russians are no exception, put it this way.
The submarine that ran aground in 1982 was built in the 1950's so its already a 30 year old obsolete boat, hell they even had kilos in service at this time ! the foxtrots were more modern!
Now the captain had reported compass troubles so they assigned him a senior navigator now why would they do that? to replace the compass is a few hours job they werent at sea at the time.
And a whiskey carry nukes that stopped late 60's to mid 70's and besides it wasnt exactly the most modern boat or eliete boat of the time back then.
Loosing a whiskey would be no big deal a 30 year old boat over due for retirement to put it precisely once they returned it to russia it went straight in to severmorsk and most likely never moved again, the captain who was captain 3rd rank not exactly the hieghest of ranks either would probably be expendable.
i along with some others including american analysts and also swedish officals believe it was a PR stunt designed as a last show of force in the day of a dying superpower.
History supports either side depending on what side you read from, i sit in the middle my theory is backed up by a discovery channel show i will find the link it has been posted on the forums before but it depicts vessels such as NR1 and whiskey on the rocks in clandestine and public relations stunts.
And it states there is a theory that the grounding of a whiskey class submarine in karlskrone in 1982 could have been a total set up i mean come one 3 navigation systems compass PIRS and a map and stars both trainined to navigate off all 3 and 1 is a senior rank you cant really state they were clueless the whole time.
why did the submarine enter swedish waters if it had navigational problems why did it not just run on the surface, the soviets would have sent a frieghter out to act as a lead and guide it back, surely some where some one may have had a compass, and theres always more than one on a boat theres atleast 3 one in the wepaons control one in the con and one in engineering so all of them went down along with PIRS at the same time i dont think so.
The programme also interviews the captain of the submarine when i find it i shall post it up and note his body language closely!
TLAM Strike
10-19-09, 03:21 PM
And a whiskey carry nukes that stopped late 60's to mid 70's and besides it wasnt exactly the most modern boat or eliete boat of the time back then. I read that the Swedes detected the presince of nukes onboard the WOTR. :hmmm:
Loosing a whiskey would be no big deal a 30 year old boat over due for retirement to put it precisely once they returned it to russia it went straight in to severmorsk and most likely never moved again, the captain who was captain 3rd rank not exactly the hieghest of ranks either would probably be expendable. Except it has to have the lattest code books and comms gear otherwise once it left port it would not be able to recive orders covertly. Getting those is worth while. Even examining a smashed radio system could be worth while, they figure out how Russian technolgy worked in 1950 they can see how it fits in with the equipment built latter on and make a guess on how it works in the lattest boats. Of course examining the CREW would be the real prize, until the fall of Comunisim the west knew very little about the real lives of Soviet Citizens.
Kapitan
10-21-09, 03:56 AM
I read that the Swedes detected the presince of nukes onboard the WOTR. :hmmm:
Except it has to have the lattest code books and comms gear otherwise once it left port it would not be able to recive orders covertly. Getting those is worth while. Even examining a smashed radio system could be worth while, they figure out how Russian technolgy worked in 1950 they can see how it fits in with the equipment built latter on and make a guess on how it works in the lattest boats. Of course examining the CREW would be the real prize, until the fall of Comunisim the west knew very little about the real lives of Soviet Citizens.
Of course a western nation is going to find nuke on board any stranded submarine, even though whiskeys couldnt fire the 25inch nuclear torpedos and didnt carry missiles unless its the long bin version.
The government of sweden was under pressure in them days and as i believe the prime minister had to be seen doing something about the incursions what better way than to annoucne it has nukes on board and look i managed to get rid of it!
Code books would probably have been destroyed on the grounding, the machinary taken apart, so no real value, the swedes didnt really bord the submarine so didnt get a look inside just the out side, you can bet they would have sealed themselves in should the swedes have tried to bord the submarine.
Forceful entry could also be seen as an act of war a small country like that you dont need the northern and baltic fleets on your door.
You were expected to die protecting your country so if they had of sealed themselves in the only way to get them out artillery! again your shelling someone elses property so again could be seen as an act of war.
If it carrier nuclear torpedos well karlskrone wouldnt be here they probably would have ejected one and let it go bang incinerating them aswell.
Just some wacky theories for you there :D but i couldnt see that it had thee most up to date equipment onboard anyway if it was a stunt chances are it would have been taken off.
TLAM Strike
10-24-09, 01:43 PM
Of course a western nation is going to find nuke on board any stranded submarine, even though whiskeys couldnt fire the 25inch nuclear torpedos and didnt carry missiles unless its the long bin version. The Soviet Navy had a 21in nuclear torpedo as well. The Foxtrots sent to Cuba had them. The Soviets also had a warhead that could be attached to a torpedo while the sub was under way.
The government of sweden was under pressure in them days and as i believe the prime minister had to be seen doing something about the incursions what better way than to annoucne it has nukes on board and look i managed to get rid of it! Probaly true...
Code books would probably have been destroyed on the grounding, the machinary taken apart, so no real value, the swedes didnt really bord the submarine so didnt get a look inside just the out side... even a smashed code machine would be valuable. Heck the CIA pieced together an intire Golf lifted from the Pacific.
you can bet they would have sealed themselves in should the swedes have tried to bord the submarine. Forceful entry could also be seen as an act of war a small country like that you dont need the northern and baltic fleets on your door.You were expected to die protecting your country so if they had of sealed themselves in the only way to get them out artillery! again your shelling someone elses property so again could be seen as an act of war. Naw the Swedes just need to delay the Soviet salvage tugs until the Whiskey's crew runs out of food and shoots the Political Officer. ;)
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