well no, it could be an actual plot, we won't know for sure until all the evidence comes out, but in these type of cases and I have followed many, the FBI waits until there is a credible threat and/or they have evidence of an overt act so they can prove there is an actual crime and it is not just talk. Remember at the end of the day, they have to prove the crimes alleged beyond a reasonable doubt.
Now reading the affidavit does not show why it was so urgent to act just a few weeks before the election. There does not seem to have been much going on with the "plot" in the past few weeks. The "plotters" did not seem anywhere close to carrying out their plan. The FBI had infiltrated the group and had them under constant surveillance, so they could have been arrested anytime. Currently they have a very weak case and it will be difficult to prove that this was a real plot.
I suspect the Democratic Attorney General forced the FBI's hands by announcing state charges immediately, before the election, which of course forced the FBI to also proceed.
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