Nice reasoning, Kazuaki, a shame that you do not often become so detailed in describing your thinking! Becasue of that I may have underestimated you a bit, and even felt provoked by some brief questions you asked without further comment. I offer my apology to you, therefore. I sorted you wrong.
And since we are at it, yes, all in all you described it correctly how my mind is ticking. The trap in that is that sometimes I use more ratio in my reasoning than reality is complying with - and then I am getting screwed by a more irrational reality, sometimes...