Quote:
Originally Posted by Skybird
You protect everyone one day - by getting to everyone being immunised. By a vaccine. What we currently try to do, is not solving the issue, but buying time. Flattening the curve does not cure Covid-19. It buys us time before a - hopefully flatter - peak comes, and hopefully prevents health care systems from getting overwhelmed and not being able to help neither Corona patients nor any other patient. Obviously that is very difficult to acchiece, the war rages hot and unforgiving in France, Italy, Spain.
How do we buy time? We flatten the curve. We all wear a face mask. We practice social distancing. All this slows down the spread of the deasese. And gives our researchers time they need. "2 meters distance determines our existence."
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Some hours ago I read this in a Danish news paper.
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Kari Mølbak, who is the technical director of Infection Preparedness at Statens Serum Institut, does not hide the fact that he disagrees with the message that has been sent by the World Health Organization, WHO.
Here is the message that countries must test, test and test themselves through the epidemic.
They must simultaneously isolate all sick and put their contacts in quarantine in order to break the chain of infection.
Then we just push the problem in front of us because this virus is something that the population has to go through sooner or later, says Kåre Mølbak, who is also a consultant in infectious epidemiology and professor at the Faculty of Health Sciences at the University of Copenhagen,
It must happen at a pace where the health care system is not being put under such enormous pressure that it can no longer treat the most ill citizens of society.
Such as seen in major European countries such as Italy and Spain, which together have more than half of the world's registered deaths for coronavirus.
According to Kåre Mølbak, most of us must sooner or later be infected with Covid-19. That is the law of the epidemic.
- That's what is the problem with what the WHO says. They imagine you can contain the infection, but I think that is totally passé.
believes that the infection at best can be halved as a result of the initiatives taken.
Thus, the shape of the epidemic curve will flatten out, which will have a noticeable effect on the load on the health system, according to the risk assessment.
On the other hand, if we follow the WHO's recommendation, we do not, according to Kåre Mølbak, achieve the same herd immunity, where large sections of the population are infected during the first wave of the epidemic and thus become immune to the disease.
Then we risk that the next wave of the epidemic in the autumn will be so high that it will shake the health care system
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Markus