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05-13-24, 03:05 PM | #3421 | ||
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The Russian military began 2023 with a highly disorganised force in Ukraine, comprising approximately 360,000 troops. By the beginning of the Ukrainian offensive in June 2023, this had risen to 410,000 troops and was becoming more organised. Over the summer of 2023, Russia established training regiments along the border and in the occupied territories and, following the mutiny of Wagner forces, endeavoured to standardise its units, breaking down the previous trend towards private armies. By the beginning of 2024, the Russian Operational Group of Forces in the occupied territories comprised 470,000 troops. With this army they only gained a couple of hundreds of square kilometres' terrain I do not see them gain more terrain. These coming months will be hard for Ukraine but if they can hold this is the last Russian big offensive for a very long time.
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05-13-24, 03:25 PM | #3422 |
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I have this feeling in which Putin will, after got another 6 year, order general mobilization and perhaps he will change the way he talk about the war in Ukraine from special operation to war in Ukraine and declare war on the country.
Markus
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05-13-24, 03:43 PM | #3423 |
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Putin talks this yada yada so he can stop this any time he wants without losing face, he never talked about a goal so if It's time he thinks it is over he can say we won. General mobilization would mean Putin needs to train and equip this new army if he does it like in the past it will not work in WWII Stalin could send millions and with the help of the US they could win. Putin is no Stalin how hard he tries and Russia is not the USSR it has no millions to send, and it does not have the gulag of millions in the age to fight and produce. It is short of over 5 million of labour force, how can he equip that kinda army and I doubt Moscow and St Petersburg will comply if they are drafted.
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05-13-24, 04:07 PM | #3424 |
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https://www-n--tv-de.translate.goog/..._x_tr_pto=wapp
The Russians are pursuing three objectives with the invasion of troops in the north of Kharkiv. The first is an attempt by the Russians to form a kind of buffer zone. This follows from the increasing number of attacks on Russian towns near the border, such as Belgorod. (...) Secondly, Russia has extended the front line by another 200 kilometres. This puts Ukraine under pressure, as it now has to deploy its precious reserves not only in the Donbass, but now also north of Kharkiv. This is a tactic of war of attrition: The Russians are tying up the Ukrainians in additional places, making it more difficult for them to manage the entire front. The third intention is to create a deployment zone for future attacks, a kind of staging area from which the Russians can then theoretically attack in the direction of Kharkiv. (...) When the first 180,000 shells arrive from the Czech Republic at the end of June, that will be enough for 30 days if 6,000 shells are fired per day. The Russians, however, fire 20,000 to 25,000 shells a day. ---------------------- It is reported since weeks that Russia assembles a new army group in Russia near the border, that is planned to consit of at least 100,000 men, of wich 60,000 seems to be ready and who have staged the attacks near Kharkiv.
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05-13-24, 04:32 PM | #3425 |
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Markus
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05-14-24, 01:37 PM | #3426 |
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Markus
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05-14-24, 02:37 PM | #3427 | |
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05-14-24, 03:01 PM | #3428 |
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Looking in the rearview mirror you could say, you predicted this outcome-Not enough troops, material and not enough weapons to open a second front and push forward to Kharkiv.
Looking in the crystal ball-You could say, you predict more troops, material and weapons is being transported to their second front-the question would be-Is it enough ? Markus
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05-14-24, 03:16 PM | #3429 | |
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