Quote:
|
Originally Posted by UnderseaLcpl
Somehow, we have confused the idea that political aptitude has anything to do with political success. Palin wins by holding her own, more or less. Period.
Watch as the McCain-Palin ticket locks up a large portion of the swing vote (read ,female vote) and goes on to win in November. Short of a liberal media rally that somehow dienfranchises female voters, I don't see any hope of victory for Obama.
The main problem that Obama faces lies in the fact that women are an important liberal demographic. Therefore, a female vote for the McCain ticket is not +1 vote for the Republicans, but rather, -1 vote for the Dems +1 vote for the Republicans.
Couple that with the relatively high voter turnout of Republicans versus the relatively low turnout of Dems and you have a Republican victory.
Next, factor in that Obama is black. There are a lot of trailer-park democrats who won't vote for him just because of that, civil rights be damned. Even if they won't say it quite like that.
McCain-Palin is the winner in '08. Best start debating what that entails rather than who will win.
Question me if you like but expect to see this post quoted, by me, in November. 
I don't like it, and I don't like the alternative, but that's how it is. |
I don't see it that way. Clearly, the momentum has shifted back to Obama, and McCain has all but abandoned Michigan to concentrate in states that are more 'winable'. The fiasco on Wall Street and McCain's playing around with campaign suspension has burned him, and has forced the campaign to be on the defensive for the time being. I also don't buy the theory women are going to flock to the polls in record numbers to vote for Palin. That's akin to claiming that every Navy vet is going to instantly support McCain. Now, plenty of things can happen in October, but at this stage, I see the Obama campaign as having the clear advantage.
Neither VP candidate tripped over themselves. This was good for both campaigns, but McCain/Palin had the greatest benefit, as Palin held up well enough that she won't be seen as a detriment by the public. She still may not be a particularly strong asset, and I don't think you'll see much of her from this point on unless she is on McCain's hip.