[Skybird]

It seems Russia will not let Geogia getting off the hook so easily by just saying: "Okay, we take back our last move and then start new all over." It seems they want to score on the disputed issues decisively this time. the UN debate I overwatched a bit. Unimportant blahblah. Neither the Us nor the Eu is in a position to impose pressure or dictate conditions, both need Russia more than Russia needs them in return. Moscow knows that - so what.

Could it be that the Russians really meant it serious when announcing they wan to go after the responsible ones and held them responsible personally - which only could mean they want the head of Saakachvili? If so, just announcing a Georgian cease-fire is not pleasing enough for them indeed.

Saakachvili is a known hot-head, and I think he is an overactive idiotic dumbhead as well, out of contact with reality. He made promises to win the last election that he should have known were impossible to keep. He expected Western assistance for an adventure were mere reason should have told him he wouldn't get it. It was probably him directly ordering the attack two nights ago, right oin mark with the Olympic ceremonies. It seems the Russians will not stop without substantial mission objectives acchieved. these most likely include the head of Saakachvili. Maybe the Georgians should overthrow his government, hand him over, and offer guarantees for autonomy for both regions. That could save many of their people's lives. Without substantial wins in objectives and removing some basic trouble coming from Georgia, including known key personnell, the Russians probably will not stop now. And the longer it lasts, the more it becomes a question of survival for Georgia as a national entity with a functional economic and social structure. compared to the Russian firepower in total, the Russians have not even begun to unleash all they could - if only they want.

Georgia would be very well advised not to wait for that.

Do I like what I outline? Not really, it's a whole big ammount of mess, suffering and destruction. And for what...? Just for keeping Ossetia divided region and keeping a people hating Georgians under Georgian command!? I know that the russians would not listen to me anyway, so why should I polish over the grim reality. The russians seem to be determined to not fall back anymore in the face of Western demands. If it is like that, then Georgia either falls on its knees unconditionally and begs for mercy, or will be obliterated.

The question of wether or not Georgia will ever become a NATO member we can consider to be answered. But possible that some heads in Washington need some more time until the news hits their brains.