Another Falklands war?

[Bubblehead1980]

Looks like another war in the Falklands is brewing, Argentina is showing it's arse again.Some countries never learn.......

Thoughts?

[Blackhawk1006]

It's just because of the British Oil Drilling that will be happening there next week.

I can hardly see another war happening there though, remember that in 1982 Argentina was run by a Militarist Government, unlike today.

[August]

It doesn't take a military government to start a war though.

Hopefully Britain will take it as a sign that she needs to maintain the military strength necessary to defend her possessions if she wishes to keep them.

[ReFaN]

Drop the bomb on them!

[Bubblehead1980]

Blackhawk, LOL @ the Conan, Colbert, Stewart thing, ahh that was good times.

True Argentina is not ran by a military govt anymore BUT they are pushing Britain again.

Agreed that maybe the Brit govt will see it as sign they should not cut defense budget.

[Diopos]

Second war? Don't know...
But at least know we know what the first one was probably all about ...







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[Highbury]

Originally Posted by August

It doesn't take a military government to start a war though.

Hopefully Britain will take it as a sign that she needs to maintain the military strength necessary to defend her possessions if she wishes to keep them.

Very true, but at the time the Argentine invasion was a gamble by a newly placed regime to divert attention from internal problems, and give a reason for national pride. In '82 even the US Navy said it would be impossible for the UK to take the Falklands back by force and the Argentinians believed it themselves, and bet on it. (The RN had very little sea-based air power at the time) I would say Argentina now knows this in not the case. I would be very surprised if they took military action again.

On your second point, I do agree fully. If I didn't my first point would be useless.

[bookworm_020]

A couple of subs with some tomohawk missles would make it a bad day if they tried to take the islands.

[diver]

Originally Posted by Highbury

In '82 even the US Navy said it would be impossible for the UK to take the Falklands back by force and the Argentinians believed it themselves, and bet on it. (The RN had very little sea-based air power at the time) I would say Argentina now knows this in not the case. I would be very surprised if they took military action again.

I'd argue strongly that they have even less Sea-based Air Power now.

[Highbury]

Originally Posted by diver

I'd argue strongly that they have even less Sea-based Air Power now.

That could be true, I don't know what the RN has now. In '82 they had 34 Harriers.

Unfortunately for the Argentinians, and not considered in the 1982 US Navy report, was the airbase the British set up on Ascension Island two weeks after the invasion, which they used for Vulcans and their tankers. In the modern era such land based planes would be devastating to Argentine technology.

I just don't think they could beat the UK and I think they would be less motivated, and better informed this time around, so won't even try it. Of course as with any speculation on future events, I could be dead wrong.