Here we go again-Ukraine once again pt2

[Jimbuna]

[Skybird]

In a nutshell:

Russia holds 18-19% of Ukrainian territory. Ukrainian minor gains in summer have been reconquered by Russia since then. Russia again advances slowly now, though under heavy losses. Ammunition situation of Ukraine is seriously detoriating. The ratio at combat drones is 1:6 to 1:7 against Ukraine, because the industrial-military complex in Russia is boosting production. Russia is intentionally hitting the civil population with the obvious intention to terrorize them to raise a climate of dissatisfaction of society with the government. Russia has constantly adapted and improved, and now dominates in many aspects and areas of the war. Daily usage of artillery shells is 2,000 shots per day on Ukrainian side, 10,000 shots on Russian side. Around 50% of precision missiles fired by Ukraine get jammed or brought down by Russia. Even Storm Shadow and SCALP need a total cleansing of enemy radar sites along their flight path and in their target area to get through. Russian frontlines are overly saturated with according jamming and radar systems, mounting Ukraine's problems to indeed cut through. Currently a massive wave of strategic air strikes hit Ukraine. Freezing ground and the cold could force Ukraine to give up bridgeheads on the left side of the Dnjepr.

[Jimbuna]

[Dargo]

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by Skybird

^ Old news, just slightly updated. Its the attack from octobre, the first ATACMS strike.



It is assumed Ukraine has none or only very few left now.

We do not know how many Ukraine gets and what it uses same goes with the 2 planes ( just before Ukraine announced new great news about air defence ) yesterday we think patriot but has the patriot reach (only a PAC-2: 99 mi could have done it) over the Sea of Azov. Ukraine will not tell, so we only can guess this is for all that Ukraine still has in stock. How to get more you need to shout fire, we have a shortage, please send more.

[Jimbuna]

[Skybird]

Better late than never, as the saying goes. The question is how to bridge the time gap between now and then. The Russian economy will one day take a nosedive, and there is no doubt that sooner or later the full cost of the war will be felt: financially, economically and industrially, socially and demographically. But until then, good advice for Ukraine is expensive. It is possible - but not certain - that Ukraine will survive more or less. It is just one possible scenario among many. And the question remains at what cost. Right now, Ukraine takes all the damages taking place, its powergrid, its defence factories, its productivity, its cultural heritage sites, its cities, buildings and housings, and infrastructure. It currently gets destroyed in small but constantly nibbling-away steps. While Russia is completely saved from suffering a similar fate.

https://www.dw.com/en/german-firms-s...ion/a-67985416


Attacks on Russian war production and war logistics must be made possible. And if Putin cries wolf, he must be reminded that the West has nuclear weapons, too. A further conventional escalation is not possible anyway, the Russians have escalated conventionally to the maximum possible. They already have wiped out and continue to wipe out whole cities - how much more escalation could they do?

[Jimbuna]

[Jimbuna]

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by Skybird

Better late than never, as the saying goes. The question is how to bridge the time gap between now and then. The Russian economy will one day take a nosedive, and there is no doubt that sooner or later the full cost of the war will be felt: financially, economically and industrially, socially and demographically. But until then, good advice for Ukraine is expensive. It is possible - but not certain - that Ukraine will survive more or less. It is just one possible scenario among many. And the question remains at what cost. Right now, Ukraine takes all the damages taking place, its powergrid, its defence factories, its productivity, its cultural heritage sites, its cities, buildings and housings, and infrastructure. It currently gets destroyed in small but constantly nibbling-away steps. While Russia is completely saved from suffering a similar fate.

https://www.dw.com/en/german-firms-s...ion/a-67985416


Attacks on Russian war production and war logistics must be made possible. And if Putin cries wolf, he must be reminded that the West has nuclear weapons, too. A further conventional escalation is not possible anyway, the Russians have escalated conventionally to the maximum possible. They already have wiped out and continue to wipe out whole cities - how much more escalation could they do?

Maybe closer than we think in Russia we do not need missiles to destroy our infrastructure, we stupid enough to kill it ourselves.
You won't believe it, but yet another town in Russia is now without heat. Novomoskovsk in Tula region - 372 residential buildings, 16 kindergartens and a hospital are without heat because of an incident at the local electricity station. "All resources and means are directed towards liquidating the accident," says the press-release of the local mayor's office. Russian Telegram channel reports that despite all the efforts to fix the station, nothing works, and locals report that their apartments are getting cold. It's up to -12 degrees Celsius outside. There has been a whole series of accidents with utility services in Russia since 2024 started. The parade of housing and utility accidents, which left hundreds of thousands of people without heat from the Moscow region to the Far East, has been going on in Russian regions since the beginning of 2024 amid severe frosts. The number of buildings left without heating in Russian Lipetsk has tripled. Now there are 282 of them, which is about 50 thousand people. The temperature in the city at night can reach -30°C. But Lipetsk residents are warmed by the thought that it is necessary to live in the cold until March, until the presidential election. And vote for Vladimir Vladimirovich. Hot geysers in the streets of Russian Lipetsk instead of heating in residential buildings. An accident occurred in the heating system there.

The deterioration of utility infrastructure grids in Russia, including heat and water supply, as well as sewerage, exceeded 70% by mid-2022. At the same time, Putin said that the Russian authorities had made large-scale investments in the infrastructure of the housing and utilities sector in 2023. According to him, 337 billion rubles (~$3.744 billion) were allocated from various sources to modernize the system. At the same time, in 2024-2026, financing of the housing and utilities sector from the federal treasury will be cut by more than half. Amid an avalanche-like increase in the number of utility accidents, Russian authorities are cutting federal budget spending on housing and utilities by 40% in 2025 and another 20% in 2026. It is necessary to get money for missiles from somewhere. While Russia is freezing, Shoigu reports a fivefold increase in the "volume of production of means of defeat". Also, all those fires if an economy goes belly up companies start burning their own capital to collect insurance money to have at least some money to prevent bankruptcy.

[Skybird]

Is this due to failed funding for maintenace and a lack of service, or active sabotage?

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by Skybird

Is this due to failed funding for maintenance and a lack of service, or active sabotage?

Failed funding for maintenance for decades because they all corrupt they collect the funds but never maintain same as in the USSR Russia does not change. Some fires are sabotage I know of several groups doing that and industries can be hacked via Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems used for controlling, monitoring, and analysing industrial devices and processes there are several western and Ukraine hacker crews doing that.

Russian government and officials turned out to be the owners of the largest egg factories, with the price of their products increased by 60%, Russian Forbes. Five of the twelve largest egg producers in Russia are managed by state structures, as well as current or former officials. This is stated in the Forbes analysis, which covers the largest poultry farms, with production of 600 million eggs in 2022.

• The leader of the list is JSC Poultry farm Sinyavinskaya is owned by 94.5% by Sberbank. The bank became the owner of the factory in 2017. Entering the top three, OJSC Volganin has been managed by Lyudmila Kosteva, a member of the regional political council of the United Russia party in the Yaroslavl region, since 1996. By 2015 she became not only the CEO but also the owner of the enterprise: by 2015 Kosteva bought up all 100% of its capital.
• OJSC Sverdlovskaya Poultry Farm is directly owned by the state.
• The agricultural holding Komos Group, which in addition to eggs produces dairy products and pork, is equally owned by Andrey Shutov and Andrey Oskolkov, former deputies of the State Council of Udmurtia from the United Russia party. Oskolkov was deputy chairman of the republic's government in the early 2000s.
• Leonid Sedov, the head of the Seimovskaya poultry farm, spent four years in the 2000s as Minister of Agriculture of the Nizhny Novgorod Region. Now he controls more than 90% of the shares of the enterprise.

Egg prices soared by 61.4% in 2023 and continued to grow in the new year. Even Putin had to comment on the situation and redirected the question to Agriculture Minister Dmitry Patrushev. The latter promised to improve: "I felt that it is necessary to work better I hope that in the near future, at the beginning of the year, the price should go down". But it hasn't.

[Dargo]

[Jimbuna]

[Skybird]

Over the past three days, various German newspapers have repeatedly reported on a problem that Zelenski recently raised again. According to Ukrainian sources, they have found high-tech components, cameras, chips and circuit boards in all - in ALL - remains of Russian precision munitions and guided missiles that were brought down or hit and did not explode, without which the missiles' sensors and control mechanisms could not function. Most of them come from American production, but also from Europe and the Far East. Stickers on the boards with serial numbers and the like show date ranges that prove that these parts were delivered and installed months after the war had already begun. So they did not come from Russian reserves that already existed before the war.

In other words, the so-called free world is still not doing enough to enforce embargoes, detect smuggling, and prevent the supply of these essential components to the Russian military. Western companies are still making far too much money (otherwise they wouldn't take the risk) by colluding with the war criminal Putin and his henchmen and helping them to kill Ukrainians and destroy the country.

In a perfect world, the responsible decision-makers in such companies and their political helpers should be found and put up against the wall without a fuss. Short process. This is no free entrepreneurship. Siding with the fascist aggressor in this war is - due to his cruel acts of terror and barbarism - a crime against humanity.

Every war seems to have thios sort of scum profiting. But it is and remains scum and we should do everything in our power to stop its malicous actions and pull it out together with its roots and dispose of it.

We should also strictly punish all those who made grossly negligent and naive decisions and thus accepted that their deliveries would not go directly to Russia, but would be diverted and channeled to Russia via third parties. They, too, knowingly and deliberately acted contrary to the intention and spirit of the sanctions. Playing dumb doesn't count. Naivety does not free you from responsibility.