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Old 08-16-08, 03:39 AM   #1
Skybird
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The timing is telltaling. The Black Sea fleet has been an issue of constant conflict since the Ukraine became independent. The arrangement how to divide the fleet and share facilities always has been a fragile compromise.

since the Ukraine depends on gas from russia, and Russia already in the past has demonstrated its willingness to use shortcuts of energy as a diplomatic weapon, I consider it to be stupoid to provoke the russiansat this time, in this manner, right in the middle of a running conflict. The Ukraine has nothing to win in this, but quite some to lose. Russia - is almost invulnerable in this row. If they make minor concessions here - then only to keep the currently high-flying balls a bit lower. I am sure that Ukraine will feel their revenge in the next heating period.
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