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Originally Posted by Tchocky
Witht the way the electoral demographic is shifting, I can't see Palin winning the Presidency.
The nomination, probably. Her main skill as a candiodate is generating enthusiasm in the Republican base. But this base has been getting smaller and smaller, and Sarah Palin has demonstrated that she cannot win swing voters.
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I agree. I think the success of such a candidacy is a conservative pipe dream.
That said, hey, if Obama screws up really badly (funny how I'm talking about him as already having been elected... but I digress), who knows - there might be a backlash and that particular side might garner more sympathy (or perhaps more accurately, Obama falling flat might dampen the liberals but energize the conservatives - and as always, an election is about being able to mobilize a support base).