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Originally Posted by AntEater
I have no patent solution, but as we all know, the resources of the US and NATO are limited.
Opening yet another front is not the best way to deal with this.
Actually I don't think I know a solution to the current problem.
The easiest way would simply be military victory in southern Afghanistan, but that would not be an easy task even with ten times the troops.
If Pakistan blows, Afghanistan will be the least of our worries and I have the bad suspicion that the Indians will not let themselves be abused as a US proxy.
They will defend themselves, even nuke Pakistan but they will never occupy it.
If I had a patent solution on how to win against radical Islam, I might as well change career.
But my gut feeling tells me that you can't expect to "win" (in the sense of anihilating your enemy) against a revolutionary movement in its heroic phase.
Jihadists might look ridiculous to you and me, but to the people on the ground, these are popular revolutionaries.
You can win in the sense of successfully containing them until the enthusiasm cools down and they become just another bunch of people.
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That is a reference to the demographic factor, and the theory that the more male young people there are in a society, the more aggressive and expansionist the society is. In principal, I agree with this, but i do not like the conseqeunces.
Becasue 1.) the Islamic societies will become as overaged and old as Europe is - in 50-70 years from now on. For that long, referring to the social dynamic drive of these theories (whom I happen to agree with) they will remain to show the energy and potential to bhave like they do: aggressive, revolutionary, expanding. and 2.) Radical Islamic leaders know this as well. They know the yhave a certain time window only in which they must succeed with their plans to enforce islam in the areas they have targetted. After that, their societies will be so old that their will not be enough drive and energy of sufficient yung people to push their policies against others anymore. You can assume then that until they still have time, they will not be interested in negotiating, and going to rest. they will push with all power and energy - while it still is there.
50-70 years. I don't know aboiut youk, but I am in no way sure that we can hold out that long if just passively trying to sit them out.