+++++ Subsim's 2016 US Election contest

[Onkel Neal]

I've been of voting age since 1978 and I have never seen an election year like this. Will we have our first Hispanic President? Our first Woman President? Our first Canadian President? Our first Socialist President? Our first (fill in description of Trump here) President? Who knows? Maybe you have the insight and political analytical skills to forecast the eventual winner.

Note, this thread is for the contest, for political discussion please use the existing 2016 US Presidential thread

Any questions or comments about this contest? Post them here so this thread stays uncluttered, please.

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Here's how the contest works

To enter this contest, simply make a post in this thread with the name of the candidate you believe will win the upcoming Iowa caucus. For example:

IOWA
R-Rubio
D-Sanders
*Dropout - Carson

You must enter the choice 24 hours before the caucus/primary begins.
Here is a calendar of the primaries.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...d-results.html

I will keep a spreadsheet with all the participants and their results.
If you select the right Republican, you get a point. If you select the right Democrat, you get a point. Select both correctly, 3 points.

*Bonus: Select the name of the candidate you think will be the first in either party to announce they are dropping out. 1 Point. We will use the media to decide who has announce their withdrawal from the race.That may be tricky if three candidates drop out the evening of a primary, we will have a fine discussion about that, I am sure. Use this guide, I am only counting major R and D candidates, those with pictures by their name: http://www.politics1.com/p2016.htm

Now, that's what you need to know and do to enter and get started. Below is the other stages of the contest.


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After the Iowa caucus, I will start the voting for the New Hampshire primary and you can then list the candaites you believe will win. Same with the bonus dropout candidate.

Then Nevada/South Carolina. Note, these are staggered a week apart, so I will require your selections Feb 12 - 19.

Then the Super Tuesday primary, select which candidate you think will win the most states. Not the most delegates, just winner/best showing in each state. 5 points, 13 if you get both parties right.

Last, after we finish the Mar 1 Super Tuesday, I'll ask who will be the eventual nominee of each party. You'll get 5 points for a correct selection, 13 if you pick the eventual winner of both parties.

Last, after the conventions, on Oct 13, you can select the winner of the Presidential race, worth 10 points.

When the President is announced, we will add up the scores and see who is the winner. I will send a Subsim mug and t-short to the winner. In case of a 2 way tie, they split the prizes. 3 way or more, I will tell you something nice.

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Any questions? Post them here so this thread stays uncluttered, please.

[Onkel Neal]

Iowa
R-Cruz
D-Sanders
Dropout- O'Malley

[Mr Quatro]

Iowa
D-Hillary Clinton
R-Donald Trump

I will have to study the drop out situation

[Jimbuna]

Clinton for the win (not meaning I personally approve).

[Torplexed]

R-Trump
D-Sanders
Bye-bye Huckleberry Huckabee.

[Oberon]

D) Clinton
R) Carson

Drop out: O'Malley


I think Carson might just pull off a last minute surge, if not then it'll probably be Trump.

[Mr Quatro]

Originally Posted by Mr Quatro

Iowa
D-Hillary Clinton
R-Donald Trump

I will have to study the drop out situation

I left out who will drop out first ... I'm thinking out of these three:

Former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, and former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee.

I'll pick Gov. Lincoln Chafee

[Onkel Neal]

Ok, good luck, everyone.

For the drop, once the polls close in Iowa, just find the first published date/time of the first candidate to announce his withdrawal from the race, and that will count.

[Onkel Neal]

So close, Bilge Rat!

Looks like the Democratic party still has not declared a winner but as far as new reports go, Clinton won.

Congrats, and on to NH.

Feel free to post your predictions now, this thread will close 24 hours or so before the NH primary Feb. 9. Remember, you only get one drop seletion for this contest, so if you post more than one, I will take the first.

Note, this thread is for the contest, for political discussion please use the existing 2016 US Presidential thread

Any questions or comments about this contest? Post them here so this thread stays uncluttered, please.

[Onkel Neal]

Ok, here's where we are, some folks need to make their pics now. I will close the thread in about 12 hours.

[Aktungbby]

Trump for Republicans and Sanders-that close to Vermont...a 'favorite-son nod' to the Democrats.

[Onkel Neal]

Congrats to all you winners, especially AVGWarhawk, who ran the table on this round!

[Bilge_Rat]

who knew Kasich would come back from the dead!

[Aktungbby]

well it's Trump and Clinton to take Carolina 4 their respective parties. I'll stretch and say Bush drops.

[Onkel Neal]

Moving this thread to Special Projects until July.